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We propose a framework that aligns Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) estimation with profit maximization. Our method recognizes that, for customers with extreme treatment effects, additional estimation accuracy is unlikely to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Artem Timoshenko , Caio Waisman

This paper focuses on price-based residential demand response implemented through dynamic adjustments of electricity prices during DR events. It extends existing DR models to a stochastic framework in which customer response is represented…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Guido Cavraro , Andrey Bernstein , Emiliano Dall'Anese

Environments with fixed adjustment costs such as transaction costs or \lq menu costs\rq$ $ are widespread within economic systems. The presence of fixed minimal adjustment costs produces adjustment stickiness so that agents must choose a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-09 David Mguni

Motivated by applications in online marketplaces such as ride-hailing, we study how strategic servers impact the system performance. We consider a discrete-time process in which, heterogeneous types of customers and servers arrive. Each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Sushil Mahavir Varma , Francisco Castro , Siva Theja Maguluri

In this paper, we propose a stochastic model to describe how search service providers charge client companies based on users' queries for the keywords related to these companies' ads by using certain advertisement assignment strategies. We…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-09-10 Bo Tan , R. Srikant

Automated recommendations can nowadays be found on many e-commerce platforms, and such recommendations can create substantial value for consumers and providers. Often, however, not all recommendable items have the same profit margin, and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-09-12 Nada Ghanem , Stephan Leitner , Dietmar Jannach

Decision makers, such as doctors and judges, make crucial decisions such as recommending treatments to patients, and granting bails to defendants on a daily basis. Such decisions typically involve weighting the potential benefits of taking…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-24 Himabindu Lakkaraju , Cynthia Rudin

Pricing decisions of companies require an understanding of the causal effect of a price change on the demand. When real-life pricing experiments are infeasible, data-driven decision-making must be based on alternative data sources such as…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-03 Lauri Valkonen , Santtu Tikka , Jouni Helske , Juha Karvanen

Estimation and evaluation of individualized treatment rules have been studied extensively, but real-world treatment resource constraints have received limited attention in existing methods. We investigate a setting in which treatment is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-24 Hongxiang Qiu , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke

Many marketing applications, including credit card incentive programs, offer rewards to customers who exceed specific spending thresholds to encourage increased consumption. Quantifying the causal effect of these thresholds on customers is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa

A common sales strategy involves having account executives (AEs) actively reach out and contact potential customers. However, not all contact attempts have a positive effect: some attempts do not change customer decisions, while others…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-14 Naama Parush , Ohad Levinkron-Fisch , Hanan Shteingart , Amir Bar Sela , Amir Zilberman , Jake Klein

User growth is a major strategy for consumer internet companies. To optimize costly marketing campaigns and maximize user engagement, we propose a novel treatment effect optimization methodology to enhance user growth marketing. By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Shuyang Du , Jennifer Zhang , Will Y. Zou

We study the problem of evaluating a discrete function by adaptively querying the values of its variables until the values read uniquely determine the value of the function. Reading the value of a variable is done at the expense of some…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-06-17 Aline Saettler , Eduardo Laber , Ferdinando Cicalese

The performance of an energy system under a real-time pricing mechanism depends on the consumption behavior of its customers, which involves uncertainties. In this paper, we consider a system operator that charges its customers with a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Ceyhun Eksin , Hakan Delic , Alejandro Ribeiro

Machine learning is increasingly used to select which individuals receive limited-resource interventions in domains such as human services, education, development, and more. However, it is often not apparent what the right quantity is for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Vibhhu Sharma , Bryan Wilder

An agent acquires a costly flexible signal before making a decision. We explore to what degree knowledge of the agent's information costs helps predict her behavior. We establish an impossibility result: learning costs alone generate no…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-05 Elliot Lipnowski , Doron Ravid

Customer scoring models are the core of scalable direct marketing. Uplift models provide an estimate of the incremental benefit from a treatment that is used for operational decision-making. Training and monitoring of uplift models require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Johannes Haupt , Daniel Jacob , Robin M. Gubela , Stefan Lessmann

We apply causal machine learning algorithms to assess the causal effect of a marketing intervention, namely a coupon campaign, on the sales of a retailer. Besides assessing the average impacts of different types of coupons, we also…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-24 Henrika Langen , Martin Huber

Decision makers, such as doctors and judges, make crucial decisions such as recommending treatments to patients, and granting bails to defendants on a daily basis. Such decisions typically involve weighting the potential benefits of taking…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-25 Himabindu Lakkaraju , Cynthia Rudin

We develop a parsimonious model of an e-commerce fulfillment center that offers time-dependent shipment options and corresponding fees to utility-maximizing customers arriving according to a Poisson process. For any such policy, we provide…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Uta Mohring , Melvin Drent , Ivo Adan , Willem van Jaarsveld