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Accurately forecasting urban development and its environmental and climate impacts critically depends on realistic models of the spatial structure of the built environment, and of its dependence on key factors such as population and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Adrian Albert , Jasleen Kaur , Emanuele Strano , Marta Gonzalez

A generator of spatio-temporal pseudo-random Gaussian fields that satisfy the "proportionality of scales" property (Tsyroulnikov, 2001) is presented. The generator is based on a third-order in time stochastic differential equation with a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-15 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Dmitry Gayfulin

In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger , Guillaume Pirot

We study how sampling geometry contributes to uncertainty in modeling spatial geophysical observations as sampled random fields characterized by stationary, isotropic, parametric covariance functions. We incorporate the signature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Olivia L. Walbert , Frederik J. Simons , Arthur P. Guillaumin , Sofia C. Olhede

The $L^2$ localisation landscape of L. Herviou and J. H. Bardarson is a generalisation of the localisation landscape of M. Filoche and S. Mayboroda. We propose a stochastic method to compute the $L^2$ localisation landscape that enables the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-04-05 Masataka Kakoi , Keith Slevin

Considering agricultural landscapes as networks can provide information about spatial connectivity relevant for a wide range of applications including pollination, pest management, and ecology. Global agricultural networks are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-18 Daniel Sousa , Christopher Small

Mechanistic statistical models are commonly used to study the flow of biological processes. For example, in landscape genetics, the aim is to infer spatial mechanisms that govern gene flow in populations. Existing statistical approaches in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Michael R Schwob , Mevin B Hooten , Vagheesh Narasimhan

We study the theoretical capacity to statistically learn local landscape information by Evolution Strategies (ESs). Specifically, we investigate the covariance matrix when constructed by ESs operating with the selection operator alone. We…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-06-24 Ofer M. Shir , Jonathan Roslund , Amir Yehudayoff

A new class of planar tessellations, named T-tessellations, was introduced in ([10]). A model was proposed to be considered as a completely random T-tessellation model (CRTT) and its Gibbsian variants were discussed. A general simulation…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-03 Katarzyna Adamczyk-Chauvat , Mouna Kassa , Kiên Kiêu , Julien Papaïx , Radu S. Stoica

Surrogate modeling has become a valuable technique for black-box optimization tasks with expensive evaluation of the objective function. In this paper, we investigate the relationship between the predictive accuracy of surrogate models and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Zbyněk Pitra , Jan Koza , Jiří Tumpach , Martin Holeňa

The goal of a generative model is to capture the distribution underlying the data, typically through latent variables. After training, these variables are often used as a new representation, more effective than the original features in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-29 Maruan Al-Shedivat , Emre Neftci , Gert Cauwenberghs

Biological systems commonly exhibit complex spatiotemporal patterns whose underlying generative mechanisms pose a significant analytical challenge. Traditional approaches to spatiodynamic inference rely on dimensionality reduction through…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-01 Jun Won Park , Kangyu Zhao , Sanket Rane

Ecosystems display a complex spatial organization. Ecologists have long tried to characterize them by looking at how different measures of biodiversity change across spatial scales. Ecological neutral theory has provided simple predictions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-13 Simone Pigolotti , Massimo Cencini , Daniel Molina , Miguel A. Muñoz

In the frame of designing a knowledge discovery system, we have developed stochastic models based on high-order hidden Markov models. These models are capable to map sequences of data into a Markov chain in which the transitions between the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jean-Francois Mari , Florence Le Ber

This thesis focuses on the applications of mathematical tools and concepts brought from nonequilibrium statistical physics to the modeling of ecological problems. The first part provides a short introduction where the theoretical concepts…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-12 Ricardo Martinez-Garcia

Many data-driven decision problems are formulated using a nominal distribution estimated from historical data, while performance is ultimately determined by a deployment distribution that may be shifted, context-dependent, partially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Xiuyuan Cheng , Yunqin Zhu , Yao Xie

Deep learning has emerged as a promising tool for precipitation downscaling. However, current models rely on likelihood-based loss functions to properly model the precipitation distribution, leading to spatially inconsistent projections…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-02 Jose González-Abad

The missing data issue often complicates the task of estimating generalized linear models (GLMs). We describe why the pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, used in this setting, is an effective strategy for parameter estimation.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Taylor R. Brown , Timothy L. McMurry , Alexander Langevin

In low-resource settings, prevalence mapping relies on empirical prevalence data from a finite, often spatially sparse, set of surveys of communities within the region of interest, possibly supplemented by remotely sensed images that can…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-27 Peter J. Diggle , Emanuele Giorgi

Accurate information on the distribution of vegetation species is used as a proxy for the health of an ecosystem, a currency of international environmental treaties, and a necessary planning tool for forest preservation and rehabilitation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 Henry Scharf , Jonathan Schierbaum , Hana Matsumoto , Tim Assal