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We address the problem of supporting empirical probabilities in monadic logic databases. Though the semantics of multivalued logic programs has been studied extensively, the treatment of probabilities as results of statistical findings has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Raymond T. Ng , V. S. Subrahmanian

Database analytics algorithms leverage quantifiable structural properties of the data to predict interesting concepts and relationships. The same information, however, can be represented using many different structures and the structural…

Databases · Computer Science 2014-09-10 Yodsawalai Chodpathumwan , Jose Picado , Arash Termehchy , Alan Fern , Yizhou Sun

Temporal data are increasingly prevalent in modern data science. A fundamental question is whether two time series are related or not. Existing approaches often have limitations, such as relying on parametric assumptions, detecting only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-29 Cencheng Shen , Jaewon Chung , Ronak Mehta , Ting Xu , Joshua T. Vogelstein

We use p-values as a discrepancy criterion for identifying the threshold value at which a regression function takes off from its baseline value -- a problem that is motivated by applications in omics experiments, systems engineering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-26 Bodhisattva Sen , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michialidis

It is often claimed that Bayesian methods, in particular Bayes factor methods for hypothesis testing, can deal with optional stopping. We first give an overview, using elementary probability theory, of three different mathematical meanings…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-24 Allard Hendriksen , Rianne de Heide , Peter Grünwald

The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we provide a novel characterization of independence of random vectors based on the checkerboard approximation to a multivariate copula. Using this result, we then propose a new family of tests of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-07 José M. González-Barrios , Eduardo Gutiérrez-Peña , Juan D. Nieves , Raúl Rueda

We address the problem of testing conditional mean and conditional variance for non-stationary data. We build e-values and p-values for four types of non-parametric composite hypotheses with specified mean and variance as well as other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Yixuan Fan , Zhanyi Jiao , Ruodu Wang

Conformal inference provides a general distribution-free method to rigorously calibrate the output of any machine learning algorithm for novelty detection. While this approach has many strengths, it has the limitation of being randomized,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Meshi Bashari , Amir Epstein , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia

We introduce equivalence testing procedures for linear regression analyses. Such tests can be very useful for confirming the lack of a meaningful association between a continuous outcome and a continuous or binary predictor. Specifically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-17 Harlan Campbell

We consider sequential hypothesis testing between two quantum states using adaptive and non-adaptive strategies. In this setting, samples of an unknown state are requested sequentially and a decision to either continue or to accept one of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-07 Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Marco Tomamichel

This paper introduces a framework for incorporating prior information into the design of sequential experiments. These sources may include past experiments, expert opinions, or the experimenter's intuition. We model the problem using a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-01 Frederico Finan , Demian Pouzo

Pearl and Verma developed d-separation as a widely used graphical criterion to reason about the conditional independencies that are implied by the causal structure of a Bayesian network. As acyclic ground probabilistic logic programs…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Kilian Rückschloß , Felix Weitkämper

An important aspect of multiple hypothesis testing is controlling the significance level, or the level of Type I error. When the test statistics are not independent it can be particularly challenging to deal with this problem, without…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-04 Sandy Clarke , Peter Hall

Differential equation discovery, a machine learning subfield, is used to develop interpretable models, particularly in nature-related applications. By expertly incorporating the general parametric form of the equation of motion and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Alexander Hvatov , Roman Titov

Adaptive clinical trials rely on interim analyses, flexible stopping, and data-dependent design modifications that complicate statistical guarantees when fixed-horizon test statistics are repeatedly inspected or reused after adaptations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Alexandra Sokolova , Vadim Sokolov

Testing independence among a number of (ultra) high-dimensional random samples is a fundamental and challenging problem. By arranging $n$ identically distributed $p$-dimensional random vectors into a $p \times n$ data matrix, we investigate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-28 Xi Chen , Weidong Liu

The notion of an e-value has been recently proposed as a possible alternative to critical regions and p-values in statistical hypothesis testing. In this paper we consider testing the nonparametric hypothesis of symmetry, introduce…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Vladimir Vovk , Ruodu Wang

We introduce a notion of real-valued reward testing for probabilistic processes by extending the traditional nonnegative-reward testing with negative rewards. In this richer testing framework, the may and must preorders turn out to be…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-07-07 Yuxin Deng , Rob van Glabbeek , Matthew Hennessy , Carroll Morgan

We propose a new algorithmic framework for sequential hypothesis testing with i.i.d. data, which includes A/B testing, nonparametric two-sample testing, and independence testing as special cases. It is novel in several ways: (a) it takes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-03 Akshay Balsubramani , Aaditya Ramdas

We study knowable informational dependence between empirical questions, modeled as continuous functional dependence between variables in a topological setting. We also investigate epistemic independence in topological terms and show that it…

Logic · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Alexandru Baltag , Johan van Benthem
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