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Related papers: The mathematics of Bitcoin

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Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer payment system proposed by Nakamoto in 2008. Based on the Nakamoto consensus, Bagaria, Kannan, Tse, Fanti, and Viswanath proposed the Prism protocol in 2018 and showed that it achieves near-optimal blockchain…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-04-27 Jing Li , Dongning Guo

The dramatic adoption of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in the USA has revolutionized the financial landscape and provided unprecedented investment and transaction efficiency opportunities. The prime objective of this research project…

Cryptocurrencies have recently been in the spotlight of public debate due to their embrace by the new US President, with crypto fans expecting a 'bull run'. The global cryptocurrency market capitalisation is more than \$3.50 trillion, with…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Marco Venturini , Daniel García-Costa , Elena Álvarez-García , Francisco Grimaldo , Flaminio Squazzoni

We study financial transaction confirmation finality in Bitcoin as a function of transaction amount and user risk tolerance. A transaction is recorded in a block on a blockchain. However, a transaction may be revoked due to a fork in the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Ethan Hicks , Joseph Oglio , Mikhail Nesterenko , Gokarna Sharma

In recent years, Bitcoin price prediction has attracted the interest of researchers and investors. However, the accuracy of previous studies is not well enough. Machine learning and deep learning methods have been proved to have strong…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-25 Liping Yang

We propose a secure and efficient implementation of fungible tokens on Bitcoin. Our technique is based on a small extension of the Bitcoin script language, which allows the spending conditions in a transaction to depend on the neighbour…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Massimo Bartoletti , Stefano Lande , Roberto Zunino

In this paper, we explore the partitioning attacks on the Bitcoin network, which is shown to exhibit spatial bias, and temporal and logical diversity. Through data-driven study we highlight: 1) the centralization of Bitcoin nodes across…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Muhammad Saad , Victor Cook , Lan Nguyen , My T. Thai , Aziz Mohaisen

Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, are one of the most controversial and complex technological innovations in today's financial system. This study aims to forecast the movements of Bitcoin prices at a high degree of accuracy. To this aim,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-09 Hakan Pabuccu , Serdar Ongan , Ayse Ongan

This study examines the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis for Bitcoin using a feedforward neural network. Due to the increasing popularity of cryptocurrencies in recent years, the question has arisen, as to whether market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-16 Mike Kraehenbuehl , Joerg Osterrieder

In this paper, we discuss the method of Bayesian regression and its efficacy for predicting price variation of Bitcoin, a recently popularized virtual, cryptographic currency. Bayesian regression refers to utilizing empirical data as proxy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-10-07 Devavrat Shah , Kang Zhang

The functioning of the cryptocurrency Bitcoin relies on the open availability of the entire history of its transactions. This makes it a particularly interesting socio-economic system to analyse from the point of view of network science.…

We assess the applicability of rough volatility models to Bitcoin realized volatility using the normalised p-variation framework of Cont and Das (2024). Applying this model-free estimator to high-frequency Bitcoin data from 2017 to 2024…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-30 Milan Pontiggia

In recent years a new type of tradable assets appeared, generically known as cryptocurrencies. Among them, the most widespread is Bitcoin. Given its novelty, this paper investigates some statistical properties of the Bitcoin market. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-16 Aurelio F. Bariviera , María José Basgall , Waldo Hasperué , Marcelo Naiouf

We study the probabilistic distribution of the confirmation time of Bitcoin transactions, conditional on the current memory pool (i.e., the queue of transactions awaiting confirmation). The results of this paper are particularly interesting…

Performance · Computer Science 2018-10-22 David Koops

Since the creation of Bitcoin, transaction tracking is one of the prominent means for following the movement of Bitcoins involved in illegal activities. Although every Bitcoin transaction is recorded in the blockchain database, which is…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Tin Tironsakkul , Manuel Maarek , Andrea Eross , Mike Just

The cryptocurrency ecosystem has been the centre of discussion on many social media platforms, following its noted volatility and varied opinions. Twitter is rapidly being utilised as a news source and a medium for bitcoin discussion. Our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-17 Haritha GB , Sahana N. B

Bitcoin is the most popular cryptocurrency used worldwide. It provides pseudonymity to its users by establishing identity using public keys as transaction end-points. These transactions are recorded on an immutable public ledger called…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Aman Sharma , Ashutosh Bhatia

In the Bitcoin white paper, Nakamoto proposed a very simple Byzantine fault tolerant consensus algorithm that is also known as Nakamoto consensus. Despite its simplicity, some existing analysis of Nakamoto consensus appears to be long and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Jianyu Niu , Chen Feng , Hoang Dau , Yu-Chih Huang , Jingge Zhu

Economic periods and financial crises have highlighted the importance of evaluating financial markets to investors and researchers in recent decades.

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-12 Sanaz Behzadi , Mahmonir Bayanati , Hamed Nozari

Recently, the notion of cryptocurrencies has come to the fore of public interest. These assets that exist only in electronic form, with no underlying value, offer the owners some protection from tracking or seizure by government or…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-09 Carey Caginalp
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