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Time series forecasting is one of the most essential and ubiquitous tasks in many business problems, including demand forecasting and logistics optimization. Traditional time series forecasting methods, however, have resulted in small…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Young-Jin Park , Donghyun Kim , Frédéric Odermatt , Juho Lee , Kyung-Min Kim

Hierarchical forecasting (HF) is needed in many situations in the supply chain (SC) because managers often need different levels of forecasts at different levels of SC to make a decision. Top-Down (TD), Bottom-Up (BU) and Optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Rob J Hyndman , Garth Tarr , Christoph Bergmeir

Existing hierarchical forecasting techniques scale poorly when the number of time series increases. We propose to learn a coherent forecast for millions of time series with a single bottom-level forecast model by using a sparse loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Olivier Sprangers , Wander Wadman , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

Collaborative forecasting involves exchanging information on how much of an item will be needed by a buyer and how much can be supplied by a seller or manufacturer in a supply chain. This exchange allows parties to plan their operations…

Applications · Statistics 2013-06-11 Burcu Aydın , J. S. Marron

This paper introduces a novel two-dimensional (2D) time series forecasting model that integrates cohort behavior over time, addressing challenges in small data environments. We demonstrate its efficacy using multiple real-world datasets,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Yonathan Guttel , Orit Moradov , Nachi Lieder , Asnat Greenstein-Messica

Temporal distribution shift (TDS) erodes the long-term accuracy of recommender systems, yet industrial practice still relies on periodic incremental training, which struggles to capture both stable and transient patterns. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Yuxuan Zhu , Cong Fu , Yabo Ni , Anxiang Zeng , Yuan Fang

Recommender system has become an inseparable part of online shopping and its usability is increasing with the advancement of these e-commerce sites. An effective and efficient recommender system benefits both the seller and the buyer…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-12-02 Md Rifat Arefin , Minhas Kamal , Kishan Kumar Ganguly , Tarek Salah Uddin Mahmud

Data-driven methods -- such as machine learning and time series forecasting -- are widely used for sales forecasting in the food retail domain. However, for newly introduced products insufficient training data is available to train accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Tristan Karb , Niklas Kühl , Robin Hirt , Varvara Glivici-Cotruta

Normalization and scaling are fundamental preprocessing steps in time series modeling, yet their role in Transformer-based models remains underexplored from a theoretical perspective. In this work, we present the first formal analysis of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Sofiane Ennadir , Tianze Wang , Oleg Smirnov , Sahar Asadi , Lele Cao

Time series forecasting is an important problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. In this paper, we propose to tackle such forecasting problem with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Shiyang Li , Xiaoyong Jin , Yao Xuan , Xiyou Zhou , Wenhu Chen , Yu-Xiang Wang , Xifeng Yan

Demand forecasting in supply chain management (SCM) is critical for optimizing inventory, reducing waste, and improving customer satisfaction. Conventional approaches frequently neglect external influences like weather, festivities, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Anees Fatima , Mohammad Abdus Salam

It is well-established that increased product visibility to shoppers leads to higher sales for retailers. In this study, we propose an optimization methodology which assigns product categories and subcategories to store locations and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Evren Gul , Alvin Lim , Jiefeng Xu

Functional time series whose sample elements are recorded sequentially over time are frequently encountered with increasing technology. Recent studies have shown that analyzing and forecasting of functional time series can be performed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

Sales forecasting plays a prominent role in business planning and business strategy. The value and importance of advance information is a cornerstone of planning activity, and a well-set forecast goal can guide sale-force more efficiently.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-17 Qiuping Xu , Vikas Sharma

Fashion discounters face the problem of ordering the right amount of pieces in each size of a product. The product is ordered in pre-packs containing a certain size-mix of a product. For this so-called lot-type design problem, a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-26 Miriam Kießling , Tobias Kreisel , Sascha Kurz , Jörg Rambau

Generative recommendation models can model user behavior as sequences of events and provide a shared backbone for multiple recommendation tasks. In production, however, pre-training gains do not automatically translate into downstream…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Qiuling Xu , Ko-Jen Hsiao , Moumita Bhattacharya

Time series analysis is used to understand and predict dynamic processes, including evolving demands in business, weather, markets, and biological rhythms. Exponential smoothing is used in all these domains to obtain simple interpretable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-02 Avner Abrami , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Younghun Kim

Demand functions for goods are generally cyclical in nature with characteristics such as trend or stochasticity. Most existing demand forecasting techniques in literature are designed to manage and forecast this type of demand functions.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-04 Murphy Choy , Michelle L. F. Cheong

Tree-based models have been successfully applied to a wide variety of tasks, including time series forecasting. They are increasingly in demand and widely accepted because of their comparatively high level of interpretability. However, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Matthias Jakobs , Amal Saadallah

In the survey we consider the case studies on sales time series forecasting, the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series using time trend correction, dynamic price and supply optimization using Q-learning, Bitcoin…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko