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Time series forecasting is important across various domains for decision-making. In particular, financial time series such as stock prices can be hard to predict as it is difficult to model short-term and long-term temporal dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Saba Rahimi , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Time series forecasting is essential for agents to make decisions. Traditional approaches rely on statistical methods to forecast given past numeric values. In practice, end-users often rely on visualizations such as charts and plots to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Srijan Sood , Zhen Zeng , Naftali Cohen , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

The multivariate time series generated from merchant transaction history can provide critical insights for payment processing companies. The capability of predicting merchants' future is crucial for fraud detection and recommendation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Chin-Chia Michael Yeh , Zhongfang Zhuang , Wei Zhang , Liang Wang

Rapid expansion of model size has emerged as a key challenge in time series forecasting. From early Transformer with tens of megabytes to recent architectures like TimesNet with thousands of megabytes, performance gains have often come at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Zeyan Li , Libing Chen , Yin Tang

This paper presents a time series forecasting framework which combines standard forecasting methods and a machine learning model. The inputs to the machine learning model are not lagged values or regular time series features, but instead…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-15 Shi Zhao , Ying Feng

Scalable real-time assortment optimization has become essential in e-commerce operations due to the need for personalization and the availability of a large variety of items. While this can be done when there are simplistic assortment…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-03 Theja Tulabandhula , Deeksha Sinha , Saketh Karra

We introduce a dynamic approach to probabilistic forecast reconciliation at scale. Our model differs from the existing literature in this area in several important ways. Firstly we explicitly allow the weights allocated to the base…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Ross Hollyman , Fotios Petropoulos , Michael E. Tipping

Amounts of historical data collected increase and business intelligence applicability with automatic forecasting of time series are in high demand. While no single time series modeling method is universal to all types of dynamics,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-18 Evaldas Vaiciukynas , Paulius Danenas , Vilius Kontrimas , Rimantas Butleris

Prognostics is a process of assessing the extent of deviation or degradation of a product from its expected normal operating condition, and then, based on continuous monitoring, predicting the future reliability of the product. By being…

Materials Science · Physics 2007-09-13 N. Vchare , M. Pecht

Predicting the outcome of sales opportunities is a core part of successful business management. Conventionally, making this prediction has relied mostly on subjective human evaluations in the process of sales decision making. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Alireza Rezazadeh

In this paper we discuss practical limitations of the standard choice-based demand models used in the literature to estimate demand from sales transaction data. We present modifications and extensions of the models and discuss data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Norbert Remenyi , Xiaodong Luo

In recent years, affiliate marketing has emerged as a revenue-sharing strategy where merchants collaborate with promoters to promote their products. It not only increases product exposure but also allows promoters to earn a commission. This…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Zhe Wang , Yaming Yang , Ziyu Guan , Bin Tong , Rui Wang , Wei Zhao , Hongbo Deng

Knowing if a user is a buyer or window shopper solely based on clickstream data is of crucial importance for e-commerce platforms seeking to implement real-time accurate NBA (next best action) policies. However, due to the low frequency of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-17 Jacopo Tagliabue , Lucas Lacasa , Ciro Greco , Mattia Pavoni , Andrea Polonioli

In the smart grid of the future, accurate load forecasts on the level of individual clients can help to balance supply and demand locally and to prevent grid outages. While the number of monitored clients will increase with the ongoing…

Retailers have significant potential to improve recommendations through strategic bundling and pricing. By taking into account different types of customers and their purchasing decisions, retailers can better accommodate customer…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-06 Maxime Bouscary , Mazen Danaf , Saurabh Amin

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in various fields. Reasonable prediction results can assist people in planning and decision-making, generate benefits and avoid risks. Normally, there are two characteristics of time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Yifu Zhou , Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren , Yueyang Wang , Xiaoqian Wang

Transmission system operators have a growing need for more accurate forecasting of electricity demand. Current electricity systems largely require demand forecasting so that the electricity market establishes electricity prices as well as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Oscar Trull , J. Carlos García-Díaz , Angel Peiró-Signes

We propose a novel machine learning approach for forecasting the distribution of stock returns using a rich set of firm-level and market predictors. Our method combines a two-stage quantile neural network with spline interpolation to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Jozef Barunik , Martin Hronec , Ondrej Tobek

With the rapid growth in the fashion e-commerce industry, it is becoming extremely challenging for the E-tailers to set an optimal price point for all the products on the platform. By establishing an optimal price point, they can maximize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Sajan Kedia , Samyak Jain , Abhishek Sharma

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun
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