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Accurate multi-horizon retail forecasts are critical for inventory and promotions. We present a novel study of weekly Walmart sales (45 stores, 2010--2012) using a Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) that fuses static store identifiers with…

This paper proposes a novel method for demand forecasting in a pricing context. Here, modeling the causal relationship between price as an input variable to demand is crucial because retailers aim to set prices in a (profit) optimal manner…

The field of retail analytics has been transformed by the availability of rich data which can be used to perform tasks such as demand forecasting and inventory management. However, one task which has proved more challenging is the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-16 James Pitkin , Ioanna Manolopoulou , Gordon Ross

With the ever increasing prominence of data in retail operations, sales forecasting has become an essential pillar in the efficient management of inventories. When facing high demand, the use of backroom storage and intraday shelf…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-17 Marc-Olivier Boldi , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Olivier Gallay

Due to accessible big data collections from consumers, products, and stores, advanced sales forecasting capabilities have drawn great attention from many companies especially in the retail business because of its importance in decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Xuan Bi , Gediminas Adomavicius , William Li , Annie Qu

This paper introduces an approach to reference class selection in distributional forecasting with an application to corporate sales growth rates using several co-variates as reference variables, that are implicit predictors. The method can…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Etienne Theising

Connecting consumers with relevant products is a very important problem in both online and offline commerce. In physical retail, product placement is an effective way to connect consumers with products. However, selecting product locations…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Porter Jenkins , Hua Wei , J. Stockton Jenkins , Zhenhui Li

Predicting future consumer behaviour is one of the most challenging problems for large scale retail firms. Accurate prediction of consumer purchase pattern enables better inventory planning and efficient personalized marketing strategies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Ankur Verma

In retail sales forecasting, accurately predicting future sales is crucial for inventory management and strategic planning. Traditional methods like LR often fall short due to the complexity of sales data, which includes seasonality and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Priyam Ganguly , Isha Mukherjee

Time-series forecasting has been an important research domain for so many years. Its applications include ECG predictions, sales forecasting, weather conditions, even COVID-19 spread predictions. These applications have motivated many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Shruti Jadon , Jan Kanty Milczek , Ajit Patankar

Evaluating retail strategies before deployment is difficult, as outcomes are determined across multiple stages, from seller-side persuasion through buyer-seller interaction to purchase decisions. However, existing retail simulators capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Jeonghwan Choi , Jibin Hwang , Gyeonghun Sun , Minjeong Ban , Taewon Yun , Hyeonjae Cheon , Hwanjun Song

This paper presents a framework capable of accurately forecasting future sales in the retail industry and classifying the product portfolio according to the expected level of forecasting reliability. The proposed framework, that would be of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-18 Emir Zunic , Kemal Korjenic , Kerim Hodzic , Dzenana Donko

Grocery retailers frequently apply price discounts to stimulate demand for expiring perishables. However, integrating these discounted sales into future demand forecasts presents a significant challenge. This study investigates the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-05 David Winkelmann , Theresa Elbracht , Jonas Brenker , Arnold Gerzen

Supply and demand are two fundamental concepts of sellers and customers. Predicting demand accurately is critical for organizations in order to be able to make plans. In this paper, we propose a new approach for demand prediction on an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Resul Tugay , Sule Gunduz Oguducu

The advent of financial technology has witnessed a surge in the utilization of deep learning models to anticipate consumer conduct, a trend that has demonstrated considerable potential in enhancing lending strategies and bolstering market…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Shenghan Zhao , Yuzhen Lin , Ximeng Yang , Qiaochu Lu , Haozhong Xue , Gaozhe Jiang

Forecasting enterprise-wide revenue is critical to many companies and presents several challenges and opportunities for significant business impact. This case study is based on model developments to address these challenges for forecasting…

We propose a transformer architecture for time series forecasting with a focus on time series tokenisation and apply it to a real-world prediction problem from the pricing domain. Our architecture aims to learn effective representations at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Egon Peršak , Miguel F. Anjos , Sebastian Lautz , Aleksandar Kolev

A retailer is purchasing goods in bundles from suppliers and then selling these goods in bundles to customers; her goal is to maximize profit, which is the revenue obtained from selling goods minus the cost of purchasing those goods. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Yossi Azar , Niv Buchbinder , Roie Levin , Or Vardi

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Rares Cristian , Pavithra Harsha , Clemente Ocejo , Georgia Perakis , Brian Quanz , Ioannis Spantidakis , Hamza Zerhouni

Multi-horizon time series forecasting has many practical applications such as demand forecasting. Accurate demand prediction is critical to help make buying and inventory decisions for supply chain management of e-commerce and physical…