English
Related papers

Related papers: Large Fluctuations in Locational Marginal Prices

200 papers

Many studies assume stock prices follow a random process known as geometric Brownian motion. Although approximately correct, this model fails to explain the frequent occurrence of extreme price movements, such as stock market crashes. Using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Miguel A. Fuentes , Austin Gerig , Javier Vicente

Recent research finds that forecasting electricity prices is very relevant. In many applications, it might be interesting to predict daily electricity prices by using their own lags or renewable energy sources. However, the recent turmoil…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-21 Claudia Foroni , Francesco Ravazzolo , Luca Rossini

The increasing penetration of variable renewable energy and flexible demand technologies, such as electric vehicles and heat pumps, introduces significant uncertainty in power systems, resulting in greater imbalance; defined as the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-08 Timothée Hornek , Sergio Potenciano Menci , Ivan Pavić

In this paper, a novel approach to define the optimal bidding of renewable-only virtual power plants (RVPPs) in the day-ahead, secondary reserve, and intra-day markets is proposed. To this aim, a robust optimization algorithm is developed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-20 Hadi Nemati , Pedro Sánchez-Martín , Álvaro Ortega , Lukas Sigrist , Enrique Lobato , Luis Rouco

We place limits on semiclassical fluctuations that might be present in the primordial perturbation spectrum. These can arise if some signatures of pre-inflationary features survive the expansion, or could be created by whatever mechanism…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-03-01 Grigor Aslanyan , Aneesh V. Manohar , Amit P. S. Yadav

Approximations to utility indifference prices are provided for a contingent claim in the large position size limit. Results are valid for general utility functions on the real line and semi-martingale models. It is shown that as the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-12 Scott Robertson

We investigate group formations and strategic behaviors of renewable power producers in electricity markets. These producers currently bid into the day-ahead market in a conservative fashion because of the real-time risk associated with not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Baosen Zhang , Ramesh Johari , Ram Rajagopal

Electricity price forecasting is a critical component of modern energy-management systems, yet existing approaches heavily rely on numerical histories and ignore contemporaneous textual signals. We introduce NSW-EPNews, the first benchmark…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Zhaoge Bi , Linghan Huang , Haolin Jin , Qingwen Zeng , Huaming Chen

In this paper, we address the issue of valuating Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) as Non-Wires Alternatives (NWAs) against wires investments in the traditional distribution network planning process. Motivated by the recent literature on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-06 Panagiotis Andrianesis , Michael Caramanis , Ralph Masiello , Richard Tabors , Shay Bahramirad

The exponential growth of renewable energy capacity has brought much uncertainty to electricity prices and to electricity generation. To address this challenge, the energy exchanges have been developing further trading possibilities,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-24 Michał Narajewski

Fluctuations in the large-scale structure of the Universe contain significant information about cosmological physics, but are modulated in survey datasets by various observational effects. Building on existing literature, we provide a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-14 Chris Blake

The frequency constitutes a key state variable of electrical power grids. However, as the frequency is subject to several sources of fluctuations, ranging from renewable volatility to demand fluctuations and dispatch, it is strongly…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-03-25 Mehrnaz Anvari , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Marc Timme , Dirk Witthaut , Benjamin Schäfer , Holger Kantz

The variability and intermittency of renewable energy sources pose several challenges for power systems operations, including energy curtailment and price volatility. In power systems with considerable renewable sources, co-variability in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-21 Elnaz Kabir , Vivek Srikrishnan , M. Vivienne Liu , Scott Steinschneider , C. Lindsay Anderson

The liberalization of electricity markets and the development of renewable energy sources has led to new challenges for decision makers. These challenges are accompanied by an increasing uncertainty about future electricity price movements.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-12 Florian Ziel , Rick Steinert

80% of all Renewable Energy Power in Germany is installed in tree-like distribution grids. Intermittent power fluctuations from such sources introduce new dynamics into the lower grid layers. At the same time, distributed resources will…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-11 Sabine Auer , Frank Hellmann , Marie Krause , Jürgen Kurths

This paper focuses on the problem of energy imbalance management in amicrogrid. The problem is investigated from the power market perspective. Unlike the traditional power grid, a microgrid can obtain extra energy froma renewable energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-16 Wei-Yu Chiu , Hongjian Sun , H. Vincent Poor

Grid security and open markets are two major smart grid goals. Transparency of market data facilitates a competitive and efficient energy environment, yet it may also reveal critical physical system information. Recovering the grid topology…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-17 Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis , Ross Baldick

The vast spatial dimension of modern interconnected electricity grids challenges the tractability of the DC optimal power flow problem. Grid aggregation methods try to overcome this challenge by reducing the number of network elements. Many…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Benjamin Stöckl , Yannick Werner , Sonja Wogrin

Relationships between the energy and the finance markets are increasingly important. Understanding these relationships is vital for policymakers and other stakeholders as the world faces challenges such as satisfying humanity's increasing…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-17 Orr Shahar , Stefan Lessmann , Daniel Traian Pele

In this review, we systematically examine the principles and the practices of fluctuations such as the momentum and the charge fluctuations as applied to the heavy ion collisions. Main emphases are: (i) Fluctuations as signals of phase…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Sangyong Jeon , Volker Koch