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In this work, a revised formulation of Chance-Constrained (CC) Model Predictive Control (MPC) is presented. The focus of this work is on the mathematical formulation of the revised CC-MPC, and the reason behind the need for its revision.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-17 Jan Lorenz Svensen , Hans Henrik Niemann , Anne Katrine Vinther Falk , Niels Kjølstad Poulsen

State estimation in water distribution networks (WDN), the problem of estimating all unknown network heads and flows given select measurements, is challenging due to the nonconvexity of hydraulic models and significant uncertainty from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Shen Wang , Ahmad F. Taha , Nikolaos Gatsis , Lina Sela , Marcio Giacomoni

Time series forecasting often demands a trade-off between accuracy and efficiency. While recent Transformer models have improved forecasting capabilities, they come with high computational costs. Linear-based models have shown better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Ahmad Mohammadshirazi , Pinaki Prasad Guha Neogi , Rajiv Ramnath

Several energy management applications rely on accurate photovoltaic generation forecasts. Common metrics like mean absolute error or root-mean-square error, omit error-distribution details needed for stochastic optimization. In addition,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Philipp Danner , Hermann de Meer

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is an optimal control strategy suited for flood control of water resources infrastructure. Despite many studies on reservoir flood control and their theoretical contribution, optimisation methodologies have…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-01 Ja-Ho Koo , Edo Abraham , Andreja Jonoski , Dimitri P. Solomatine

Air pollutants pose a significant threat to the environment and human health, thus forecasting accurate pollutant concentrations is essential for pollution warnings and policy-making. Existing studies predominantly focus on single-pollutant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Xu Fan , Zhihao Wang , Yuetan Lin , Yan Zhang , Yang Xiang , Hao Li

We propose and show the efficacy of a new method to address generic inverse problems. Inverse modeling is the task whereby one seeks to determine the control parameters of a natural system that produce a given set of observed measurements.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Gregory P. Spell , Simiao Ren , Leslie M. Collins , Jordan M. Malof

Turbulence modeling is a critical component in numerical simulations of industrial flows based on Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations. However, after decades of efforts in the turbulence modeling community, universally…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-03-22 Jian-Xun Wang , Jin-Long Wu , Heng Xiao

Accurate and timely estimation of precipitation is critical for issuing hazard warnings (e.g., for flash floods or landslides). Current remotely sensed precipitation products have a few hours of latency, associated with the acquisition and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Mohammad Reza Ehsani , Ariyan Zarei , Hoshin V. Gupta , Kobus Barnard , Ali Behrangi

Accurate long-range weather forecasting remains a major challenge for AI models, both because errors accumulate over autoregressive rollouts and because reanalysis datasets used for training offer a limited sample of the slow modes of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Scott A. Martin , Noah Brenowitz , Dale Durran , Michael Pritchard

We study how a Reinforcement Learning (RL) system can remain sample-efficient when learning from an imperfect model of the environment. This is particularly challenging when the learning system is resource-constrained and in continual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Bradley Burega , John D. Martin , Luke Kapeluck , Michael Bowling

This paper describes the procedure to estimate the parameters in mean reversion processes with functional tendency defined by a periodic continuous deterministic function, expressed as a series of truncated Fourier. Two phases of estimation…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-01 Juan Pablo Pérez Monsalve , Freddy H. Marín Sanchez

Accurate water level sensing is essential for flood monitoring, agricultural irrigation, and water resource optimization. Traditional methods require dedicated sensor deployments, leading to high installation costs, vulnerability to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Zhongqin Wang , J. Andrew Zhang , Kai Wu , Y. Jay Guo

Data-driven machine learning models often require extensive datasets, which can be costly or inaccessible, and their predictions may fail to comply with established physical laws. Current approaches for incorporating physical priors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Matilde Valente , Tiago C. Dias , Vasco Guerra , Rodrigo Ventura

Existing precipitation nowcasting methods typically adopt an autoregressive formulation, where future states are predicted from previous outputs. However, such an approach accumulates errors over long rollouts, causing forecasts to drift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Penghui Wen , Yu Luo , Lintao Wang , Mengwei He , Patrick Filippi , Thomas Francis Bishop , Zhiyong Wang

Accurately simulating the properties of liquid water remains a central challenge in molecular simulations. In this work, we use machine learning potentials to investigate how the convergence settings of electronic structure calculations…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Hubert Beck , Ondrej Marsalek

Radiography is often used to probe complex, evolving density fields in dynamic systems and in so doing gain insight into the underlying physics. This technique has been used in numerous fields including materials science, shock physics,…

Inversion methodology has been used to obtain, from multi-layer soil probes records, a complete soil parametrisation, namely water retention curve, unsaturated conductivity curve and bulk density at 4 depths. The approach integrates water…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-05-18 Giuliano Vitali , Mirco Iotti , Alessandra Zambonelli

Recently, diffusion models have been used to solve various inverse problems in an unsupervised manner with appropriate modifications to the sampling process. However, the current solvers, which recursively apply a reverse diffusion step…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Hyungjin Chung , Byeongsu Sim , Dohoon Ryu , Jong Chul Ye

Extreme precipitation causes severe societal and economic damage, and weather control has long been discussed as a potential mitigation strategy. However, to the best of our knowledge, perturbation-based interventions for weather control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera