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Theoretically, the conditional expectation of a square-integrable random variable $Y$ given a $d$-dimensional random vector $X$ can be obtained by minimizing the mean squared distance between $Y$ and $f(X)$ over all Borel measurable…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-22 Patrick Cheridito , Balint Gersey

Nowadays, massive datasets are typically dispersed across multiple locations, encountering dual challenges of high dimensionality and huge sample size. Therefore, it is necessary to explore sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Hongying Li , Minyi Zhu , Yaqi Cao , Xinyi Xu

The algorithmic Markov condition states that the most likely causal direction between two random variables X and Y can be identified as that direction with the lowest Kolmogorov complexity. Due to the halting problem, however, this notion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-23 Kailash Budhathoki , Jilles Vreeken

Conditional forecasts, i.e. projections of a set of variables of interest on the future paths of some other variables, are used routinely by empirical macroeconomists in a number of applied settings. In spite of this, the existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Joshua C. C. Chan , Davide Pettenuzzo , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu

Standard penalized methods of variable selection and parameter estimation rely on the magnitude of coefficient estimates to decide which variables to include in the final model. However, coefficient estimates are unreliable when the design…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Jonathan P Williams , Jan Hannig

We introduce a new class of conditional autoregressive models for spatially dependent functional data, formulated through conditional means given neighboring functional observations and characterized by a covariance operator and a spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Sooran Kim

Statistical learning evolves quickly with more and more sophisticated models proposed to incorporate the complicated data structure from modern scientific and business problems. Varying index coefficient models extend varying coefficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Li Jialiang , Lv Jing

We consider supervised dimension reduction problems, namely to identify a low dimensional projection of the predictors $\-x$ which can retain the statistical relationship between $\-x$ and the response variable $y$. We follow the idea of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-31 Xin Cai , Guang Lin , Jinglai Li

We consider the complex data modeling problem motivated by the zero-inflated and overdispersed data from microbiome studies. Analyzing how microbiome abundance is associated with human biological features, such as BMI, is of great…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Zirui Wang , Tianying Wang

In this paper, we consider a single-index mixed model with longitudinal data. A new set of estimating equations is proposed to estimate the single-index coefficient. The link function is estimated by using the local linear smoothing.…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-04-06 Zhen Pang , Liugen Xue

Consider a stationary real-valued time series $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ with a priori unknown distribution. The goal is to estimate the conditional expectation $E(X_{n+1}|X_0,..., X_n)$ based on the observations $(X_0,..., X_n)$ in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

We present a structured additive regression approach to model conditional densities given scalar covariates, where only samples of the conditional distributions are observed. This links our approach to distributional regression models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Eva-Maria Maier , Alexander Fottner , Sonja Greven , Almond Stöcker

Single-parameter summaries of variable effects in regression settings are desirable for ease of interpretation. However (partially) linear models for example, which would deliver these, may fit poorly to the data. On the other hand, an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Harvey Klyne , Rajen D. Shah

We propose new parametric frameworks of regression analysis with the conditional mode of a bounded response as the focal point of interest. Covariate effects estimation and prediction based on the maximum likelihood method under two new…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-22 Haiming Zhou , Xianzheng Huang

This paper proposes a regularized pairwise difference approach for estimating the linear component coefficient in a partially linear model, with consistency and exact rates of convergence obtained in high dimensions under mild scaling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-15 Fang Han , Zhao Ren , Yuxin Zhu

We introduce a new family of one factor distributions for high-dimensional binary data. The model provides an explicit probability for each event, thus avoiding the numeric approximations often made by existing methods. Model interpretation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-05 Matthieu Marbac , Mohammed Sedki

This paper studies estimation in functional linear quantile regression in which the dependent variable is scalar while the covariate is a function, and the conditional quantile for each fixed quantile index is modeled as a linear functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Kengo Kato

In this paper we propose new approaches to estimating large dimensional monotone index models. This class of models has been popular in the applied and theoretical econometrics literatures as it includes discrete choice, nonparametric…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-22 Shakeeb Khan , Xiaoying Lan , Elie Tamer , Qingsong Yao

A typical desideratum for quantifying the uncertainty from a classification model as a prediction set is class-conditional singleton set calibration. That is, such sets should map to the output of well-calibrated selective classifiers,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Allen Schmaltz , Danielle Rasooly

This paper investigates a new approach to estimate the gradient of the conditional probability given the covariates in the binary classification framework. The proposed approach consists in fitting a localized nearest-neighbor logistic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Touqeer Ahmad , François Portier , Gilles Stupfler
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