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This work introduces a novel probabilistic deep learning technique called deep Gaussian mixture ensembles (DGMEs), which enables accurate quantification of both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. By assuming the data generating process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Yousef El-Laham , Niccolò Dalmasso , Elizabeth Fons , Svitlana Vyetrenko

To achieve high performance of a machine learning (ML) task, a deep learning-based model must implicitly capture the entire distribution from data. Thus, it requires a huge amount of training samples, and data are expected to fully present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Hung Nguyen , Morris Chang

Recently, deep learning has emerged as a promising tool for statistical downscaling, the set of methods for generating high-resolution climate fields from coarse low-resolution variables. Nevertheless, their ability to generalize to climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Jose González-Abad , Jorge Baño-Medina

Ensemble learning is a popular technique to improve the accuracy of machine learning models. It traditionally hinges on the rationale that aggregating multiple weak models can lead to better models with lower variance and hence higher…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Huajie Qian , Donghao Ying , Henry Lam , Wotao Yin

In recent years, Deep-Learning Earth System Models (DL-ESMs) have emerged as promising, computationally efficient complements to traditional Earth system models. Here, we present an evaluation framework for testing DL-ESMs from a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-20 Giuliana Pallotta , Shiheng Duan , Céline Bonfils , Jiwoo Lee , Seth Goodnight , Paul Ullrich

A fundamental challenge for machine learning models is how to generalize learned models for out-of-distribution (OOD) data. Among various approaches, exploiting invariant features by Domain Adversarial Training (DAT) received widespread…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 YiFan Zhang , Xue Wang , Jian Liang , Zhang Zhang , Liang Wang , Rong Jin , Tieniu Tan

Bayesian deep learning (BDL) is a promising approach to achieve well-calibrated predictions on distribution-shifted data. Nevertheless, there exists no large-scale survey that evaluates recent SOTA methods on diverse, realistic, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Florian Seligmann , Philipp Becker , Michael Volpp , Gerhard Neumann

Evolution strategy (ES) has been shown great promise in many challenging reinforcement learning (RL) tasks, rivaling other state-of-the-art deep RL methods. Yet, there are two limitations in the current ES practice that may hinder its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Jiaxing Zhang , Hoang Tran , Guannan Zhang

Enforcing sparse structure within learning has led to significant advances in the field of data-driven discovery of dynamical systems. However, such methods require access not only to time-series of the state of the dynamical system, but…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-21 Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart , Jin-Long Wu

We present a general methodology for using unlabeled data to design semi supervised learning (SSL) variants of the Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) learning process. Focusing on generalized linear regression, we analyze of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-08 Oren Yuval , Saharon Rosset

Smoothers are algorithms for Bayesian time series re-analysis. Most operational smoothers rely either on affine Kalman-type transformations or on sequential importance sampling. These strategies occupy opposite ends of a spectrum that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-23 Maximilian Ramgraber , Ricardo Baptista , Dennis McLaughlin , Youssef Marzouk

An unsupervised framework for hyperspectral image (HSI) clustering is proposed that incorporates masked deep representation learning with diffusion-based clustering, extending the Spatially-Regularized Superpixel-based Diffusion Learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Vutichart Buranasiri , James M. Murphy

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

Manifold learning (ML) aims to seek low-dimensional embedding from high-dimensional data. The problem is challenging on real-world datasets, especially with under-sampling data, and we find that previous methods perform poorly in this case.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-27 Zelin Zang , Siyuan Li , Di Wu , Ge Wang , Lei Shang , Baigui Sun , Hao Li , Stan Z. Li

Deep learning models tend to memorize training data, which hurts their ability to generalize to under-represented classes. We empirically study a convolutional neural network's internal representation of imbalanced image data and measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Damien Dablain , Colin Bellinger , Bartosz Krawczyk , Nitesh Chawla

Recently, a number of works have studied clustering strategies that combine classical clustering algorithms and deep learning methods. These approaches follow either a sequential way, where a deep representation is learned using a deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-13 Severine Affeldt , Lazhar Labiod , Mohamed Nadif

Seismic data often contain gaps due to various obstacles in the investigated area and recording instrument failures. Deep learning techniques offer promising solutions for reconstructing missing data parts by leveraging existing…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-04-04 Mohammad Mahdi Abedi , David Pardo , Tariq Alkhalifah

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

Ensemble smoothers are among the most successful and efficient techniques currently available for history matching. However, because these methods rely on Gaussian assumptions, their performance is severely degraded when the prior geology…

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging due to complex time series (TS) which express three seasonal patterns and a nonlinear trend. This paper proposes a novel hybrid hierarchical deep learning model that deals with multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka