Related papers: Polytopes associated with lattices of subsets and …
Kim, Kim, and Neggers (2019) defined probability functions on a poset, by listing some very natural conditions that a function \(\pi: P \times P \to [0,1]\) should satisfy in order to capture the intuition of "the likelihood that \(a\)…
We are studying here a family of probability density functions indexed by a real parameter, and constructed from homographic relations between associated Stieltjes transforms. From the analysis of orthogonal polynomials we deduce a family…
Employing two models, we show that various counting functions of a random variable defined by restriction or contraction of a ranked set with multiplicity (e.g., classical and arithmetic matroids) have expectations given by the…
Here we develop an option pricing method based on Legendre series expansion of the density function. The key insight, relying on the close relation of the characteristic function with the series coefficients, allows to recover the density…
A mode of a probability vector is a local maximum with respect to some vicinity structure on the set of elementary events. The mode inequalities cut out a polytope from the simplex of probability vectors. Related to this is the concept of…
We propose a refinement of the random matrix model for a certain family of $L$-functions over $\mathbb F_q[u]$, using techniques that we hope will eventually apply to an arbitrary family of $L$-functions. This consists of a probability…
An unconstrained nonlinear binary optimization problem of selecting a maximum expected value subset of items is considered. Each item is associated with a profit and probability. Each of the items succeeds or fails independently with the…
The research problem in this work is the relaxation of maximizing non-negative submodular plus modular with the entire real number domain as its value range over a family of down-closed sets. We seek a feasible point $\mathbf{x}^*$ in the…
We consider the problem of approximation of density functions which is important in the theory of pricing of basket options. Our method is well adopted to the multidimensional case. Observe that implementations of polynomial and spline…
Mathematical psychology has a long tradition of modeling probabilistic choice via distribution-free random utility models and associated random preference models. For such models, the predicted choice probabilities often form a bounded and…
We construct a 2-parameter family of 4-dimensional polytopes with extreme combinatorial structure: In this family, the ``fatness'' of the f-vector gets arbitrarily close to 9, the ``complexity'' (given by the flag vector) gets arbitrarily…
We use the notions of reflexivity and of reflexive dimensions in order to introduce probability measures for lattice polytopes and initiate the investigation of their statistical properties. Examples of applications to discrete geometry…
In this paper we consider an aggregation model f: X1 x ... x Xn --> Y for arbitrary sets X1, ..., Xn and a finite distributive lattice Y, factorizable as f(x1, ..., xn) = p(u1(x1), ..., un(xn)), where p is an n-variable lattice polynomial…
Parameter estimation in HEP experiments often involves Monte-Carlo simulation to model the experimental response function. A typical application are forward-folding likelihood analyses with re-weighting, or time-consuming minimization…
Motivated by numerical methods for solving parametric partial differential equations, this paper studies the approximation of multivariate analytic functions by algebraic polynomials. We introduce various anisotropic model classes based on…
A statistical decision problem is hidden in the core of option pricing. A simple form for the price C of a European call option is obtained via the minimum Bayes risk, R_B, of a 2-parameter estimation problem, thus justifying calling C…
Set-membership estimation is usually formulated in the context of set-valued calculus and no probabilistic calculations are necessary. In this paper, we show that set-membership estimation can be equivalently formulated in the probabilistic…
In this paper we study the subset sum problem with real numbers. Starting from the given problem, we formulate a quadratic maximization problem over a polytope, P, which is eventually written as a distance maximization to a fixed point over…
The true probability of a European call option to achieve positive return is investigated under the Black-Scholes model. It is found that the probability is determined by those market factors appearing in the BS formula, besides the growth…
Previously, we have introduced a very small number of examples of what we call Ouroboros functions. Using our already established theory of Ouroboros spaces and their functions, we will provide a set of families of Ouroboros functions that…