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A dimension reduction-based adaptive-to-model test is proposed for significance of a subset of covariates in the context of a nonparametric regression model. Unlike existing local smoothing significance tests, the new test behaves like a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-06 Xuehu Zhu , Lixing Zhu

Many time series exhibit changes both in level and in variability. Generally, it is more important to detect a change in the level, and changing or smoothly evolving variability can confound existing tests. This paper develops a framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-09 Tomasz Gorecki , Lajos Horvath , Piotr Kokoszka

Testing for change points in sequences of covariance matrices is an important and equally challenging problem in statistical methodology with applications in various fields. Motivated by the observation that even in cases where the ratio…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nina Dörnemann , Holger Dette

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

High-dimensional changepoint inference, adaptable to diverse alternative scenarios, has attracted significant attention in recent years. In this paper, we propose an adaptive and robust approach to changepoint testing. Specifically, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Jixuan Liu , Long Feng , Liuhua Peng , Zhaojun Wang

In this paper we consider the problem of detecting a change in the parameters of an autoregressive process, where the moments of the innovation process do not necessarily exist. An empirical likelihood ratio test for the existence of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Fumiya Akashi , Holger Dette , Yan Liu

We develop a testing procedure for distinguishing between a long-range dependent time series and a weakly dependent time series with change-points in the mean. In the simplest case, under the null hypothesis the time series is weakly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth , Piotr Kokoszka , Qi-Man Shao

The aim of online monitoring is to issue an alarm as soon as there is significant evidence in the collected observations to suggest that the underlying data generating mechanism has changed. This work is concerned with open-end,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Mark Holmes , Ivan Kojadinovic

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We propose new tests to detect a change in the mean of a time series. Like many existing tests, the new ones are based on the CUSUM process. Existing CUSUM tests require an estimator of a scale parameter to make them asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Zsuzsanna Horváth , Marie Hušková

This paper investigates testing for deviation of a high-dimensional mean vector $\boldsymbol{\mu}$. In contrast to the standard one-sample significance test of the form: $H_0^\texttt{e} : \boldsymbol{\mu} = \boldsymbol{\mu}_0$ versus…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Zengjing Chen , Ruihan Liu , Jianfeng Yao

In this paper easily applicable techniques are devised for detecting changepoints in autocorrelated Gaussian sequences. Our method proceeds by sequential evaluation of a CUSUM-type test statistic, which is compared to a predefined…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 W. Ellens , J. Kuhn , M. Mandjes , P. Żuraniewski

We study the detection of change-points in time series. The classical CUSUM statistic for detection of jumps in the mean is known to be sensitive to outliers. We thus propose a robust test based on the Wilcoxon two-sample test statistic.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-10 Herold Dehling , Roland Fried , Isabel García , Martin Wendler

Change-point detection has been a classical problem in statistics and econometrics. This work focuses on the problem of detecting abrupt distributional changes in the data-generating distribution of a sequence of high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Shubhadeep Chakraborty , Xianyang Zhang

High-dimensional changepoint inference that adapts to various change patterns has received much attention recently. We propose a simple, fast yet effective approach for adaptive changepoint testing. The key observation is that two…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Guanghui Wang , Long Feng

Based on discrete observations, we develop a test to infer if the volatility function $\sigma(\cdot)$ within the nonparametric Gaussian white noise model $dY_t = \sigma(t)dW_t$ is constant. The testing procedure is shown to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Johannes Brutsche , Lukas Riepl

Change point detection in high dimensional data has found considerable interest in recent years. Most of the literature either designs methodology for a retrospective analysis, where the whole sample is already available when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Josua Gösmann , Christina Stoehr , Johannes Heiny , Holger Dette

The aim of sequential change-point detection is to issue an alarm when it is thought that certain probabilistic properties of the monitored observations have changed. This work is concerned with nonparametric, closed-end testing procedures…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Ghislain Verdier

A weakly dependent time series regression model with multivariate covariates and univariate observations is considered, for which we develop a procedure to detect whether the nonparametric conditional mean function is stable in time against…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Maria Mohr , Natalie Neumeyer

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani