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The likelihood ratio is a crucial quantity for statistical inference in science that enables hypothesis testing, construction of confidence intervals, reweighting of distributions, and more. Many modern scientific applications, however,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-12-11 Shahzar Rizvi , Mariel Pettee , Benjamin Nachman

A resonance peak in the invariant mass spectrum has been the main feature of a particle at collider experiments. However, broad resonances not exhibiting such a sharp peak are generically predicted in new physics models beyond the Standard…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-02-12 Sunghoon Jung , Dongsub Lee , Ke-Pan Xie

The observation of resonances is unequivocal evidence of new physics beyond the Standard Model at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC). So far, inclusive and model dependent searches have not provided evidence of new resonances, indicating that…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2021-11-29 Salah-eddine Dahbi , Joshua Choma , Bruce Mellado , Gaogalalwe Mokgatitswane , Xifeng Ruan , Benjamin Lieberman , Turgay Celik

Machine-learning techniques have become fundamental in high-energy physics and, for new physics searches, it is crucial to know their performance in terms of experimental sensitivity, understood as the statistical significance of the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-11-10 Ernesto Arganda , Xabier Marcano , Víctor Martín Lozano , Anibal D. Medina , Andres D. Perez , Manuel Szewc , Alejandro Szynkman

We develop, discuss, and compare several inference techniques to constrain theory parameters in collider experiments. By harnessing the latent-space structure of particle physics processes, we extract extra information from the simulator.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-09-19 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer , Gilles Louppe , Juan Pavez

Machine-Learned Likelihoods (MLL) combines machine-learning classification techniques with likelihood-based inference tests to estimate the experimental sensitivity of high-dimensional data sets. We extend the MLL method by including Kernel…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-12-18 Ernesto Arganda , Andres D. Perez , Martin de los Rios , Rosa María Sandá Seoane

Machine learning (ML) has emerged as a powerful tool for tackling complex regression and classification tasks, yet its success often hinges on the quality of training data. This study introduces an ML paradigm inspired by domain knowledge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Mohsen Rashki

In many real-world applications of machine learning classifiers, it is essential to predict the probability of an example belonging to a particular class. This paper proposes a simple technique for predicting probabilities based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Aditya Menon , Xiaoqian Jiang , Shankar Vembu , Charles Elkan , Lucila Ohno-Machado

Hidden Markov models and their variants are the predominant sequential classification method in such domains as speech recognition, bioinformatics and natural language processing. Being generative rather than discriminative models, however,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-18 John A. Quinn , Masashi Sugiyama

Frequency estimation from measurements corrupted by noise is a fundamental challenge across numerous engineering and scientific fields. Among the pivotal factors shaping the resolution capacity of any frequency estimation technique are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-23 Sampath Kumar Dondapati , Omkar Nitsure , Satish Mulleti

We present a new likelihood-ratio ranking statistic for use in searches for gravitational waves from the inspiral and merger of compact object binaries. Expanding on previous work, the ranking statistic incorporates a model for the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-04-21 Kipp Cannon , Chad Hanna , Jacob Peoples

We propose a machine-learning-based technique to determine the number density of radio sources as a function of their flux density, for use in next-generation radio surveys. The method uses a convolutional neural network trained on…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-01-17 Elisa Todarello , Andre Scaffidi , Marco Regis , Marco Taoso

When presenting forensic evidence, such as a DNA match, experts often use the Likelihood ratio (LR) to explain the impact of evidence . The LR measures the probative value of the evidence with respect to a single hypothesis such as 'DNA…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-11 Norman Fenton , Martin Neil

We consider the problem of inferring constraints on a high-dimensional parameter space with a computationally expensive likelihood function. We propose a machine learning algorithm that maps out the Frequentist confidence limit on parameter…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-09-25 Scott F. Daniel , Andrew J. Connolly , Jeff Schneider

In this work, we propose a generalized likelihood ratio method capable of training the artificial neural networks with some biological brain-like mechanisms,.e.g., (a) learning by the loss value, (b) learning via neurons with discontinuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Li Xiao , Yijie Peng , Jeff Hong , Zewu Ke , Shuhuai Yang

Machine learning techniques are now well established in experimental particle physics, allowing detector data to be analysed in new and unique ways. The identification of signals in particle observatories is an essential data processing…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2022-06-27 P. Brás , F. Neves , A. Lindote , A. Cottle , R. Cabrita , E. Lopez Asamar , G. Pereira , C. Silva , V. Solovov , M. I. Lopes

In particle physics, semi-supervised machine learning is an attractive option to reduce model dependencies searches beyond the Standard Model. When utilizing semi-supervised techniques in training machine learning models in the search for…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2021-09-16 Benjamin Lieberman , Joshua Choma , Salah-Eddine Dahbi , Bruce Mellado , Xifeng Ruan

The likelihood ratio (LR) measures the relative weight of forensic data regarding two hypotheses. Several levels of uncertainty arise if frequentist methods are chosen for its assessment: the assumed population model only approximates the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-26 Giulia Cereda

New heavy resonances are predicted by many extensions of the standard model of particle physics. Recent results for high mass resonance searches with the Compact Muon Solenoid detector, in the diphoton, dilepton, dijet and ttbar channels,…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2019-08-13 Toyoko J. Orimoto

"AI for science" is widely recognized as a future trend in the development of scientific research. Currently, although machine learning algorithms have played a crucial role in scientific research with numerous successful cases, relatively…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-07-11 Changliang Zhu , Chenchao Fang , Zhipeng Jin , Baowen Li , Xiangying Shen , Lei Xu
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