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In a high-frequency context, we investigate the efficient estimation of scaling and jump activity parameters for a stochastic differential equation driven by a L{\'e}vy process with both diffusion component and pure-jump component. We first…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Elise Bayraktar , Emmanuelle Clément

We study the existence and uniqueness of solutions to stochastic differential equations with Volterra processes driven by L\'evy noise. For this purpose, we study in detail smoothness properties of these processes. Special attention is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Giulia Di Nunno , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

In this paper, we present large deviation theory that characterizes the exponential estimate for rare events of stochastic dynamical systems in the limit of weak noise. We aim to consider next-to-leading-order approximation for more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-21 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Linghongzhi Lu , Xianbin Liu

Dynamical systems driven by nonlinear delay SDEs with small noise can exhibit important rare events on long timescales. When there is no delay, classical large deviations theory quantifies rare events such as escapes from metastable fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Robert Azencott , Brett Geiger , William Ott

This work is devoted to the investigation of the most probable transition path for stochastic dynamical systems driven by either symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy motion ($0<\alpha<1$) or Brownian motion. For stochastic dynamical systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Yuanfei Huang , Ying Chao , Shenglan Yuan , Jinqiao Duan

The question of deriving general force/flux relationships that apply out of the linear response regime is a central topic of theories for nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. This work applies an information theory perspective to compute…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-04 David M. Rogers

Koopman Mode Decomposition (KMD) is a technique of nonlinear time-series analysis that originates from point spectrum of the Koopman operator defined for an underlying nonlinear dynamical system. We present a numerical algorithm of KMD…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-18 Akitoshi Masuda , Yoshihiko Susuki , Manel Martínez-Ramón , Andrea Mammoli , Atsushi Ishigame

Given a stochastic dynamical system modelled via stochastic differential equations (SDEs), we evaluate the safety of the system through characterizations of its exit time moments. We lift the (possibly nonlinear) dynamics into the space of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-19 Peter Du , Katherine Driggs-Campbell , Roy Dong

Markedly increased computational power and data acquisition have led to growing interest in data-driven inverse dynamics problems. These seek to answer a fundamental question: What can we learn from time series measurements of a complex…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-29 Jinghao Lyu , Kyle J. Ray , James P. Crutchfield

Recent advancements in sensing and communication facilitate obtaining high-frequency real-time data from various physical systems like power networks, climate systems, biological networks, etc. However, since the data are recorded by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-12-27 S. Sinha , Sai P. Nandanoori , David Barajas-Solano

We analyze the stochastic thermodynamics of systems with continuous space of states. The evolution equation, the rate of entropy production, and other results are obtained by a continuous time limit of a discrete time formulation. We point…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-27 Mário J. de Oliveira

Symbolic dynamics has proven to be an invaluable tool in analyzing the mechanisms that lead to unpredictability and random behavior in nonlinear dynamical systems. Surprisingly, a discrete partition of continuous state space can produce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield

Many complex systems operating far from the equilibrium exhibit stochastic dynamics that can be described by a Langevin equation. Inferring Langevin equations from data can reveal how transient dynamics of such systems give rise to their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-01 Mikhail Genkin , Owen Hughes , Tatiana A. Engel

The concept of stochastic Lagrangian and its use in statistical dynamics is illustrated theoretically, and with some examples. Dynamical variables undergoing stochastic differential equations are stochastic processes themselves, and their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-18 Massimo Materassi

We introduce a fractional Klein-Kramers equation which describes sub-ballistic superdiffusion in phase space in the presence of a space-dependent external force field. This equation defines the differential L{\'e}vy walk model whose…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Ralf Metzler , Igor M. Sokolov

Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is crucial across various fields, facilitating tasks such as control, prediction, optimization, and fault detection. Many applications require methods capable of handling complex systems while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Luc Brogat-Motte , Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

We consider the task of generating discrete-time realisations of a nonlinear multivariate diffusion process satisfying an It\^o stochastic differential equation conditional on an observation taken at a fixed future time-point. Such…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-26 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

This paper proposes a physical-statistical modeling approach for spatio-temporal data arising from a class of stochastic convection-diffusion processes. Such processes are widely found in scientific and engineering applications where…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-07 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Siyuan Lu

In this paper we investigate classical solution of a semi-linear system of backward stochastic integral partial differential equations driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson point process. By proving an It\^{o}-Wentzell formula for jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-20 Shaokuan Chen , Shanjian Tang

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl