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Dynamic systems described by differential equations often involve feedback among system components. When there are time delays for components to sense and respond to feedback, delay differential equation (DDE) models are commonly used. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-24 Yuxuan Zhao , Samuel W. K. Wong

We consider the problem of optimizing a real-valued continuous function $f$ using a Bayesian approach, where the evaluations of $f$ are chosen sequentially by combining prior information about $f$, which is described by a random process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Romain Benassi , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

We consider adaptive finite element methods for solving a multiscale system consisting of a macroscale model comprising a system of reaction-diffusion partial differential equations coupled to a microscale model comprising a system of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-22 A. Johansson , J. H. Chaudry , V. Carey , D. Estep , V. Ginting , M. Larson , S. Tavener

Sequential Monte Carlo techniques are useful for state estimation in non-linear, non-Gaussian dynamic models. These methods allow us to approximate the joint posterior distribution using sequential importance sampling. In this framework,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-09 Mike Klaas , Nando de Freitas , Arnaud Doucet

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\bm\theta$ of physical significance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

We develop an approach to learn an interpretable semi-parametric model of a latent continuous-time stochastic dynamical system, assuming noisy high-dimensional outputs sampled at uneven times. The dynamics are described by a nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Lea Duncker , Gergo Bohner , Julien Boussard , Maneesh Sahani

Multiscale dynamical systems, modeled by high-dimensional stiff ordinary differential equations (ODEs) with wide-ranging characteristic timescales, arise across diverse fields of science and engineering, but their numerical solvers often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Junjie Yao , Yuxiao Yi , Liangkai Hang , Weinan E , Weizong Wang , Yaoyu Zhang , Tianhan Zhang , Zhi-Qin John Xu

The paper is devoted to the construction of a probabilistic particle algorithm. This is related to nonlin-ear forward Feynman-Kac type equation, which represents the solution of a nonconservative semilinear parabolic Partial Differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-15 Anthony Le Cavil , Nadia Oudjane , Francesco Russo

Bayesian methods are actively used for parameter identification and uncertainty quantification when solving nonlinear inverse problems with random noise. However, there are only few theoretical results justifying the Bayesian approach.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Vladimir Spokoiny

In this paper, we introduce a new approach to constructing unbiased estimators when computing expectations of path functionals associated with stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Our randomization idea is closely related to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-11 Chang-han Rhee , Peter W. Glynn

This position paper summarizes a recently developed research program focused on inference in the context of data centric science and engineering applications, and forecasts its trajectory forward over the next decade. Often one endeavours…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-06 Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov , Fangyuan Yu

In this paper we propose a new numerical method for solving stochastic differential equations (SDEs). As an application of this method we propose an explicit numerical scheme for a super linear SDE for which the usual Euler scheme diverges.

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-03-14 Nikolaos Halidias

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs), a framework of continuous-depth neural networks, have been widely applied, showing exceptional efficacy in coping with representative datasets. Recently, an augmented framework has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Qunxi Zhu , Yao Guo , Wei Lin

Structural equation models are commonly used to capture the relationship between sets of observed and unobservable variables. Traditionally these models are fitted using frequentist approaches but recently researchers and practitioners have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-22 Khue-Dung Dang , Luca Maestrini

The numerical solution of large-scale PDEs, such as those occurring in data-driven applications, unavoidably require powerful parallel computers and tailored parallel algorithms to make the best possible use of them. In fact, considerations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Francisco Bernal , Gonçalo dos Reis , Greig Smith

We propose a machine learning framework to accelerate numerical computations of time-dependent ODEs and PDEs. Our method is based on recasting (generalizations of) existing numerical methods as artificial neural networks, with a set of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Siddhartha Mishra

Deep Gaussian process models typically employ discrete hierarchies, but recent advancements in differential Gaussian processes (DiffGPs) have extended these models to infinite depths. However, existing DiffGP approaches often overlook the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Jian Xu , Zhiqi Lin , Min Chen , Junmei Yang , Delu Zeng , John Paisley

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

Efficient and stable solution of partial differential equations (PDEs) is central to scientific and engineering applications, yet existing numerical solvers rely heavily on matrix based discretizations, while learning based methods require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Yi Bing , Zheng Ran , Fu Jinyang , Liu Long , Peng Xiang