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Results obtained with stochastic methods have an inherent uncertainty due to the finite number of samples that can be achieved in practice. In lattice QCD this problem is particularly salient in some observables like, for instance,…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2025-03-13 Paulo F. Bedaque , Hyunwoo Oh

The generative large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for data augmentation tasks, where text samples are paraphrased (or generated anew) and then used for classifier fine-tuning. Existing works on augmentation leverage the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Jan Cegin , Branislav Pecher , Jakub Simko , Ivan Srba , Maria Bielikova , Peter Brusilovsky

The ever-increasing quantity of multivariate process data is driving a need for skilled engineers to analyze, interpret, and build models from such data. Multivariate data analytics relies heavily on linear algebra, optimization, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-08 Joachim Schaeffer , Richard Braatz

We develop variational Laplace for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) which exploits a local approximation of the curvature of the likelihood to estimate the ELBO without the need for stochastic sampling of the neural-network weights. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-21 Ali Unlu , Laurence Aitchison

We develop variational Laplace for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) which exploits a local approximation of the curvature of the likelihood to estimate the ELBO without the need for stochastic sampling of the neural-network weights. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-11 Ali Unlu , Laurence Aitchison

The Variational Bayesian method (VB) is used to solve the probability distributions of latent variables with the minimum free energy criterion. This criterion is not easy to understand, and the computation is complex. For these reasons,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Chenguang Lu

Random-effects models are central to meta-analysis, yet the between-study variance is often underestimated when the number of studies is small. In such settings, confidence intervals become unduly narrow and fail to attain the nominal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Keisuke Hanada , Tomoyuki Sugimoto

For linear models that may have asymmetric errors, we study variable selection by cross-validation. The data are split into training and validation sets, with the number of observations in the validation set much larger than in the training…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Bilel Bousselmi , Gabriela Ciuperca

A learned generative model often produces biased statistics relative to the underlying data distribution. A standard technique to correct this bias is importance sampling, where samples from the model are weighted by the likelihood ratio…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Aditya Grover , Jiaming Song , Alekh Agarwal , Kenneth Tran , Ashish Kapoor , Eric Horvitz , Stefano Ermon

Multi-Task Learning (MTL) has achieved success in various fields. However, how to balance different tasks to achieve good performance is a key problem. To achieve the task balancing, there are many works to carefully design dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-28 Baijiong Lin , Feiyang Ye , Yu Zhang , Ivor W. Tsang

We present improved methods for calculating confidence intervals and $p$-values in situations where standard asymptotic approaches fail due to small sample sizes. We apply these techniques to a specific class of statistical model that can…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-11 Enzo Canonero , Alessandra Rosalba Brazzale , Glen Cowan

While there appears to be a general consensus in the literature on the definition of the estimand and estimator associated with the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test, it seems somewhat less clear as to how best to estimate the variance. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Claus P. Nowak , Markus Pauly , Edgar Brunner

Currently, machine learning (ML) methods are widely used to process the results of physical experiments. In some cases, due to the limited amount of experimental data, ML-models can be pre-trained on synthetic data simulated based on the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-09-22 Y. R. Rodimkov , V. D. Volokitin , I. B. Meyerov , E. S. Efimenko

The outcome of Large Language Model (LLM) pre-training strongly depends on weight initialization and variance control strategies. Although the importance of initial variance control has been well documented in neural networks in general,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Louis Owen , Abhay Kumar , Nilabhra Roy Chowdhury , Fabian Güra

We propose a novel class of language models, Latent Thought Models (LTMs), which incorporate explicit latent thought vectors that follow an explicit prior model in latent space. These latent thought vectors guide the autoregressive…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Deqian Kong , Minglu Zhao , Dehong Xu , Bo Pang , Shu Wang , Edouardo Honig , Zhangzhang Si , Chuan Li , Jianwen Xie , Sirui Xie , Ying Nian Wu

Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) have made remarkable developments along with the recent surge of large language models. Despite their advancements, LVLMs have a tendency to generate plausible yet inaccurate or inconsistent information…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Dexter Neo , Tsuhan Chen

Parametric hypothesis testing associated with two independent samples arises frequently in several applications in biology, medical sciences, epidemiology, reliability and many more. In this paper, we propose robust Wald-type tests for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh , Nirian Martin , Ayanendranath Basu , Leandro Pardo

Inference based on the penalized density ratio model is proposed and studied. The model under consideration is specified by assuming that the log--likelihood function of two unknown densities is of some parametric form. The model has been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-17 Konstantinos Fokianos

We propose a general procedure for estimating the variance-covariance matrix of two-step estimates of structural parameters in latent variable models. The method is partially simulation-based, in that it includes drawing simulated values of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Roberto Di Mari , Jouni Kuha

Precise behavioral control of large language models (LLMs) is critical for complex applications. However, existing methods often incur high training costs, lack natural language controllability, or compromise semantic coherence. To bridge…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Haonan Yu , Junhao Liu , Zhenyu Yan , Haoran Lin , Xin Zhang