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We employ model predictive control for a multi-period portfolio optimization problem. In addition to the mean-variance objective, we construct a portfolio whose allocation is given by model predictive control with a risk-parity objective,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-22 Xiaoyue Li , A. Sinem Uysal , John M. Mulvey

We attempt to mitigate the persistent tradeoff between risk and return in medium- to long-term portfolio management. This paper proposes a novel LLM-guided no-regret portfolio allocation framework that integrates online learning dynamics,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-27 Muhammad Abro , Hassan Jaleel

High-dimensional linear regression under heavy-tailed noise or outlier corruption is challenging, both computationally and statistically. Convex approaches have been proven statistically optimal but suffer from high computational costs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Yinan Shen , Jingyang Li , Jian-Feng Cai , Dong Xia

We propose a principal components regression method based on maximizing a joint pseudo-likelihood for responses and predictors. Our method uses both responses and predictors to select linear combinations of the predictors relevant for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Karl Oskar Ekvall

The theory of statistical inference along with the strategy of divide-and-conquer for large- scale data analysis has recently attracted considerable interest due to great popularity of the MapReduce programming paradigm in the Apache Hadoop…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-14 Ling Zhou , Peter X. -K. Song

The linear regression models are widely used statistical techniques in numerous practical applications. The standard regression model requires several assumptions about the regres- sors and the error term. The regression parameters are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-23 P. Vellaisamy

We adopt and expand McDonald's (2011) regression framework for measurement precision, integrating two key perspectives: (a) reliability of observed scores and (b) optimal prediction of latent scores. Reliability arises from a measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Yang Liu , Jolynn Pek , Alberto Maydeu-Olivares

In the past decade many researchers have proposed new optimal portfolio selection strategies to show that sophisticated diversification can outperform the na\"ive 1/N strategy in out-of-sample benchmarks. Providing an updated review of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-21 Johannes Bock

Structured additive distributional regression models offer a versatile framework for estimating complete conditional distributions by relating all parameters of a parametric distribution to covariates. Although these models efficiently…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Jana Kleinemeier , Nadja Klein

Using rough path techniques, we provide a priori estimates for the output of Deep Residual Neural Networks in terms of both the input data and the (trained) network weights. As trained network weights are typically very rough when seen as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Christian Bayer , Peter K. Friz , Nikolas Tapia

We present a new distribution-free conformal prediction algorithm for sequential data (e.g., time series), called the \textit{sequential predictive conformal inference} (\texttt{SPCI}). We specifically account for the nature that time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-31 Chen Xu , Yao Xie

Newton-type solvers have been extensively employed for solving a variety of nonlinear system of algebraic equations. However, for some complex nonlinear system of algebraic equations, efficiently solving these systems remains a challenging…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Renjie Ding , Dongling Wang

We consider the problem of robust polynomial regression, where one receives samples $(x_i, y_i)$ that are usually within $\sigma$ of a polynomial $y = p(x)$, but have a $\rho$ chance of being arbitrary adversarial outliers. Previously, it…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-08-11 Daniel Kane , Sushrut Karmalkar , Eric Price

Robust estimation for modern portfolio selection on a large set of assets becomes more important due to large deviation of empirical inference on big data. We propose a distributionally robust methodology for high-dimensional mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang , Han Lin Shang , Huanjun Zhu

We construct efficient robust truncated sequential estimators for the pointwise estimation problem in nonparametric autoregression models with smooth coefficients. For Gaussian models we propose an adaptive procedure based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Ouerdia Arkoun , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

This paper proposes the capped least squares regression with an adaptive resistance parameter, hence the name, adaptive capped least squares regression. The key observation is, by taking the resistant parameter to be data dependent, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Qiang Sun , Rui Mao , Wen-Xin Zhou

Identifying breakpoints in piecewise regression is critical in enhancing the reliability and interpretability of data fitting. In this paper, we propose novel algorithms based on the greedy algorithm to accurately and efficiently identify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Taehyeong Kim , Hyungu Lee , Myungjin Kim , Hayoung Choi

We present a parsimonious neural network approach, which does not rely on dynamic programming techniques, to solve dynamic portfolio optimization problems subject to multiple investment constraints. The number of parameters of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-17 Pieter M. van Staden , Peter A. Forsyth , Yuying Li

Large sectors of the recent optimization literature focused in the last decade on the development of optimal stochastic first order schemes for constrained convex models under progressively relaxed assumptions. Stochastic proximal point is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Andrei Patrascu

We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Patrick Chao , Tahereh Mazaheri , Bo Sun , Nicholas B. Weingartner , Zohar Nussinov