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The existence of fluctuations of temperature has been a somewhat controversial topic in thermodynamics but nowadays it is recognized that they must be taken into account in small, finite systems. Although for nonequilibrium steady states…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-05 Sergio Davis

Quantitative estimates of the contributions of the anthropogenic forcing, characterized by changes in the radiative forcing of atmospheric greenhouse gases (CO2, in particular), and solar activity variations to the trends of the global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-11 Igor I. Mokhov , Dmitry A. Smirnov

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports indicate that the global mean temperature is about one-degree Celsius higher than pre-industrial levels, that this increase is anthropogenic, and that there is a causal relationship…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-25 Jean-Sebastien Gagnon

The variation with time from 1956-2002 of the globally averaged rate of ionization produced by cosmic rays in the atmosphere is deduced and shown to have a cyclic component of period roughly twice the 11 year solar cycle period. Long term…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. D. Erlykin , T. Sloan , A. W. Wolfendale

Turbulent flows frequently accompany physical, chemical and biological processes, such as mixing, two-phase flow, combustion and even foraging by bacteria and plankton larvae, all of which are in principle subject to thermal fluctuations…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-08 Dmytro Bandak , Gregory L. Eyink , Alexei Mailybaev , Nigel Goldenfeld

We test the scaling performance of seven leading global climate models by using detrended fluctuation analysis. We analyse temperature records of six representative sites around the globe simulated by the models, for two different…

In order to understand the climate on terrestrial planets orbiting nearby Sun-like stars, one would like to know their thermal inertia. We use a global climate model to simulate the thermal phase variations of Earth-analogs and test whether…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Nicolas B. Cowan , Aiko Voigt , Dorian S. Abbot

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key component of the climate system and considered to be a tipping element. There is still a large uncertainty on the critical global warming level at which the AMOC will start to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-30 René M. van Westen , Elian Y. P. Vanderborght , Michael Kliphuis , Henk A. Dijkstra

Fluctuations in conjugate thermodynamic variables are studied using the cross-correlation function. A new procedure is given enabling the derivation of fluctuation formulas for a system in equilibrium. Specifically, the cross-correlation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-03 Jean-Luc Garden

The detection of cause-effect relationships from the analysis of paleoclimatic records is a crucial step to disentangle the main mechanisms at work in the climate system. Here, we show that the approach based on the generalized…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-22 Marco Baldovin , Fabio Cecconi , Antonello Provenzale , Angelo Vulpiani

A lagrangian for the $k-$ essence field is constructed for a constant scalar potential and its form determined when the scale factor was very small compared to the present epoch but very large compared to the inflationary epoch. This means…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-11-18 Debashis Gangopadhyay

We study analytically the distribution of fluctuations of the quantities whose average yield the usual two-point correlation and linear response functions in three unfrustrated models: the random walk, the $d$ dimensional scalar field and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-12 Federico Corberi , Leticia F. Cugliandolo

50 year-long time series from a Long Term Agronomic Experiment have been used to to investigate the effects of climate change on yields of Wheat and Maize. Trends and fluctuations, useful to estimate production forecasts and related risks…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-18 Giuliano Vitali , Sergei Rogosin , Guido Baldoni

We consider a pointlike two-level system undergoing uniformly accelerated motion. We evaluate the transition probability for a finite time interval of this system coupled to a massless scalar field near a fluctuating event horizon. Horizon…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-05-30 E. Arias , G. Krein , G. Menezes , N. F. Svaiter

Despite major advances in climate science over the last 30 years, persistent uncertainties in projections of future climate change remain. Climate projections are produced with increasingly complex models which attempt to represent key…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 Mark S. Williamson , Chad W. Thackeray , Peter M. Cox , Alex Hall , Chris Huntingford , Femke J. M. M. Nijsse

Rapid changes in climatic conditions threaten both socioeconomic and ecological systems, as these might not be able to adapt or to migrate at the same pace as that of global warming. In particular, an increase of weather and climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-14 Joan Rey , Guillaume Rohat , Marjorie Perroud , Stéphane Goyette , Jérôme Kasparian

Thermal diffusion has been studied for over 150 years. Despite of the long history and the increasing importance of the phenomenon, the physics of thermal diffusion remains poorly understood. In this paper Ludwig's thermal diffusion is…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-07-18 Yong-Jung Kim

Severity of warming predicted by climate models depends on their Transient Climate Response (TCR). Inter-model spread of TCR has persisted at ~100% of its mean for decades. Existing observational constraints of TCR are based on observed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-25 King-Fai Li , Ka-Kit Tung

We numerically simulate a thermalization process in an energy landscape with hierarchically organized metastable states. The initial configuration is chosen to have a large energy excess, relative to the thermal equilibrium value at the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Andreas Fischer , Paolo Sibani , Karl Heinz Hoffmann

Trend-Run model was performed to estimate the trend in surface temperatures recorded at 12 sites in Guinea from 1960 to 2016 and to examine the contribution of each climate forcing. The coefficient of determination (R 2) calculated varies…

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