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The superposition of temporal point processes has been studied for many years, although the usefulness of such models for practical applications has not be fully developed. We investigate superposed Hawkes process as an important class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Hongteng Xu , Dixin Luo , Xu Chen , Lawrence Carin

The Hawkes process is a widely used model in many areas, such as finance, seismology, neuroscience, epidemiology, and social sciences. Estimation of the Hawkes process from continuous observations of a sample path is relatively…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Feng Chen , Jeffrey Kwan , Tom Stindl

The multivariate Hawkes process is a past-dependent point process used to model the relationship of event occurrences between different phenomena.Although the Hawkes process was originally introduced to describe excitation effects, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-30 Anna Bonnet , Miguel Martinez Herrera , Maxime Sangnier

We prove a pointwise ergodic theorem for quasi-probability-measure-preserving (quasi-pmp) locally countable measurable graphs, equivalently, Schreier graphs of quasi-pmp actions of countable groups. For ergodic graphs, the theorem gives an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Anush Tserunyan

We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Daira Velandia , François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Xavier Gendre , Jean-Michel Loubes

This paper discusses a special class of nonlinear Hawkes processes, where the rate function is the exponential function. We call these processes loglinear Hawkes processes. In the main theorem, we give sufficient conditions for explosion…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Matthias Kirchner , Mariusz Niewęgłowski

This paper discusses an abstract Kramer sampling theorem for functions within a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) of vector valued holomorphic functions. Additionally, we extend the concept of quasi Lagrange-type interpolation for…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Subhankar Mahapatra , Santanu Sarkar

The purpose of this paper is to study the convergence of the quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimator for long memory linear processes. We first establish a correspondence between the long-memory linear process representation and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Jean-Marc Bardet , Yves Gael Tchabo Mbienkeu

Extreme-value theory for random vectors and stochastic processes with continuous trajectories is usually formulated for random objects all of whose univariate marginal distributions are identical. In the spirit of Sklar's theorem from…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-23 Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

We propose a general framework using spike-and-slab prior distributions to aid with the development of high-dimensional Bayesian inference. Our framework allows inference with a general quasi-likelihood function. We show that highly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Yves Atchade , Anwesha Bhattacharyya

Due to its clustering and self-exciting properties, the Hawkes process has been used extensively in numerous fields ranging from sismology to finance. Since data is often aquired on regular time intervals, we propose a piece-wise constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-28 Lorick Huang , Mahmoud Khabou

We introduce the concept of an imprecise Markov semigroup \(\mathbf Q\). It is a tool that allows us to represent ambiguity around both the transition probabilities and the invariant measure of a continuous-time Markov process via a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Michele Caprio , Mengqi Chen

We compute the full off-diagonal asymptotics of the equivariant and partial Bergman kernels associated with a circle action on a prequantized K\"ahler manifold with bounded geometry at infinity, then use these results to compute the…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Louis Ioos

We introduce a class of semiparametric time series models by assuming a quasi-likelihood approach driven by a latent factor process. More specifically, given the latent process, we only specify the conditional mean and variance of the time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Gisele O. Maia , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Fernando S. Bastos , Hernando Ombao

An extension of the conditional expectations (those under a given subalgebra of events and not the simple ones under a single event) from the classical to the quantum case is presented. In the classical case, the conditional expectations…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-01-22 Gerd Niestegge

We establish the asymptotic normality of the kernel type estimator for the regression function constructed from quasi-associated data when the explanatory variable takes its values in a separable Hilbert space.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-08 Lahcen Douge

We address the challenge of estimating the hyperuniformity exponent $\alpha$ of a spatial point process, given only one realization of it. Assuming that the structure factor $S$ of the point process follows a vanishing power law at the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Gabriel Mastrilli , Bartłomiej Błaszczyszyn , Frédéric Lavancier

The treatment of two-dimensional random walks in the quarter plane leads to Markov processes which involve semi-infinite matrices having Toeplitz or block Toeplitz structure plus a low-rank correction. Finding the steady state probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Dario A. Bini , Stefano Massei , Beatrice Meini , Leonardo Robol

In this note we prove the strong Feller property of a strong Markov quasi diffusion process corresponding to an elliptic operator with merely bounded measurable coefficients. We also prove H\"older continuity of harmonic functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Timur Yastrzhembskiy

The Hawkes process is a simple point process with wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. The Hawkes process is defined for continuous-time setting. However, data is also recorded in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang