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Related papers: On risk models with dependence

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In this article we differentiate and characterize the standard two-process serial models and the standard two process parallel models by investigating the behavior of (conditional) distributions of the total completion times and survivals…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-05 Ru Zhang , Yanjun Liu , James T. Townsend

We discuss two distinct approaches, for distorting risk measures of sums of dependent random variables, which preserve the property of coherence. The first, based on distorted expectations, operates on the survival function of the sum. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-17 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

Flood quantile estimation is of great importance for many engineering studies and policy decisions. However, practitioners must often deal with small data available. Thus, the information must be used optimally. In the last decades, to…

Applications · Statistics 2009-11-13 Mathieu Ribatet , Taha B. M. J. Ouarda , Eric Sauquet , Jean-Michel Grésillon

We propose a stochastic model for claims reserving that captures dependence along development years within a single triangle. This dependence is of autoregressive form of order $p$ and is achieved through the use of latent variables. We…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-02 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Rodrigo S. Targino

We study the optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance problem when both the intensity of the claims arrival process and the claim size distribution are influenced by an exogenous stochastic factor. We assume that the insurer's surplus is governed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-12 Matteo Brachetta , Claudia Ceci

The classical Cramer-Lundberg model was the first attempt to describe the financial condition of the insurance company. The incomes were approximated by a steady stream of money, insurance payments were not limited and could take any value…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-09 B. H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn , A. Lechańska , J. K. Misiewicz

Testing for pairwise independence for the case where the number of variables may be of the same size or even larger than the sample size has received increasing attention in the recent years. We contribute to this branch of the literature…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Axel Bücher , Cambyse Pakzad

Diffusion in a linear potential in the presence of position-dependent killing is used to mimic a default process. Different assumptions regarding transport coefficients, initial conditions, and elasticity of the killing measure lead to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Yuri A. Katz

In this paper, we address risk aggregation and capital allocation problems in the presence of dependence between risks. The dependence structure is defined by a mixed Bernstein copula which represents a generalization of the well-known…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-23 Fouad Marri , Khouzeima Moutanabbir

In this text, we establish the risk model based on AR(1) series and propose the basic model which has a dependent structure under intensity of claim number. Considering some properties of the risk model, we take advantage of newton…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-31 Wenhao Li , Bolong Wang , Tianxiang Shen , Ronghua Zhu , Dehui Wang

In this work, we derive a complete characterization of all ruin-inducing probability measures that preserve the structure of a given compound renewal process in terms of suitable pairs of functions $(\gamma,\delta)$. This result allows us…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Apostolos Bozikas

Analysing dependent risks is an important task for insurance companies. A dependency is reflected in the fact that information about one random variable provides information about the likely distribution of values of another random…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-22 Sen Hu , Adrian O'Hagan

This paper is concerned with modeling the dependence structure of two (or more) time-series in the presence of a (possible multivariate) covariate which may include past values of the time series. We assume that the covariate influences…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Natalie Neumeyer , Marek Omelka , Sarka Hudecova

This paper presents a new copula to model dependencies between insurance entities, by considering how insurance entities are affected by both macro and micro factors. The model used to build the copula assumes that the insurance losses of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Samiha Ismail , Gao Yu , Gesine Reinert , Trevor Maynard

Risk assessment of hurricane-driven storm surge relies on deterministic computer models that produce outputs over a large spatial domain. The surge models can often be run at a range of fidelity levels, with greater precision yielding more…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Cyrus S. McCrimmon , Pulong Ma

Inferential models (IMs) are data-dependent, imprecise-probabilistic structures designed to quantify uncertainty about unknowns. As the name suggests, the focus has been on uncertainty quantification for inference and on its reliability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Ryan Martin , Shih-Ni Prim , Jonathan Williams

This paper presents comparison results and establishes risk bounds for credit portfolios within classes of Bernoulli mixture models, assuming conditionally independent defaults that are stochastically increasing with a common risk factor.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-24 Jonathan Ansari , Eva Lütkebohmert

In this paper, we define a compound generalized fractional counting process (CGFCP) which is a generalization of the compound versions of several well-known fractional counting processes. We obtain its mean, variance, and the fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Ritik Soni , Ashok Kumar Pathak

A new class of copulas, termed the MGL copula class, is introduced. The new copula originates from extracting the dependence function of the multivariate generalized log-Moyal-gamma distribution whose marginals follow the univariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-23 Zhengxiao Li , Jan Beirlant , Liang Yang

Define a $\gamma$-reflected process $W_\gamma(t)=Y_H(t)-\gamma\inf_{s\in[0,t]}Y_H(s)$, $t\ge0$ with input process $\{Y_H(t), t\ge 0\}$ which is a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in (0,1)$ and a negative linear trend. In risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-12 Peng Liu , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji
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