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When comparing approximate Gaussian process (GP) models, it can be helpful to be able to generate data from any GP. If we are interested in how approximate methods perform at scale, we may wish to generate very large synthetic datasets to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-03 Anthony Stephenson , Robert Allison , Edward Pyzer-Knapp

We continue the research of Lata{\l}a on improving estimates of $p$-th moments of sums of independent random variables. We generalize some of his results in the case when $2 \leq p \leq 4$ and present a combinatorial approach for even…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-20 Marcin Lis

Directed information and its causally conditioned variations are often used to measure causal influences between random processes. In practice, these quantities must be measured from data. Non-asymptotic error bounds for these estimates are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yuping Zheng , Andrew Lamperski

In this article, we consider Poisson and Poisson convoluted geometric approximation to the sums of $n$ independent random variables under moment conditions. We use Stein's method to derive the approximation results in total variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Pratima Eknath Kadu

Accurate tuning of hyperparameters is crucial to ensure that models can generalise effectively across different settings. In this paper, we present theoretical guarantees for hyperparameter selection using variational Bayes in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabó

We prove the large-dimensional Gaussian approximation of a sum of $n$ independent random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$ together with fourth-moment error bounds on convex sets and Euclidean balls. We show that compared with classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-03 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

We study the largest gaps between successive zeros of a smooth stationary Gaussian process. Our main result is that, if correlations decay at least polynomially, then after suitable rescaling of the locations and sizes of the largest gaps…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Renjie Feng , Stephen Muirhead

High-precision measurements require optimal setups and analysis tools to achieve continuous improvements. Systematic corrections need to be modeled with high accuracy and known uncertainty to reconstruct underlying physical phenomena. To…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-31 Max Lamparth , Mattis Bestehorn , Bastian Märkisch

One reason why standard formulations of the central limit theorems are not applicable in high-dimensional and non-stationary regimes is the lack of a suitable limit object. Instead, suitable distributional approximations can be used, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Fabian Mies

Approximation algorithms are widely used in many engineering problems. To obtain a data set for approximation a factorial design of experiments is often used. In such case the size of the data set can be very large. Therefore, one of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-04 Mikhail Belyaev , Evgeny Burnaev , Yermek Kapushev

We consider the Gaussian approximation for functionals of a Poisson process that are expressible as sums of region-stabilizing (determined by the points of the process within some specified regions) score functions and provide a bound on…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Ilya Molchanov

We study the use of Gaussian process emulators to approximate the parameter-to-observation map or the negative log-likelihood in Bayesian inverse problems. We prove error bounds on the Hellinger distance between the true posterior…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of the maxima of suprema of dependent Gaussian processes with trend. For different scales of the time horizon we obtain different normalizing functions for the convergence of the maxima.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Lanpeng Ji , Xiaofan Peng

We consider the problem of breaking a multivariate (vector) time series into segments over which the data is well explained as independent samples from a Gaussian distribution. We formulate this as a covariance-regularized maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-30 David Hallac , Peter Nystrup , Stephen Boyd

Are Gaussian measurements enough to distinguish between Gaussian states? Here, we tackle this question by focusing on the max-relative entropy as an operational distinguishability metric. Given two general multimode Gaussian states, we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-13 Leah Turner , Ludovico Lami , Madalin Guta , Gerardo Adesso

The goal of this paper is to characterize Gaussian-Process optimization in the setting where the function domain is large relative to the number of admissible function evaluations, i.e., where it is impossible to find the global optimum. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Manuel Wüthrich , Bernhard Schölkopf , Andreas Krause

Let $\mathcal{T}$ be a rooted tree endowed with the natural partial order $\preceq$. Let $(Z(v))_{v\in \mathcal{T}}$ be a sequence of independent standard Gaussian random variables and let $\alpha = (\alpha_k)_{k=1}^\infty$ be a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Yong Han , Yanqi Qiu , Zipeng Wang

For probability distributions on $\mathbb{R}^n$, we study the optimal sample size N = N(n,p) that suffices to uniformly approximate the pth moments of all one-dimensional marginals. Under the assumption that the marginals have bounded 4p…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-21 Roman Vershynin

Motivated by mathematical tissue growth modelling, we consider the problem of approximating the dynamics of multicolor P\'olya urn processes that start with large numbers of balls of different colors and run for a long time. Using strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Konstantin Borovkov

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang