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Regression methods dominate the practice of biostatistical analysis, but biostatistical training emphasises the details of regression models and methods ahead of the purposes for which such modelling might be useful. More broadly,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 John B. Carlin , Margarita Moreno-Betancur

A regression method for proportional, or fractional, data with mixed effects is outlined, designed for analysis of datasets in which the outcomes have substantial weight at the bounds. In such cases a normal approximation is particularly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Colman Humphrey , Dan Swingley

Transfer learning, also referred as knowledge transfer, aims at reusing knowledge from a source dataset to a similar target one. While many empirical studies illustrate the benefits of transfer learning, few theoretical results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-19 David Obst , Badih Ghattas , Jairo Cugliari , Georges Oppenheim , Sandra Claudel , Yannig Goude

There is growing evidence that converting targets to soft targets in supervised learning can provide considerable gains in performance. Much of this work has considered classification, converting hard zero-one values to soft labels---such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Ehsan Imani , Martha White

Performative prediction is a framework for learning models that influence the data they intend to predict. We focus on finding classifiers that are performatively stable, i.e. optimal for the data distribution they induce. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Mehrnaz Mofakhami , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Gauthier Gidel

Distributional regression aims to estimate the full conditional distribution of a target variable, given covariates. Popular methods include linear and tree-ensemble based quantile regression. We propose a neural network-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Xinwei Shen , Nicolai Meinshausen

Predict a new response from a covariate is a challenging task in regression, which raises new question since the era of high-dimensional data. In this paper, we are interested in the inverse regression method from a theoretical viewpoint.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Emilie Devijver , Emeline Perthame

This research describes the initial effort of building a prediction model for defects in system testing carried out by an independent testing team. The motivation to have such defect prediction model is to serve as early quality indicator…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-01-24 Muhammad Dhiauddin Mohamed Suffian , Suhaimi Ibrahim

A common approach in forecasting problems is to estimate a least-squares regression (or other statistical learning models) from past data, which is then applied to predict future outcomes. An underlying assumption is that the same…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Malte Schierholz

This book chapter introduces regression approaches and regression adjustment for Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). Regression adjustment adjusts parameter values after rejection sampling in order to account for the imperfect match…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-06 Michael GB Blum

Survey sampling is concerned with the estimation of finite population parameters. In practice, survey data suffer from item nonresponse, which is commonly handled through imputation, i.e., replacing missing values with predicted values. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Ziming An , Mehdi Dagdoug , David Haziza

Many real world data mining applications involve obtaining predictive models using data sets with strongly imbalanced distributions of the target variable. Frequently, the least common values of this target variable are associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Paula Branco , Luis Torgo , Rita Ribeiro

This paper introduces an approach to reference class selection in distributional forecasting with an application to corporate sales growth rates using several co-variates as reference variables, that are implicit predictors. The method can…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Etienne Theising

Regression analysis is a key area of interest in the field of data analysis and machine learning which is devoted to exploring the dependencies between variables, often using vectors. The emergence of high dimensional data in technologies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-23 Jiani Liu , Ce Zhu , Zhen Long , Yipeng Liu

We are concerned with obtaining well-calibrated output distributions from regression models. Such distributions allow us to quantify the uncertainty that the model has regarding the predicted target value. We introduce the novel concept of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-16 Hao Song , Tom Diethe , Meelis Kull , Peter Flach

Regression models are essential for a wide range of real-world applications. However, in practice, target values are not always precisely known; instead, they may be represented as intervals of acceptable values. This challenge has led to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Tung L Nguyen , Toby Dylan Hocking

In many real-world applications of machine learning classifiers, it is essential to predict the probability of an example belonging to a particular class. This paper proposes a simple technique for predicting probabilities based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Aditya Menon , Xiaoqian Jiang , Shankar Vembu , Charles Elkan , Lucila Ohno-Machado

Random forest regression (RF) is an extremely popular tool for the analysis of high-dimensional data. Nonetheless, its benefits may be lessened in sparse settings due to weak predictors, and a pre-estimation dimension reduction (targeting)…

We study the distribution regression problem assuming the distribution of distributions has a doubling measure larger than one. First, we explore the geometry of any distributions that has doubling measure larger than one and build a small…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Ilqar Ramazanli

When optimizing against the mean loss over a distribution of predictions in the context of a regression task, then even if there is a distribution of targets the optimal prediction distribution is always a delta function at a single value.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-11 Nicholas Guttenberg