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We study the limiting distribution of a volatility target index as the discretisation time step converges to zero. Two limit theorems (a strong law of large numbers and a central limit theorem) are established, and as an application, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Xuan Liu , Michel Gauthier

In this paper, under mild assumptions, we derive a law of large numbers, a central limit theorem with an error estimate, an almost sure invariance principle and a variant of Chernoff bound in finite-state hidden Markov models. These limit…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-13 Guangyue Han

Two-sample inference for the difference of population means typically relies upon a Central Limit Theorem approximation. When data are drawn from a Negative Binomial distribution, previous work of Shilane et al. (2010) showed that a Normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-06 David Shilane , Derek Bean

In this paper, we give error bounds for the distance distribution of Reed-Muller codes, extending prior work on the distance distribution of Reed-Solomon codes. This is equivalent to the problem of counting multivariate polynomials over a…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Neil Kolekar

We obtain explicit error bounds for the $d$-dimensional normal approximation on hyperrectangles for a random vector that has a Stein kernel, or admits an exchangeable pair coupling, or is a non-linear statistic of independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

In this article, we obtain, for the total variance distance, the error bounds between Poisson and convolution of power series distributions via Stein's method. This provides a unified approach to many known discrete distributions. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-26 A. N. Kumar , P. Vellaisamy , F. Viens

We revisit the proof of the de Moivre--Laplace theorem, which is the ancestor of the central limit theorem for the binomial distribution. Our goal is to provide a proof that can be reasonably presented to undergraduate students within a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Raphaël Cerf

We consider a two-color P\'{o}lya urn in the case when a fixed number $S$ of balls is added at each step. Assume it is a large urn that is, the second eigenvalue $m$ of the replacement matrix satisfies $1/2<m/S\leq1$. After $n$ drawings,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Brigitte Chauvin , Nicolas Pouyanne , Reda Sahnoun

A new bound for the remainder term in the Taylor expansion of the complex exponent $e^{ix}$, $x\in\R$, is proved yielding precise moment-type estimates of the accuracy of the approximation of the characteristic function (the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-02 Irina Shevtsova

We give abstract versions of the large deviation theorem for the distribution of zeros of polynomials and apply them to the characteristic polynomials of Hermitian random matrices. We obtain new estimates related to the local semi-circular…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Tien-Cuong Dinh

Let $X_1,X_2,...,X_n$ be a sequence of independent or locally dependent random variables taking values in $\mathbb{Z}_+$. In this paper, we derive sharp bounds, via a new probabilistic method, for the total variation distance between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Michael V. Boutsikas , Eutichia Vaggelatou

A Lagrange multiplier theorem is derived for the case of an imprecise objective function and a precise constraint. The proof uses methods of analysis which deal in a direct, algebraic way with imprecisions. They include imprecise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-29 Nam Van Tran , Imme van den Berg

The unpredictability of chaotic nonlinear dynamics leads naturally to statistical descriptions, including probabilistic limit laws such as the central limit theorem and large deviation principle. A key tool in the Nagaev-Guivarc'h spectral…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Harry Crimmins , Gary Froyland

In this paper we present a new correlation inequality and use it for proving an Almost Sure Local Limit Theorem for the so-called Dickman distribution. Several related results are also proved

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Rita Giuliano , Zbigniew Szewczak , Michel Weber

Consider generalized adapted stochastic integrals with respect to independently scattered random measures with second moments. We use a decoupling technique, known as the "principle of conditioning", to study their stable convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Giovanni Peccati , Murad S. Taqqu

We establish two theorems for assessing the accuracy in total variation of multivariate discrete normal approximation to the distribution of an integer valued random vector $W$. The first is for sums of random vectors whose dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 A. D. Barbour , A. Xia

We show that the Bernoulli part extraction method can be used to obtain approximate forms of the local limit theorem for sums of independent lattice valued random variables, with effective error term, that is with explicit parameters and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Rita Giuliano , Michel Weber

We prove a central limit theorem applicable to one dimensional stochastic approximation algorithms that converge to a point where the error terms of the algorithm do not vanish. We show how this applies to a certain class of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-24 Henrik Renlund

Stein's method is used to obtain two theorems on multivariate normal approximation. Our main theorem, Theorem 1.2, provides a bound on the distance to normality for any nonnegative random vector. Theorem 1.2 requires multivariate size bias…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Larry Goldstein , Yosef Rinott

In this paper, we study the asymptotic error distribution for a two-level irregular discretization scheme of the solution to the stochastic differential equations (SDE for short) driven by a continuous semimartingale and obtain a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-15 Yi Guo , Yuxi Guo , Hanchao Wang