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The computational costs of inference and planning have confined Bayesian model-based reinforcement learning to one of two dismal fates: powerful Bayes-adaptive planning but only for simplistic models, or powerful, Bayesian non-parametric…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-02-11 Arthur Guez , David Silver , Peter Dayan

Statistical hypothesis testing serves as statistical evidence for scientific innovation. However, if the reported results are intentionally biased, hypothesis testing no longer controls the rate of false discovery. In particular, we study…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-12 Junpei Komiyama , Takanori Maehara

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

In many application domains such as medicine, information retrieval, cybersecurity, social media, etc., datasets used for inducing classification models often have an unequal distribution of the instances of each class. This situation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Mohamed S. Kraiem , Fernando Sánchez-Hernández , María N. Moreno-García

Typically, electronic health record data are not collected towards a specific research question. Instead, they comprise numerous observations recruited at different ages, whose medical, environmental and oftentimes also genetic data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Nir Keret , Malka Gorfine

Patient-reported outcomes (PROs) directly collected from cancer patients being treated with radiation therapy play a vital role in assisting clinicians in counseling patients regarding likely toxicities. Precise prediction and evaluation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Yang Yan , Zhong Chen , Cai Xu , Xinglei Shen , Jay Shiao , John Einck , Ronald C Chen , Hao Gao

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

The growing availability of observational databases like electronic health records (EHR) provides unprecedented opportunities for secondary use of such data in biomedical research. However, these data can be error-prone and need to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sarah C. Lotspeich , Gustavo G. C. Amorim , Pamela A. Shaw , Ran Tao , Bryan E. Shepherd

Imbalanced data, where the positive samples represent only a small proportion compared to the negative samples, makes it challenging for classification problems to balance the false positive and false negative rates. A common approach to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Pengfei Lyu , Zhengchi Ma , Linjun Zhang , Anru R. Zhang

When multiple investigators analyze a common dataset, the data reuse induces dependence across testing procedures, affecting the distribution of errors. Existing techniques of managing dependent tests require either cross-study coordination…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Reid Dale , Jordan Rodu , Maria E. Currie , Mike Baiocchi

The results from most machine learning experiments are used for a specific purpose and then discarded. This results in a significant loss of information and requires rerunning experiments to compare learning algorithms. This also requires…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-06 Michael R. Smith , Andrew White , Christophe Giraud-Carrier , Tony Martinez

Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

Class imbalance and group (e.g., race, gender, and age) imbalance are acknowledged as two reasons in data that hinder the trade-off between fairness and utility of machine learning classifiers. Existing techniques have jointly addressed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Ryosuke Sonoda

Data imbalance is common in production data, where controlled production settings require data to fall within a narrow range of variation and data are collected with quality assessment in mind, rather than data analytic insights. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-17 Rune D. Kjærsgaard , Manja G. Grønberg , Line K. H. Clemmensen

Data analysis based on information from several sources is common in economic and biomedical studies. This setting is often referred to as the data fusion problem, which differs from traditional missing data problems since no complete data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Wei Li , Shanshan Luo , Wangli Xu

The proliferation of early diagnostic technologies, including self-monitoring systems and wearables, coupled with the application of these technologies on large segments of healthy populations may significantly aggravate the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Anna Fedyukova , Douglas Pires , Daniel Capurro

Machine learning (ML) holds great potential for accurately forecasting treatment outcomes over time, which could ultimately enable the adoption of more individualized treatment strategies in many practical applications. However, a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-08 Toon Vanderschueren , Alicia Curth , Wouter Verbeke , Mihaela van der Schaar

In particle physics, as in many areas of science, parameter inference relies on simulations to bridge the gap between theory and experiment. Recent developments in simulation-based inference have boosted the sensitivity of analyses;…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-23 Ezequiel Alvarez , Sean Benevedes , Manuel Szewc , Jesse Thaler

The so-called 'energy test' is a frequentist technique used in experimental particle physics to decide whether two samples are drawn from the same distribution. Its usage requires a good understanding of the distribution of the test…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-12 Thomas P. S. Gillam , Christopher G. Lester

Computational capability often falls short when confronted with massive data, posing a common challenge in establishing a statistical model or statistical inference method dealing with big data. While subsampling techniques have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-31 Yixiao Ruan , Zan Li , Zhaohui Li , Dennis K. J. Lin , Qingpei Hu , Dan Yu