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This note outlines a method for clustering time series based on a statistical model in which volatility shifts at unobserved change-points. The model accommodates some classical stylized features of returns and its relation to GARCH is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-26 Nick Whiteley

Maintaining a balance between returns and volatility is a common strategy for portfolio diversification, whether investing in traditional equities or digital assets like cryptocurrencies. One approach for diversification is the application…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-01 Dimitar Kitanovski , Igor Mishkovski , Viktor Stojkoski , Miroslav Mirchev

In many practical applications of clustering, the objects to be clustered evolve over time, and a clustering result is desired at each time step. In such applications, evolutionary clustering typically outperforms traditional static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Kevin S. Xu , Mark Kliger , Alfred O. Hero

We propose a new approach for scaling prior to cluster analysis based on the concept of pooled variance. Unlike available scaling procedures such as the standard deviation and the range, our proposed scale avoids dampening the beneficial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 Jakob Raymaekers , Ruben H. Zamar

We propose two approaches for selecting variables in latent class analysis (i.e.,mixture model assuming within component independence), which is the common model-based clustering method for mixed data. The first approach consists in…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-08 Matthieu Marbac , Mohammed Sedki

One of the major challenges in multivariate analysis is the estimation of population covariance matrix from sample covariance matrix (SCM). Most recent covariance matrix estimators use either shrinkage transformations or asymptotic results…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Samruddhi Deshmukh , Amartansh Dubey

We propose a new way of building portfolios of cryptocurrencies that provide good diversification properties to investors. First, we seek to filter these digital assets by creating some clusters based on their path signature. The goal is to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-01 Hugo Inzirillo

We introduce a $k$-fold boosted version of our Boostrapped Average Hierarchical Clustering cleaning procedure for correlation and covariance matrices. We then apply this method to global minimum variance portfolios for various values of $k$…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Christian Bongiorno , Damien Challet

Portfolio allocation with gross-exposure constraint is an effective method to increase the efficiency and stability of selected portfolios among a vast pool of assets, as demonstrated in Fan et al (2008). The required high-dimensional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-29 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Li , Ke Yu

The mixture models have become widely used in clustering, given its probabilistic framework in which its based, however, for modern databases that are characterized by their large size, these models behave disappointingly in setting out the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-01 Abdelghafour Talibi , Boujemâa Achchab , Rafik Lasri

We develop Clustered Random Forests, a random forests algorithm for clustered data, arising from independent groups that exhibit within-cluster dependence. The leaf-wise predictions for each decision tree making up clustered random forests…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Elliot H. Young , Peter Bühlmann

In this paper, a novel method to perform model-based clustering of time series is proposed. The procedure relies on two iterative steps: (i) K global forecasting models are fitted via pooling by considering the series pertaining to each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Ángel López Oriona , Pablo Montero Manso , José Antonio Vilar Fernández

We propose a novel method to quantify the clustering behavior in a complex time series and apply it to a high-frequency data of the financial markets. We find that regardless of used data sets, all data exhibits the volatility clustering…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gabjin Oh , Seunghwan Kim , Cheoljun Eom , Taehyuk Kim

In this work, the possibility of clustering correlated random variables was examined, both because of their mutual similarity and because of their similarity to the principal components. The k-means algorithm and spectral algorithms were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Zenon Gniazdowski , Dawid Kaliszewski

Creating low dimensional representations of a high dimensional data set is an important component in many machine learning applications. How to cluster data using their low dimensional embedded space is still a challenging problem in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Zahra Moslehi , Abdolreza Mirzaei , Mehran Safayani

Clustering is a widely used technique in data mining applications for discovering patterns in underlying data. Most traditional clustering algorithms are limited to handling datasets that contain either numeric or categorical attributes.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Zengyou He , Xiaofei Xu , Shengchun Deng

Due to their conceptual simplicity, k-means algorithm variants have been extensively used for unsupervised cluster analysis. However, one main shortcoming of these algorithms is that they essentially fit a mixture of identical spherical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Raphael Araujo Sampaio , Joaquim Dias Garcia , Marcus Poggi , Thibaut Vidal

Death benefits are generally the largest cash flow item that affects financial statements of life insurers where some still do not have a systematic process to track and monitor death claims experience. In this article, we explore data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-27 Shuang Yin , Guojun Gan , Emiliano A. Valdez , Jeyaraj Vadiveloo

Functional data analysis involves data described by regular functions rather than by a finite number of real valued variables. While some robust data analysis methods can be applied directly to the very high dimensional vectors obtained…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-01-06 Fabrice Rossi , Yves Lechevallier

Many algorithms for approximate nearest neighbor search in high-dimensional spaces partition the data into clusters. At query time, in order to avoid exhaustive search, an index selects the few (or a single) clusters nearest to the query…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2010-09-27 Romain Tavenard , Laurent Amsaleg , Hervé Jégou