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The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

Clustering is a popular form of unsupervised learning for geometric data. Unfortunately, many clustering algorithms lead to cluster assignments that are hard to explain, partially because they depend on all the features of the data in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-23 Sanjoy Dasgupta , Nave Frost , Michal Moshkovitz , Cyrus Rashtchian

In various practical situations, forecasting of aggregate values rather than individual ones is often our main focus. For instance, electricity companies are interested in forecasting the total electricity demand in a specific region to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Kei Hirose , Hidetoshi Matsui , Hiroki Masuda

Despite the high importance of grouping in practice, there exists little research on the respective topic. The present work presents a complete framework for grouping and a novel method to optimize model points. Model points are used to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-23 Mark Kiermayer , Christian Weiß

We give an explicit algorithm and source code for combining alpha streams via bounded regression. In practical applications typically there is insufficient history to compute a sample covariance matrix (SCM) for a large number of alphas. To…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-05 Zura Kakushadze

Most of the existing clustering methods are based on a single granularity of information, such as the distance and density of each data. This most fine-grained based approach is usually inefficient and susceptible to noise. Therefore, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Jiang Xie , Shuyin Xia , Guoyin Wang , Xinbo Gao

Convex clustering is a modern method with both hierarchical and $k$-means clustering characteristics. Although convex clustering can capture complex clustering structures hidden in data, the existing convex clustering algorithms are not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-22 Daniel J. W. Touw , Patrick J. F. Groenen , Yoshikazu Terada

We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

Finite mixtures of regressions with fixed covariates are a commonly used model-based clustering methodology to deal with regression data. However, they assume assignment independence, i.e. the allocation of data points to the clusters is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-27 Salvatore D. Tomarchio , Paul D. McNicholas , Antonio Punzo

In large-scale few-shot learning for classification problems, often there are a large number of classes and few high-dimensional observations per class. Previous model-based methods, such as Fisher's linear discriminant analysis (LDA),…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Andrew Simpson , Semhar Michael

This work introduces a refinement of the Parsimonious Model for fitting a Gaussian Mixture. The improvement is based on the consideration of clusters of the involved covariance matrices according to a criterion, such as sharing Principal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-10 David Rodríguez-Vítores , Carlos Matrán

This work aims to deal with the optimal allocation instability problem of Markowitz's modern portfolio theory in high dimensionality. We propose a combined strategy that considers covariance matrix estimators from Random Matrix Theory~(RMT)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Andrés García-Medina , Benito Rodriguéz-Camejo

In this paper we construct a shrinkage estimator of the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio by a combination of two techniques: Tikhonov regularization and direct shrinkage of portfolio weights. More specifically, we employ a double…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-08 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Erik Thorsén

The rapidly evolving cryptocurrency market presents unique challenges for investment due to its inherent volatility and evolving regulatory environment. Collective price movements can be exploited to construct diversified portfolios with…

Popular Physics · Physics 2026-05-01 Ruixue Jing , Ryota Kobayashi , Luis Enrique Correa Rocha

Neural network-based clustering has recently gained popularity, and in particular a constrained clustering formulation has been proposed to perform transfer learning and image category discovery using deep learning. The core idea is to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-06-29 Yen-Chang Hsu , Zhaoyang Lv , Joel Schlosser , Phillip Odom , Zsolt Kira

The clustering algorithms that view each object data as a single sample drawn from a certain distribution, Gaussian distribution, for example, has been a hot topic for decades. Many clustering algorithms: such as k-means and spectral…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-25 Xiang Wang , Tie Liu

According to recent findings [1,2], empirical covariance matrices deduced from financial return series contain such a high amount of noise that, apart from a few large eigenvalues and the corresponding eigenvectors, their structure can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Szilard Pafka , Imre Kondor

This article explores and analyzes the unsupervised clustering of large partially observed graphs. We propose a scalable and provable randomized framework for clustering graphs generated from the stochastic block model. The clustering is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Mostafa Rahmani , Andre Beckus , Adel Karimian , George Atia

An investment portfolio consists of $n$ algorithmic trading strategies, which generate vectors of positions in trading assets. Sign opposite trades (buy/sell) cross each other as strategies are combined in a portfolio. Then portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-05 A. V. Kuliga , I. N. Shnurnikov

Understanding the dependence structure of asset returns is fundamental in risk assessment and is particularly relevant in a portfolio diversification strategy. We propose a clustering approach where evidence accumulated in a multiplicity of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-08 Andrea Mecchina , Roberta Pappadà , Nicola Torelli
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