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In this paper we investigate the use of staged tree models for discrete longitudinal data. Staged trees are a type of probabilistic graphical model for finite sample space processes. They are a natural fit for longitudinal data because a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Jack Storror Carter , Manuele Leonelli , Eva Riccomagno , Alessandro Ugolini

This paper studies sequence modeling for prediction tasks with long range dependencies. We propose a new formulation for state space models (SSMs) based on learning linear dynamical systems with the spectral filtering algorithm (Hazan et…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Naman Agarwal , Daniel Suo , Xinyi Chen , Elad Hazan

Subsequence-based time series classification algorithms provide accurate and interpretable models, but training these models is extremely computation intensive. The asymptotic time complexity of subsequence-based algorithms remains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-18 Atif Raza , Stefan Kramer

Quantifying predictive uncertainty of deep semantic segmentation networks is essential in safety-critical tasks. In applications like autonomous driving, where video data is available, convolutional long short-term memory networks are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Laura Fieback , Bidya Dash , Jakob Spiegelberg , Hanno Gottschalk

In this work we introduce the notion of an angular spectrum for a linear discrete time nonautonomous dynamical system. The angular spectrum comprises all accumulation points of longtime averages formed by maximal principal angles between…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-12 Wolf-Jürgen Beyn , Thorsten Hüls

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in numerous scientific applications. In this article, motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, we propose a novel point process regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Xiwei Tang , Lexin Li

Network models have been popular for modeling and representing complex relationships and dependencies between observed variables. When data comes from a dynamic stochastic process, a single static network model cannot adequately capture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-03 Mladen Kolar , Eric P. Xing

Many scientific areas, from computer science to the environmental sciences and finance, give rise to multivariate time series which exhibit long memory, or loosely put, a slow decay in their autocorrelation structure. Efficient modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Chiara Boetti , Matthew A. Nunes , Marina I. Knight

What properties about the internals of a program explain the possible differences in its overall running time for different inputs? In this paper, we propose a formal framework for considering this question we dub trace-set discrimination.…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2017-02-24 Saeid Tizpaz-Niari , Pavol Cerny , Bor-Yuh Evan Chang , Sriram Sankaranarayanan , Ashutosh Trivedi

Continuous-time trajectory estimation is an attractive alternative to discrete-time batch estimation due to the ability to incorporate high-frequency measurements from asynchronous sensors while keeping the number of optimization parameters…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Jacob Johnson , Joshua Mangelson , Timothy Barfoot , Randal Beard

We study efficiency of intensity-based dynamic speckle method for characterization of dynamic events which occur at variable rate in time within the temporal averaging interval. We checked ability of the method to describe the speed…

Time series analysis is crucial in fields like finance, economics, environmental science, and biomedical engineering, aiding in forecasting, pattern identification, and understanding underlying mechanisms. While traditional time-domain…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Jonathan de Souza Matias , Valderio Anselmo Reisen

Discrete-time models are very convenient to simulate a nonlinear system on a computer. In order to build the discrete-time simulation models for the nonlinear feedback systems (which is a very important class of systems in many…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-15 Rishi Relan , Johan Schoukens

In this article, we propose a spectral method for a class of multivariate inhomogeneous spatial point processes, namely the second-order intensity reweighted stationary processes. A key ingredient of our approach is utilizing the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Qi-Wen Ding , Junho Yang , Joonho Shin

In this paper we propose a scalable version of a state-of-the-art deterministic time-invariant feature extraction approach based on consecutive changes of basis and nonlinearities, namely, the scattering network. The first focus of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Randall Balestriero , Herve Glotin

Spectrum sensing allows cognitive radio systems to detect relevant signals in despite the presence of severe interference. Most of the existing spectrum sensing techniques use a particular signal-noise model with certain assumptions and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Nupur Choudhury , Kandarpa Kumar Sarma , Chinmoy Kalita , Aradhana Misra

In numerous applications data are observed at random times and an estimated graph of the spectral density may be relevant for characterizing and explaining phenomena. By using a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametric estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-27 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

Constrained sequential pattern mining aims at identifying frequent patterns on a sequential database of items while observing constraints defined over the item attributes. We introduce novel techniques for constraint-based sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-01 Amin Hosseininasab , Willem-Jan van Hoeve , Andre A. Cire

A continuous-time nonlinear regression model with L\'evy-driven linear noise process is considered. Sufficient conditions of consistency and asymptotic normality of the Whittle estimator for the parameter of the noise spectral density are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-24 A. V. Ivanov , N. N. Leonenko , I. V. Orlovskyi