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Trawl processes are continuous-time, stationary and infinitely divisible processes which can describe a wide range of possible serial correlation patterns in data. In this paper, we introduce new simulation algorithms for trawl processes…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-19 Dan Leonte , Almut E. D. Veraart

To assess whether a given time series can be modeled by a stochastic process possessing long range correlation one usually applies one of two types of analysis methods: the spectral method and the random walk analysis. The first objective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Govindan Rangarajan , Mingzhou Ding

This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Wilfredo Palma , Ricardo Olea

Linear causal analysis is central to a wide range of important application spanning finance, the physical sciences, and engineering. Much of the existing literature in linear causal analysis operates in the time domain. Unfortunately, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-11 Francois W. Belletti , Evan R. Sparks , Michael J. Franklin , Alexandre M. Bayen , Joseph E. Gonzalez

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

Let $\mathbf {X}=\{X_t, t=1,2,... \}$ be a stationary Gaussian random process, with mean $EX_t=\mu$ and covariance function $\gamma(\tau)=E(X_t-\mu)(X_{t+\tau}-\mu)$. Let $f(\lambda)$ be the corresponding spectral density; a stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-07 Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

This technical report includes an assortment of technical details and extended discussions related to paper "Should we sample a time series more frequently? Decision support via multirate spectrum estimation (with discussion)", which…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-25 Guy P. Nason , Ben Powell , Duncan Elliott , Paul A. Smith

Investigating the spectral properties of the neural covariates that underlie spiking activity is an important problem in systems neuroscience, as it allows to study the role of brain rhythms in cognitive functions. While the spectral…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-21 Proloy Das , Behtash Babadi

An algorithm is presented which generates pairs of oscillatory random time series which have identical periodograms but differ in the number of oscillations. This result indicate the intrinsic limitations of spectral methods when it comes…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. G. Rossberg

High-dimensional multivariate time series are common in many scientific and industrial applications, where the interest lies in identifying key dependence structure within the data for subsequent analysis tasks, such as forecasting. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Madeline A. Shelley , Chiara Boetti , Marina I. Knight , Matthew A. Nunes

This article introduces the class of continuous time locally stationary wavelet processes. Continuous time models enable us to properly provide scale-based time series models for irregularly-spaced observations for the first time, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Henry Antonio Palasciano , Marina I. Knight , Guy P. Nason

Existing permanental processes often impose constraints on kernel types or stationarity, limiting the model's expressiveness. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel approach utilizing the sparse spectral representation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Zicheng Sun , Yixuan Zhang , Zenan Ling , Xuhui Fan , Feng Zhou

In this article, we aim to further clarify certain subtle aspects of processes that exhibit long memory in the second-order sense. We construct a long-memory stochastic sequence, in the sense that the series of absolute autocovariances…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Valentin Vidril

This paper develops likelihood-based methods for estimation, inference, model selection, and forecasting of continuous-time integer-valued trawl processes. The full likelihood of integer-valued trawl processes is, in general, highly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Neil Shephard , Almut E. D. Veraart

We derive an estimator of the spectral density of a functional time series that is the output of a multilayer perceptron neural network. The estimator is motivated by difficulties with the computation of existing spectral density estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Neda Mohammadi , Soham Sarkar , Piotr Kokoszka

Sequential estimation of a vector of linear regression coefficients is considered under both centralized and decentralized setups. In sequential estimation, the number of observations used for estimation is determined by the observed…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-18 Yasin Yilmaz , George V. Moustakides , Xiaodong Wang

The spectral density function describes the second-order properties of a stationary stochastic process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This paper considers the nonparametric estimation of the spectral density of a continuous-time stochastic process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Rafail Kartsioukas , Stilian Stoev , Tailen Hsing

Benchmarking anomaly detection approaches for multivariate time series is a challenging task due to a lack of high-quality datasets. Current publicly available datasets are too small, not diverse and feature trivial anomalies, which hinders…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Lucas Correia , Jan-Christoph Goos , Thomas Bäck , Anna V. Kononova

We consider trawl processes, which are stationary and infinitely divisible stochastic processes and can describe a wide range of statistical properties, such as heavy tails and long memory. In this paper, we develop the first…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-31 Dan Leonte , Almut E. D. Veraart

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to model observations over time with non-linear patterns. Despite the widespread use of neural networks in such settings, most theoretical developments of deep neural networks are under the assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-24 Mingliang Ma , Abolfazl Safikhani