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We investigate the time evolution of disease spread on a network by using the concept of generations. We derive a set of equations, which can be used to determine the average epidemic size. We find a very good agreement between the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-05-24 B. Davoudi , F. Brauer , B. Pourbohloul

Epiabm is a fully tested, open-source software package for epidemiological agent-based modelling, re-implementing the well-known CovidSim model from the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at Imperial College London. It has…

Since its first formulations almost a century ago, mathematical models for disease spreading contributed to understand, evaluate and control the epidemic processes.They promoted a dramatic change in how epidemiologists thought of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-12-16 Marcelo N. Kuperman

During the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, mathematical models of epidemic spreading have emerged as powerful tools to produce valuable predictions of the evolution of the pandemic, helping public health authorities decide which intervention…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

The science of networks has revolutionised research into the dynamics of interacting elements. It could be argued that epidemiology in particular has embraced the potential of network theory more than any other discipline. Here we review…

We present a modelling framework for the spreading of epidemics on temporal networks from which both the individual-based and pair-based models can be recovered. The proposed temporal pair-based model that is systematically derived from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-17 Rory Humphries , Kieran Mulchrone , Jamie Tratalos , Simon More , Philipp Hövel

EOS is an open-source software for a variety of computational tasks in flavor physics. Its use cases include theory predictions within and beyond the Standard Model of particle physics, Bayesian inference of theory parameters from…

We study the problem of estimating the parameters (i.e., infection rate and recovery rate) governing the spread of epidemics in networks. Such parameters are typically estimated by measuring various characteristics (such as the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-12 Lintao Ye , Philip E. Paré , Shreyas Sundaram

Epidemic spread on networks is one of the most studied dynamics in network science and has important implications in real epidemic scenarios. Nonetheless, the dynamics of real epidemics and how it is affected by the underline structure of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-08 Bnaya Gross , Shlomo Havlin

The exploration of epidemic dynamics on dynamically evolving ("adaptive") networks poses nontrivial challenges to the modeler, such as the determination of a small number of informative statistics of the detailed network state (that is, a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-07 Assimakis A. Kattis , Alexander Holiday , Ana-Andreea Stoica , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Bayesian network modelling is a well adapted approach to study messy and highly correlated datasets which are very common in, e.g., systems epidemiology. A popular approach to learn a Bayesian network from an observational datasets is to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-06 Gilles Kratzer , Reinhard Furrer

Many real networks exhibit a layered structure in which links in each layer reflect the function of nodes on different environments. These multiple types of links are usually represented by a multiplex network in which each layer has a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-19 C. Buono , L. G. Alvarez Zuzek , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

Epidemiological processes are studied within a recently proposed hierarchical network model using the susceptible-infected-refractory dynamics of an epidemic. Within the network model, a population may be characterized by $H$ independent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-06-24 Dafang Zheng , P. M. Hui , Steffen Trimper , Bo Zheng

The transmission dynamics of some infectious diseases is related to the contact structure between individuals in a network. We used five algorithms to generate contact networks with different topological structure but with the same…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-28 Raul Ossada , José H. H. Grisi-Filho , Fernando Ferreira , Marcos Amaku

Understanding how to effectively control an epidemic spreading on a network is a problem of paramount importance for the scientific community. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for policies that mitigate the spread,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-14 Carlo Cenedese , Lorenzo Zino , Michele Cucuzzella , Ming Cao

Most sampling techniques for online social networks (OSNs) are based on a particular sampling method on a single graph, which is referred to as a statistics. However, various realizing methods on different graphs could possibly be used in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-12-21 Xin Wang , Richard T. B. Ma , Yinlong Xu , Zhipeng Li

In this paper we present a model describing Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) type epidemics spreading on a dynamic contact network with random link activation and deletion where link ac- tivation can be locally constrained. We use and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-30 Michael Taylor , Timothy J. Taylor , Istvan Z. Kiss

Recently, motivated by the pioneer works that reveal the small-world effect and scale-free property of various real-life networks, many scientists devote themselves into studying complex networks. One of the ultimate goals is to understand…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Tao Zhou , Zhong-Qian Fu , Bing-Hong Wang

Networks-of-networks (NoN) is a graph-theoretic model of interdependent networks that have distinct dynamics at each network (layer). By adding special edges to represent relationships between nodes in different layers, NoN provides a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Mahantesh Halappanavar , Sutanay Choudhury , Emilie Hogan , Peter Hui , John R. Johnson , Indrajit Ray , Lawrence Holder

Epidemic spreading of infectious diseases is ubiquitous and has often considerable impact on public health and economic wealth. The large variability in spatio-temporal patterns of epidemics prohibits simple interventions and demands for a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-25 Christel Kamp