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Composite indicators are a useful tool to summarize, measure and compare changes among different communities. The UK Office for National Statistics has created an annual England Health Index (starting from 2015) comprised of three main…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-12 Anna Freni-Sterrantino , Thomas P Prescott , Greg Ceely , Myer Glickman , Chris Holmes

Stress is a major threat to well-being that manifests in a variety of physiological and mental symptoms. Utilising speech samples collected while the subject is undergoing an induced stress episode has recently shown promising results for…

This study investigates the relationship between the market volatility of the iShares Asia 50 ETF (AIA) and economic and market sentiment indicators from the United States, China, and globally during periods of economic uncertainty.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-23 Bahram Adrangi , Arjun Chatrath , Saman Hatamerad , Kambiz Raffiee

While environmental, social, and governance (ESG) trading activity has been a distinctive feature of financial markets, the debate if ESG scores can also convey information regarding a company's riskiness remains open. Regulatory…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-10 Karoline Bax , Özge Sahin , Claudia Czado , Sandra Paterlini

In financial markets, greater volatility is usually considered synonym of greater risk and instability. However, large market downturns and upturns are often preceded by long periods where price returns exhibit only small fluctuations. To…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Davide Valenti , Giorgio Fazio , Bernardo Spagnolo

Multilateral index numbers are often used to make claims about welfare, such as treating PPPs as cross-country costs of living or real incomes as indicators of living standards. However, such interpretations may not be consistent with the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-11 Hubert Wu

We study how nonlinear, state-dependent health dynamics shape economic behavior, inequality, and the evaluation of disability insurance at older ages. Using English panel data, we construct a continuous health index and estimate its…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-08 Chiara Dal Bianco , Andrea Moro

The value of stocks, indices and other assets, are examples of stochastic processes with unpredictable dynamics. In this paper, we discuss asymmetries in short term price movements that can not be associated with a long term positive trend.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Ingve Simonsen , Peter Toke Heden Ahlgren , Mogens H. Jensen , Raul Donangelo , Kim Sneppen

Identifying frail older adults in an ageing population is essential for improving healthcare services. This study proposes a composite indicator to assess individual frailty levels using administrative healthcare data. Given the complex and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Sara Rebottini , Pietro Belloni

A non-parametric method for ranking stock indices according to their mutual causal influences is presented. Under the assumption that indices reflect the underlying economy of a country, such a ranking indicates which countries exert the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-23 Theo Diamandis , Yonathan Murin , Andrea Goldsmith

We introduce a novel class of systemic risk measures, the Vulnerability Conditional risk measures, which try to capture the "tail risk" of a risky position in scenarios where one or more market participants is experiencing financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-15 Tong Pu , Yunran Wei , Yiying Zhang

We study dynamic visual representations as a proxy for investor sentiment about the stock market. Our sentiment index, GIFsentiment, is constructed from millions of posts in the Graphics Interchange Format (GIF) on a leading investment…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-24 Ming Gu , David Hirshleifer , Siew Hong Teoh , Shijia Wu

This paper presents an approach to measuring business sentiment based on textual data. Business sentiment has been measured by traditional surveys, which are costly and time-consuming to conduct. To address the issues, we take advantage of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Kazuhiro Seki , Yusuke Ikuta , Yoichi Matsubayashi

People worldwide are currently confronted with a number of technological challenges, which act as a potent source of uncertainty. The uncertainty arising from the volatility and unpredictability of technology (such as AI) and its potential…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Alina Landowska , Maciej Skorski , Krzysztof Rajda

Global comparisons of wellbeing increasingly rely on survey questions that ask respondents to evaluate their lives, most commonly in the form of "life satisfaction" and "Cantril ladder" items. These measures underpin international rankings…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-09 Christopher P Barrington-Leigh

A continuous variable changing between 0 and 1 is introduced to characterise contentment, or satisfaction with life, of an individual and an equation governing its evolution is postulated from analysis of several factors likely to affect…

General Economics · Economics 2021-09-01 Alexey A. Burluka

Emotion and fairness play a key role in mediating socioeconomic decisions in humans; however, the underlying neurocognitive mechanism remains largely unknown. This exploratory study unraveled the interplay between agents' emotions and the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-23 Rudra Mukhopadhyay , Sourin Chatterjee , Koel Das

A mathematical model of measurement of the perception of well-being for groups with increasing incomes, but proportionally unequal is proposed. Assuming that welfare grows with own income and decreases with relative inequality (income of…

General Economics · Economics 2019-11-27 Fernando Córdova-Lepe

We develop a resource-efficient methodology for measuring economic outlook in news text that combines document embeddings with synthetic training data generated by large language models. Applied to 27 million news articles, the resulting…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-18 Elliot Beck , Franziska Eckert , Linus Kühne , Helge Liebert , Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch

In Aarab (2020), I examine U.S. stock return predictability across economic regimes and document evidence of time-varying expected returns across market states in the long run. The analysis introduces a state-switching specification in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-30 Ilias Aarab
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