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A sequential estimator based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter for Data Assimilation of fluid flows is presented in this research work. The main feature of this estimator is that the Kalman filter update, which relies on the determination of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Gabriel Moldovan , Guillame Lehnasch , Laurent Cordier , Marcello Meldi

This paper provides a detailed theoretical analysis of methods to approximate the solutions of high-dimensional (>10^6) linear Bayesian problems. An optimal low-rank projection that maximizes the information content of the Bayesian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-10-28 Nicolas Bousserez , Daven K. Henze

Data assimilation is a Bayesian inference process that obtains an enhanced understanding of a physical system of interest by fusing information from an inexact physics-based model, and from noisy sparse observations of reality. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observations with a dynamical model to estimate states of PDE-governed systems. Model-driven methods (e.g., Kalman, particle) presuppose full knowledge of the true dynamics, which is not always satisfied in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Siyi Chen , Yixuan Jia , Qing Qu , He Sun , Jeffrey A Fessler

The majority of data assimilation (DA) methods in the geosciences are based on Gaussian assumptions. While these assumptions facilitate efficient algorithms, they cause analysis biases and subsequent forecast degradations. Non-parametric,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Hristo G. Chipilski

Accurate data assimilation (DA) for systems with piecewise-smooth or discontinuous state variables remains a significant challenge, as conventional covariance-based ensemble Kalman filter approaches often fail to effectively balance…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee

These notes provide a systematic mathematical treatment of the subject of data assimilation.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-26 K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart , K. C. Zygalakis

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVar) has become an increasingly important tool in data science with wide applications in many engineering and scientific fields such as geoscience1-12, biology13 and the financial…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-28 Xiangjun Tian , Aiguo Dai , Xiaobing Feng , Hongqin Zhang , Rui Han , Lu Zhang

Obtaining accurate high-resolution representations of model outputs is essential to describe the system dynamics. In general, however, only spatially- and temporally-coarse observations of the system states are available. These observations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Mohamad Abed El Rahman Hammoud , Olivier LeMaitre , Edriss S. Titi , Ibrahim Hoteit , Omar Knio

Data assimilation combines information from models, measurements, and priors to estimate the state of a dynamical system such as the atmosphere. The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a family of ensemble-based data assimilation approaches…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Ahmed Attia , Adrian Sandu

Data assimilation is concerned with sequentially estimating a temporally-evolving state. This task, which arises in a wide range of scientific and engineering applications, is particularly challenging when the state is high-dimensional and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-21 Yuming Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

This paper examines learning the optimal filtering policy, known as the Kalman gain, for a linear system with unknown noise covariance matrices using noisy output data. The learning problem is formulated as a stochastic policy optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-27 Shahriar Talebi , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Mehran Mesbahi

Traditional statistical analysis requires that the analysis process and data are independent. By contrast, the new field of adaptive data analysis hopes to understand and provide algorithms and accuracy guarantees for research as it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-22 Sam Elder

Data assimilation techniques, developed in the last two decades mainly for weather prediction, produce better forecasts by taking advantage of both theoretical/numerical models and real-time observations. In this paper, we explore the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Eric Bélanger , Alain Vincent , Paul Charbonneau

We analyze the performance of a data-assimilation algorithm based on a linear feedback control when used with observational data that contains measurement errors. Our model problem consists of dynamics governed by the two-dimension…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Hakima Bessaih , Eric Olson , E. S. Titi

Errors in the representation of clouds in convection-permitting numerical weather prediction models can be introduced by different sources. These can be the forcing and boundary conditions, the representation of orography, the accuracy of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-14 Stefanie Legler , Tijana Janjic

We give a finite-horizon variational formulation that places Bayesian filtering and smoothing, variational data assimilation, KL-regularized control, and Kalman-type methods inside one mathematically explicit hierarchy. For a discrete-time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Abed Hammoud

Nudging is a data assimilation method amenable to both analysis and implementation. It also has the (reported) advantage of being insensitive to model errors compared to other assimilation methods. However, nudging behavior in the presence…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Aytekin Çibik , Rui Fang , William Layton , Farjana Siddiqua

We carry out a rigorous analysis of four-dimensional variational data assimilation ($4D$-VAR) problems for linear and semilinear parabolic partial differential equations. Continuity of the state with respect to the spatial variable is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Paula Castro , Juan Carlos De los Reyes , Ira Neitzel

There has been a recent surge in development of accurate machine learning (ML) weather prediction models, but evaluation of these models has mainly been focused on medium-range forecasts, not their performance in cycling data assimilation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-25 Laura C. Slivinski , Jeffrey S. Whitaker , Sergey Frolov , Timothy A. Smith , Niraj Agarwal