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We consider the problem of learning a realization of a partially observed dynamical system with linear state transitions and bilinear observations. Under very mild assumptions on the process and measurement noises, we provide a finite time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Yahya Sattar , Yassir Jedra , Sarah Dean

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

Human motion understanding and prediction is an integral aspect in our pursuit of machine intelligence and human-machine interaction systems. Current methods typically pursue a kinematics modeling approach, relying heavily upon prior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Kedi Lyu , Zhenguang Liu , Shuang Wu , Haipeng Chen , Xuhong Zhang , Yuyu Yin

Existing methods for differentiable structure learning in discrete data typically assume that the data are generated from specific structural equation models. However, these assumptions may not align with the true data-generating process,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Chang Deng , Bryon Aragam

We study numerical methods for sampling probability measures in high dimension where the underlying model is only approximately identified with a gradient system. Extended stochastic dynamical methods are discussed which have application to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Benedict Leimkuhler , Xiaocheng Shang

We consider numerical methods for thermodynamic sampling, i.e. computing sequences of points distributed according to the Gibbs-Boltzmann distribution, using Langevin dynamics and overdamped Langevin dynamics (Brownian dynamics). A wide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-13 Benedict Leimkuhler , Charles Matthews , Gabriel Stoltz

Obtaining coarse-grained models that accurately incorporate finite-size effects is an important open challenge in the study of complex, multi-scale systems. We apply Langevin regression, a recently developed method for finding stochastic…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-10-12 Jordan Snyder , Jared L. Callaham , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

The probability distribution effectively sampled by a complex Langevin process for theories with a sign problem is not known a priori and notoriously hard to understand. Diffusion models, a class of generative AI, can learn distributions…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2024-12-05 Diaa E. Habibi , Gert Aarts , Lingxiao Wang , Kai Zhou

We tackle the problem of system identification, where we select inputs, observe the corresponding outputs from the true system, and optimize the parameters of our model to best fit the data. We propose a practical and computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

We provide a comprehensive overview of latent Markov (LM) models for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data. The main assumption behind these models is that the response variables are conditionally independent given a latent process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-16 F. Bartolucci , A. Farcomeni , F. Pennoni

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

A fully Bayesian treatment of complicated predictive models (such as deep neural networks) would enable rigorous uncertainty quantification and the automation of higher-level tasks including model selection. However, the intractability of…

Dynamic heterogeneity has often been modeled by assuming that a single-particle observable, fluctuating at a molecular scale, is influenced by its coupling to environmental variables fluctuating on a second, perhaps slower, time scale.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Gregor Diezemann , Gerald Hinze , Hans Sillescu

The Bayesian data analysis framework has been proven to be a systematic and effective method of parameter inference and model selection for stochastic processes. In this work we introduce an information content model check which may serve…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-13 Jens Krog , Michael A. Lomholt

Latent dynamics discovery is challenging in extracting complex dynamics from high-dimensional noisy neural data. Many dimensionality reduction methods have been widely adopted to extract low-dimensional, smooth and time-evolving latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Qi She , Anqi Wu

Animal groups exhibit emergent properties that are a consequence of local interactions. Linking individual-level behaviour to coarse-grained descriptions of animal groups has been a question of fundamental interest. Here, we present two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-21 Jitesh Jhawar , Richard G. Morris , Vishwesha Guttal

Langevin algorithms are popular Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for Bayesian learning, particularly when the aim is to sample from the posterior distribution of a parametric model, given the input data and the prior distribution over the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Mert Gurbuzbalaban , Mohammad Rafiqul Islam , Xiaoyu Wang , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper we deal with a general second order continuous dynamical system associated to a convex minimization problem with a Fr\`echet differentiable objective function. We show that inertial algorithms, such as Nesterov's algorithm,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-08 Cristian Daniel Alecsa , Szilárd Csaba László , Titus Pinţa

A wide body of work has applied the concept of critical slowing down to estimate the stability of different Earth system components. Most of them -- such as global vegetation -- are inherently non-stationary, for example due to strong…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-28 Taylor Smith , Andreas Morr , Christof Schötz , Niklas Boers