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We present a general framework for defining priors on model structure and sampling from the posterior using the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. The key idea is that structure priors are defined via a probability tree and that the proposal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Nicos Angelopoulos , James Cussens

The Bayesian elastic net regression model is characterized by the regression coefficient prior distribution, the negative log density of which corresponds to the elastic net penalty function. While Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-03 Christopher M. Hans , Ningyi Liu

The Bayesian probit regression model (Albert and Chib (1993)) is popular and widely used for binary regression. While the improper flat prior for the regression coefficients is an appropriate choice in the absence of any prior information,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Kshitij Khare

Given a set of possible models (e.g., Bayesian network structures) and a data sample, in the unsupervised model selection problem the task is to choose the most accurate model with respect to the domain joint probability distribution. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Sanjoy Dasgupta , Leonard Schulman

The article develops marginal models for multivariate longitudinal responses. Overall, the model consists of five regression submodels, one for the mean and four for the covariance matrix, with the latter resulting by considering various…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-18 Georgios Papageorgiou

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Composite likelihoods are increasingly used in applications where the full likelihood is analytically unknown or computationally prohibitive. Although the maximum composite likelihood estimator has frequentist properties akin to those of…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-08 Mathieu Ribatet , Daniel Cooley , Anthony C. Davison

As noninvasive sampling techniques for animal populations have become more popular, there has been increasing interest in the development of capture-recapture models that can accommodate both imperfect detection and misidentification of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-04 Brett T. McClintock , Larissa L. Bailey , Brian P. Dreher , William A. Link

Accurate identification of parameters of load models is essential in power system computations, including simulation, prediction, and stability and reliability analysis. Conventional point estimation based composite load modeling approaches…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Chang Fu , Zhe Yu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Caisheng Wang , Zhiwei Wang , Jie Li

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We explore the estimation of generalized additive models using basis expansion in conjunction with Bayesian model selection. Although Bayesian model selection is useful for regression splines, it has traditionally been applied mainly to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-02 Gyeonghun Kang , Seonghyun Jeong

Hyper-differential sensitivity analysis with respect to model discrepancy was recently developed to enable uncertainty quantification for optimization problems. The approach consists of two primary steps: (i) Bayesian calibration of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Jixian Li , Timbwaoga A. J. Ouermi , Chris R. Johnson

Variational Bayesian inference and (collapsed) Gibbs sampling are the two important classes of inference algorithms for Bayesian networks. Both have their advantages and disadvantages: collapsed Gibbs sampling is unbiased but is also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Max Welling , Yee Whye Teh , Hilbert Kappen

This paper provides a closed form expression for the pairwise score vector for the multivariate ordered probit model. This result has several implications in likelihood-based inference. It is indeed used both to speed-up gradient based…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-30 Martina Bravo , Antonio Canale

Classification approaches based on the direct estimation and analysis of posterior probabilities will degrade if the original class priors begin to change. We prove that a unique (up to scale) solution is possible to recover the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Jim Davis

In collaborative forecast projects, the combining of multiple probabilistic forecasts into an ensemble is standard practice, with linear pooling being a common combination method. The weighting scheme of a linear pool should be tailored to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-05 Spencer Wadsworth , Jarad Niemi

Despite the abundance of methods for variable selection and accommodating spatial structure in regression models, there is little precedent for incorporating spatial dependence in covariate inclusion probabilities for regionally varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-05 Kristian Lum

Analysis of competing risks data plays an important role in the lifetime data analysis. Recently Feizjavadian and Hashemi (Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, vol. 82, 19-34, 2015) provided a classical inference of a competing risks…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-04 Debashis Samanta , Debasis Kundu

Gaussian graphical models play an important role in various areas such as genetics, finance, statistical physics and others. They are a powerful modelling tool which allows one to describe the relationships among the variables of interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Laurentiu Catalin Hinoveanu , Fabrizio Leisen , Cristiano Villa

In this article, we consider Markov chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) algorithms for exploring the intractable posterior density associated with Bayesian probit linear mixed models under improper priors on the regression coefficients and variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Xin Wang , Vivekananda Roy
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