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Age estimation from facial images is typically cast as a label distribution learning or regression problem, since aging is a gradual progress. Its main challenge is the facial feature space w.r.t. ages is inhomogeneous, due to the large…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-26 Wei Shen , Yilu Guo , Yan Wang , Kai Zhao , Bo Wang , Alan Yuille

We prove uniform consistency of Random Survival Forests (RSF), a newly introduced forest ensemble learner for analysis of right-censored survival data. Consistency is proven under general splitting rules, bootstrapping, and random selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-19 Hemant Ishwaran , Udaya B. Kogalur

An algorithm to improve performance parameter for unsupervised decision forest clustering and density estimation is presented. Specifically, a dual assignment parameter is introduced as a density estimator by combining Random Forest and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-07-19 Hayder Albehadili , Naz Islam

Analysis of random censored life-time data along with some related stochastic covariables is of great importance in many applied sciences like medical research, population studies and planning etc. The parametric estimation technique…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

The aim of this paper is to propose a suitable method for constructing prediction intervals for the output of neural network models. To do this, we adapt the extremely randomized trees method originally developed for random forests to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-14 Tullio Mancini , Hector Calvo-Pardo , Jose Olmo

Accurate uncertainty estimates can significantly improve the performance of iterative design of experiments, as in Sequential and Reinforcement learning. For many such problems in engineering and the physical sciences, the design task…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-20 Brendan Folie , Maxwell Hutchinson

Gradient-boosted regression trees (GBRTs) are hugely popular for solving tabular regression problems, but provide no estimate of uncertainty. We propose Instance-Based Uncertainty estimation for Gradient-boosted regression trees (IBUG), a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Jonathan Brophy , Daniel Lowd

Survival data with time-varying covariates are common in practice. If relevant, they can improve on the estimation of survival function. However, the traditional survival forests - conditional inference forest, relative risk forest and…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-06 Weichi Yao , Halina Frydman , Denis Larocque , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

Uncertainty quantification of prediction models through prediction sets is increasingly popular and successful, but most existing methods rely on directly observing the outcome and do not appropriately handle censored outcomes, such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Wenwen Si , Hongxiang Qiu

Tree ensembles such as random forests and boosted trees are accurate but difficult to understand, debug and deploy. In this work, we provide the inTrees (interpretable trees) framework that extracts, measures, prunes and selects rules from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-26 Houtao Deng

Ancestral graph models, introduced by Richardson and Spirtes (2002), generalize both Markov random fields and Bayesian networks to a class of graphs with a global Markov property that is closed under conditioning and marginalization. By…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-19 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

This paper presents a new ensemble learning method for classification problems called projection pursuit random forest (PPF). PPF uses the PPtree algorithm introduced in Lee et al. (2013). In PPF, trees are constructed by splitting on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-24 Natalia da Silva , Dianne Cook , Eun-Kyung Lee

Recent studies have adopted an approach of selecting accurate and diverse trees based on individual or collective performance within an ensemble for classification and regression problems. This work follows in the wake of these…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-20 Naz Gul , Nosheen Faiz , Dan Brawn , Rafal Kulakowski , Zardad Khan , Berthold Lausen

Canonical distances such as Euclidean distance often fail to capture the appropriate relationships between items, subsequently leading to subpar inference and prediction. Many algorithms have been proposed for automated learning of suitable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-24 Tyler M. Tomita , Joshua T. Vogelstein

Estimating time-varying reproduction numbers from epidemic incidence data is a central task in infectious disease surveillance, yet it poses an inherently ill-posed inverse problem. Existing approaches often rely on strong structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Lanlan Yu , Quan-Hui Liu , Haoyue Zheng , Xinfu Yang

Conformal prediction provides a framework for uncertainty quantification, specifically in the forms of prediction intervals and sets with distribution-free guaranteed coverage. While recent cross-conformal techniques such as CV+ and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 Panisara Meehinkong , Donlapark Ponnoprat

Random forest regression is a powerful non-parametric method that adapts to local data characteristics through data-driven partitioning, making it effective across diverse application domains. However, the piecewise constant nature of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ziyi Liu , Phuc Luong , Mario Boley , Daniel F. Schmidt

We propose a novel ensemble method called Riemann-Lebesgue Forest (RLF) for regression. The core idea in RLF is to mimic the way how a measurable function can be approximated by partitioning its range into a few intervals. With this idea in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-13 Tian Qin , Wei-Min Huang

We propose a method to quantify uncertainty around individual survival distribution estimates using right-censored data, compatible with any survival model. Unlike classical confidence intervals, the survival bands produced by this method…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

Feature screening is an important method to reduce the dimension and capture informative variables in ultrahigh-dimensional data analysis. Many methods have been developed for feature screening. These methods, however, are challenged by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-08 Li-Pang Chen