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Risk assessment for rare events is essential for understanding systemic stability in complex systems. As rare events are typically highly correlated, it is important to study heavy-tailed multivariate distributions of the relevant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Efstratios Manolakis , Anton J. Heckens , Benjamin Köhler , Thomas Guhr

This paper studies distributed estimation and support recovery for high-dimensional linear regression model with heavy-tailed noise. To deal with heavy-tailed noise whose variance can be infinite, we adopt the quantile regression loss…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-21 Xi Chen , Weidong Liu , Xiaojun Mao , Zhuoyi Yang

Datasets with extreme observations and/or heavy-tailed error distributions are commonly encountered and should be analyzed with careful consideration of these features from a statistical perspective. Small deviations from an assumed model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Meadhbh O'Neill , Kevin Burke

It has been pointed out by Patriarca et al. (2005) that the power-law tailed equilibrium distribution in heterogeneous kinetic exchange models with a distributed saving parameter can be resolved as a mixture of Gamma distributions…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-17 Adams Vallejos , Ignacio Ormazabal , Felix A. Borotto , Hernan F. Astudillo

In this article, a generalized inverse xgamma distribution (GIXGD) has been introduced as the generalized version of the inverse xgamma distribution. The proposed model exhibits the pattern of non-monotone hazard rate and belongs to family…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-13 Harsh Tripathi , Abhimanyu Singh Yadav , Mahendra Saha , Sumit Kumar

Maximum likelihood estimation of generalized linear mixed models(GLMMs) is difficult due to marginalization of the random effects. Computing derivatives of a fitted GLMM's likelihood (with respect to model parameters) is also difficult,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-12 Ting Wang , Benjamin Graves , Yves Rosseel , Edgar C. Merkle

It is well known that the probability distribution of high-frequency financial returns is characterized by a leptokurtic, heavy-tailed shape. This behavior undermines the typical assumption of Gaussian log-returns behind the standard…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-14 Federica De Domenico , Giacomo Livan , Guido Montagna , Oreste Nicrosini

In this paper, we introduce a new two-parameter lifetime distribution, called the exponential-generalized truncated logarithmic (EGTL) distribution, by compounding the exponential and generalized truncated logarithmic distributions. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-28 Mohieddine Rahmouni , Ayman Orabi

This paper presents a score-based weighted likelihood estimator (SWLE) for robust estimations of generalized linear model (GLM) for insurance loss data. The SWLE exhibits a limited sensitivity to the outliers, theoretically justifying its…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Tsz Chai Fung

The power law distribution is usually used to fit data in the upper tail of the distribution. However, commonly it is not valid to model data in all the range. In this paper, we present a new family of distributions, the so-called…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-09-21 Faustino Prieto , José María Sarabia

A novel approach to adding two additional parameters to a family of distributions for better adaptability has been put forth. This approach yields a versatile class of distributions supported on the positive real line. We proceed to analyze…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Subhankar Dutta , Roberto Vila , Terezinha K. A. Ribeiro

We develop a class of non-life reserving models using a stable-1/2 random bridge to simulate the accumulation of paid claims, allowing for an essentially arbitrary choice of a priori distribution for the ultimate loss. Taking an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Edward Hoyle , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

This paper presents a simulation study comparing the performance of generalized joint regression models (GJRM) with generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) and generalized estimating equations (GEE) for regression of longitudinal data with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Aydin Sareff-Hibbert , Gillian Z. Heller

I present all the details in calculating the posterior distribution of the conjugate Normal-Gamma prior in Bayesian Linear Models (BLM), including correlated observations, prediction, model selection and comments on efficient numeric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 J Andres Christen

We provide a general framework for designing Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to solve high dimensional robust statistics problems, which aim at estimating unknown parameter of the true distribution given adversarially corrupted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-04 Banghua Zhu , Jiantao Jiao , Michael I. Jordan

Fragmentary data is becoming more and more popular in many areas which brings big challenges to researchers and data analysts. Most existing methods dealing with fragmentary data consider a continuous response while in many applications the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-07 Chaoxia Yuan , Yang Wu , Fang Fang

The estimation of loss distributions for dynamic portfolios requires the simulation of scenarios representing realistic joint dynamics of their components. We propose a novel data-driven approach for simulating realistic, high-dimensional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-19 Rama Cont , Mihai Cucuringu , Renyuan Xu , Chao Zhang

Despite rapid progress in large language models (LLMs), the statistical structure of their weights, activations, and gradients-and its implications for initialization, training dynamics, and efficiency-remains largely unexplored. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Jun Wu , Patrick Huang , Jiangtao Wen , Yuxing Han

The generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution is a three parameter family that describes the asymptotic behaviour of properly renormalised maxima of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables. If the shape…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-10 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Raphaël Huser , Håvard Rue

In clinical trials, studies often present longitudinal data or clustered data. These studies are commonly analyzed using linear mixed models (LMMs), usually considering Gaussian assumptions for random effect and error terms. Recently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Fernanda L. Schumacher , Larissa A. Matos , Celso R. B. Cabral