English

Bayesian Linear Models: A compact general set of results

Methodology 2026-03-04 v2

Abstract

I present all the details in calculating the posterior distribution of the conjugate Normal-Gamma prior in Bayesian Linear Models (BLM), including correlated observations, prediction, model selection and comments on efficient numeric implementations. A Python implementation is also presented. These have been presented and available in many books and texts but, I believe, a general compact and simple presentation is always welcome and not always simple to find. Since correlated observations are also included, these results may also be useful for time series analysis and spacial statistics. Other particular cases presented include regression, Gaussian processes and Bayesian Dynamic Models.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2406.01819,
  title  = {Bayesian Linear Models: A compact general set of results},
  author = {J Andres Christen},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.01819},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

13 pages, 4 figures, Python implementation

R2 v1 2026-06-28T16:52:04.846Z