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Time series forecasting is widely used in a multitude of domains. In this paper, we present four models to predict the stock price using the SPX index as input time series data. The martingale and ordinary linear models require the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-23 Aaron Elliot , Cheng Hua Hsu

One of the most enticing research areas is the stock market, and projecting stock prices may help investors profit by making the best decisions at the correct time. Deep learning strategies have emerged as a critical technique in the field…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Karan Pardeshi , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Ahmed M. Abdelmoniem

In order to make good investment decisions, it is vitally important for an investor to know how to make good analysis of financial time series. Within this context, studies on the forecast of the values and trends of stock prices have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Gabriel de Oliveira Guedes Nogueira , Marcel Otoboni de Lima

Due to the extremely volatile nature of financial markets, it is commonly accepted that stock price prediction is a task full of challenge. However in order to make profits or understand the essence of equity market, numerous market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-30 Yue-Gang Song , Yu-Long Zhou , Ren-Jie Han

Designing robust frameworks for precise prediction of future prices of stocks has always been considered a very challenging research problem. The advocates of the classical efficient market hypothesis affirm that it is impossible to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

This paper presents price prediction models using Machine Learning algorithms augmented with Superforecasters predictions, aimed at enhancing investment decisions. Five Machine Learning models are built, including Bidirectional LSTM, ARIMA,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-03 Anishka Chauhan , Pratham Mayur , Yeshwanth Sai Gokarakonda , Pooriya Jamie , Naman Mehrotra

Stock price prediction has been an important research theme both academically and practically. Various methods to predict stock prices have been studied until now. The feature that explains the stock price by a cross-section analysis is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-21 Masaya Abe , Kei Nakagawa

Financial news contains useful information on public companies and the market. In this paper we apply the popular word embedding methods and deep neural networks to leverage financial news to predict stock price movements in the market.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-25 Yangtuo Peng , Hui Jiang

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

Identifying meaningful relationships between the price movements of financial assets is a challenging but important problem in a variety of financial applications. However with recent research, particularly those using machine learning and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-21 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Ruihai Dong

Training a practical and effective model for stock selection has been a greatly concerned problem in the field of artificial intelligence. Even though some of the models from previous works have achieved good performance in the U.S. market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Junming Yang , Yaoqi Li , Xuanyu Chen , Jiahang Cao , Kangkang Jiang

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

Financial forecasting is a difficult task due to the intrinsic complexity of the financial system. In the present paper we relate our experience using neural nets as financial time series forecast method. In particular we show that a neural…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Filippo Castiglione

This paper is about predicting the movement of stock consist of S&P 500 index. Historically there are many approaches have been tried using various methods to predict the stock movement and being used in the market currently for algorithm…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Rahul Gupta

It has been shown that financial news leads to the fluctuation of stock prices. However, previous work on news-driven financial market prediction focused only on predicting stock price movement without providing an explanation. In this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Linyi Yang , Zheng Zhang , Su Xiong , Lirui Wei , James Ng , Lina Xu , Ruihai Dong

Creating accurate predictions in the stock market has always been a significant challenge in finance. With the rise of machine learning as the next level in the forecasting area, this research paper compares four machine learning models and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Albert Wong , Steven Whang , Emilio Sagre , Niha Sachin , Gustavo Dutra , Yew-Wei Lim , Gaetan Hains , Youry Khmelevsky , Frank Zhang

Forecasting stock prices can be interpreted as a time series prediction problem, for which Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks are often used due to their architecture specifically built to solve such problems. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Akash Doshi , Alexander Issa , Puneet Sachdeva , Sina Rafati , Somnath Rakshit

Predicting trends in stock market prices has been an area of interest for researchers for many years due to its complex and dynamic nature. Intrinsic volatility in stock market across the globe makes the task of prediction challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Luckyson Khaidem , Snehanshu Saha , Sudeepa Roy Dey

Many studies have been undertaken by using machine learning techniques, including neural networks, to predict stock returns. Recently, a method known as deep learning, which achieves high performance mainly in image recognition and speech…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-14 Masaya Abe , Hideki Nakayama

Modeling the behavior of stock price data has always been one of the challengeous applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) due to its high complexity and dependence on various conditions. Recent studies show…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-14 Xinyuan Song