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Inflation is a major determinant for allocation decisions and its forecast is a fundamental aim of governments and central banks. However, forecasting inflation is not a trivial task, as its prediction relies on low frequency, highly…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-30 Maximilian Tschuchnig , Petra Tschuchnig , Cornelia Ferner , Michael Gadermayr

This paper initiates a study into the century-old issue of market predictability from the perspective of computational complexity. We develop a simple agent-based model for a stock market where the agents are traders equipped with simple…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 James Aspnes , David F. Fischer , Michael J. Fischer , Ming-Yang Kao , Alok Kumar

Stock market forecasting is very important in the planning of business activities. Stock price prediction has attracted many researchers in multiple disciplines including computer science, statistics, economics, finance, and operations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Dev Shah , Haruna Isah , Farhana Zulkernine

Prediction of stock price movements presents a formidable challenge in financial analytics due to the inherent volatility, non-stationarity, and nonlinear characteristics of market data. This paper introduces SPH-Net (Stock Price Prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Yiyang Wu , Hanyu Ma , Muxin Ge , Xiaoli Ma , Yadi Liu , Ye Aung Moe , Zeyu Han , Weizheng Xie

This study explores the prediction of high-frequency price changes using deep learning models. Although state-of-the-art methods perform well, their complexity impedes the understanding of successful predictions. We found that an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

We propose and experimentally demonstrate an innovative stock index prediction method using a weighted optical reservoir computing system. We construct fundamental market data combined with macroeconomic data and technical indicators to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Fang Wang , Ting Bu , Yuping Huang

Bond prices are a reflection of extremely complex market interactions and policies, making prediction of future prices difficult. This task becomes even more challenging due to the dearth of relevant information, and accuracy is not the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-04 Swetava Ganguli , Jared Dunnmon

This thesis serves three primary purposes, first of which is to forecast two stocks, i.e. Goldman Sachs (GS) and General Electric (GE). In order to forecast stock prices, we used a long short-term memory (LSTM) model in which we inputted…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-01 Hamed Vaheb

The stock market prediction has always been crucial for stakeholders, traders and investors. We developed an ensemble Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model that includes two-time frequencies (annual and daily parameters) in order to predict…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-13 Zineb Lanbouri , Saaid Achchab

The paper studies intraday price movement of stocks that is considered as an image classification problem. Using a CNN-based model we make a compelling case for the high-level relationship between the first hour of trading and the close.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-26 Matej Steinbacher

This paper introduces MarketSenseAI, an innovative framework leveraging GPT-4's advanced reasoning for selecting stocks in financial markets. By integrating Chain of Thought and In-Context Learning, MarketSenseAI analyzes diverse data…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-04 Georgios Fatouros , Konstantinos Metaxas , John Soldatos , Dimosthenis Kyriazis

Stock market prediction is the act of trying to determine the future value of a company stock or other financial instrument traded on a financial exchange.

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-03-03 Osman Hegazy , Omar S. Soliman , Mustafa Abdul Salam

The application of deep learning models for stock price forecasting in emerging markets remains underexplored despite their potential to capture complex temporal dependencies. This study develops and evaluates a Long Short-Term Memory…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-19 Ahad Yaqoob , Syed M. Abdullah

Investors and stock market analysts face major challenges in predicting stock returns and making wise investment decisions. The predictability of equity stock returns can boost investor confidence, but it remains a difficult task. To…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Adebola K. Ojo , Ifechukwude Jude Okafor

Neural networks are powerful tools for classification and regression in static environments. This paper describes a technique for creating an ensemble of neural networks that adapts dynamically to changing conditions. The model separates…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-12-16 Baruch Lubinsky , Bekir Genc , Tshilidzi Marwala

In recent years, high-frequency trading has emerged as a crucial strategy in stock trading. This study aims to develop an advanced high-frequency trading algorithm and compare the performance of three different mathematical models: the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Jiahao Chen , Xiaofei Li

Given financial data from popular sites like Yahoo and the London Exchange, the presented paper attempts to model and predict stocks that can be considered "good investments". Stocks are characterized by 125 features ranging from gross…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-03-10 Mike Wu

Stock market forecasting is a classic problem that has been thoroughly investigated using machine learning and artificial neural network based tools and techniques. Interesting aspects of this problem include its time reliance as well as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Raihan Tanvir , Md Tanvir Rouf Shawon , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam

Options have provided a field of much study because of the complexity involved in pricing them. The Black-Scholes equations were developed to price options but they are only valid for European styled options. There is added complexity when…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Michael Maio Pires , Tshilidzi Marwala
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