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Let ($X,Y)$ be a random vector with distribution function $F(x,y),$ and $(X_{1},Y_{1}),(X_{2},Y_{2}),...,(X_{n},Y_{n})$ are independent copies of ($X,Y).$ Let $X_{i:n}$ be the $i$th order statistics constructed from the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-08 Ismihan Bairamov

We study two-layer belief networks of binary random variables in which the conditional probabilities Pr[childlparents] depend monotonically on weighted sums of the parents. In large networks where exact probabilistic inference is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Michael Kearns , Lawrence Saul

We introduce the problem of simultaneously learning all powers of a Poisson Binomial Distribution (PBD). A PBD of order $n$ is the distribution of a sum of $n$ mutually independent Bernoulli random variables $X_i$, where $\mathbb{E}[X_i] =…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-07-19 Dimitris Fotakis , Vasilis Kontonis , Piotr Krysta , Paul Spirakis

Let $\{X_{\mathbf{n}} : \mathbf{n}\in\mathbb{Z}^d\}$ be a weakly dependent stationary field with maxima $M_{A} := \sup\{X_{\mathbf{i}} : \mathbf{i}\in A\}$ for finite $A\subset\mathbb{Z}^d$ and $M_{\mathbf{n}} := \sup\{X_{\mathbf{i}} :…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Natalia Soja-Kukieła

There are $n$ independent Bernoulli random variables $I_{k}$ with parameters $p_{k}$ that are observed sequentially. We consider a generalization of the Last-Success-Problem considering $w_{k}$ positive payments if the player successfully…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 Jose Maria Grau ribas

Let $(X_i)_{1 \le i \le n}$ be independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) standard Gaussian random variables, and denote by $X_{(n)} = \max_{1 \le i \le n} X_i$ the maximum order statistic. It is well-known in extreme value theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-15 Yutao Ma , Bingjie Tian

We obtain asymptotic expansions for local probabilities of partial sums for uniformly bounded independent but not necessarily identically distributed integer-valued random variables. The expansions involve products of polynomials and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Yeor Hafouta

We provide moment bounds for expressions of the type $(X^{(1)} \otimes \dots \otimes X^{(d)})^T A (X^{(1)} \otimes \dots \otimes X^{(d)})$ where $\otimes$ denotes the Kronecker product and $X^{(1)}, \dots, X^{(d)}$ are random vectors with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-28 Stefan Bamberger , Felix Krahmer , Rachel Ward

We derive optimality conditions for the optimum sample allocation problem in stratified sampling, formulated as the determination of the fixed strata sample sizes that minimize the total cost of the survey, under the assumed level of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-11 Wojciech Wójciak

We show that for any $1\leq p\leq\infty$, the family of random vectors uniformly distributed on hyperplane projections of the unit ball of $\ell_p^n$ verify the variance conjecture $$ \textrm{Var}\,|X|^2\leq C\max_{\xi\in…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2016-10-14 David Alonso-Gutiérrez , Jesús Bastero

We address the problem of finding worst-case nonparametric bounds for T-statistic by considering the extremal problem of maximising the mid-quantile (a special case of 'smoothed quantile' as discussed in \cite{St77} and \cite{W11}) $\tilde…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 David Edelman

We consider chance-constrained binary knapsack problems, where the weights of items are independent random variables with the means and standard deviations known. The chance constraint can be reformulated as a second-order cone constraint…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Jaehyeon Ryu , Sungsoo Park

Weighted empirical risk minimization is a common approach to prediction under distribution drift. This article studies its out-of-sample prediction error under nonstationarity. We provide a general decomposition of the excess risk into a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Tobias Brock , Thomas Nagler

Standard supervised learning procedures are validated against a test set that is assumed to have come from the same distribution as the training data. However, in many problems, the test data may have come from a different distribution. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Tim Coleman , Kimberly Kaufeld , Mary Frances Dorn , Lucas Mentch

Many discrete-time optimal stopping problems are known to have more tractable limit forms based on a planar Poisson process. Using this tool we find a solution to the optimal stopping problem for i.i.d. sequence of $n$ discrete uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Alexander Gnedin

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

Let $(Y,X_1,...,X_m)$ be a random vector. It is desired to predict $Y$ based on $(X_1,...,X_m)$. Examples of prediction methods are regression, classification using logistic regression or separating hyperplanes, and so on. We consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eitan Greenshtein

By optimal fluctuation method, we study short-time distribution $P(\mathcal{A}=A)$ of the functionals, $\mathcal{A}=\int_{0}^{t_f} x^n(t) dt$, along constrained trajectories of random acceleration process for a given time duration $t_f$,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-18 Hanshuang Chen , Lulu Tian , Guofeng Li

Continuing the work of [9] who defined the restrictiveness of stochastic orders and calculated the restrictiveness of the usual stochastic order and the likelihood ratio order, we calculate the restrictiveness of the hazard rate order.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Sela Fried

This paper derives a new strong Gaussian approximation bound for the sum of independent random vectors. The approach relies on the optimal transport theory and yields \textit{explicit} dependence on the dimension size $p$ and the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-06 Nazar Buzun , Nikolay Shvetsov , Dmitry V. Dylov