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For some time, point-differential has been thought to be a better predictor for future NBA success than pure win-loss record. Most ranking and team performance predictions rely largely on point-differential, often with some normalizations…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-04 Samuel Henry

We consider the problem of predicting human players' actions in repeated strategic interactions. Our goal is to predict the dynamic step-by-step behavior of individual players in previously unseen games. We study the ability of neural…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-11 Yoav Kolumbus , Gali Noti

Technological advances have paved the way for collecting high-resolution network data in basketball, football, and other team-based sports. Such data consist of interactions among players of competing teams indexed by space and time.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-14 Nicholas Grieshop , Yong Feng , Guanyu Hu , Michael Schweinberger

NBA team managers and owners try to acquire high-performing players. An important consideration in these decisions is how well the new players will perform in combination with their teammates. Our objective is to identify elite five-person…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-28 Susan E. Martonosi , Martin Gonzalez , Nicolas Oshiro

Objectively quantifying the value of player actions in football (soccer) is a challenging problem. To date, studies in football analytics have mainly focused on the attacking side of the game, while there has been less work on event-driven…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Charbel Merhej , Ryan Beal , Sarvapali Ramchurn , Tim Matthews

In the evolving landscape of deep learning, selecting the best pre-trained models from a growing number of choices is a challenge. Transferability scorers propose alleviating this scenario, but their recent proliferation, ironically, poses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Levy Chaves , Eduardo Valle , Alceu Bissoto , Sandra Avila

We introduce a new protocol for prediction with expert advice in which each expert evaluates the learner's and his own performance using a loss function that may change over time and may be different from the loss functions used by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-03-23 Alexey Chernov , Vladimir Vovk

Analyzing defenses in team sports is generally challenging because of the limited event data. Researchers have previously proposed methods to evaluate football team defense by predicting the events of ball gain and being attacked using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Rikuhei Umemoto , Kazushi Tsutsui , Keisuke Fujii

This study introduces an advanced machine learning method for predicting soccer players' market values, combining ensemble models and the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) for interpretability. Utilizing data from about 12,000 players…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Chunyang Huang , Shaoliang Zhang

Difficulty is one of the key drivers of player engagement and it is often one of the aspects that designers tweak most to optimise the player experience; operationalising it is, therefore, a crucial task for game development studios. A…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Jeppe Theiss Kristensen , Paolo Burelli

In this paper, I introduce RisingBALLER, the first publicly available approach that leverages a transformer model trained on football match data to learn match-specific player representations. Drawing inspiration from advances in language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Akedjou Achraff Adjileye

Learning problems commonly exhibit an interesting feedback mechanism wherein the population data reacts to competing decision makers' actions. This paper formulates a new game theoretic framework for this phenomenon, called "multi-player…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Adhyyan Narang , Evan Faulkner , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Maryam Fazel , Lillian J. Ratliff

It is now well known that decentralised optimisation can be formulated as a potential game, and game-theoretical learning algorithms can be used to find an optimum. One of the most common learning techniques in game theory is fictitious…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-13 Michalis Smyrnakis , David S. Leslie

In sports analytics, player tracking data have driven significant advancements in the task of player evaluation. We present a novel generative framework for evaluating the observed frame-by-frame player positioning against a distribution of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-24 Quang Nguyen , Ronald Yurko

We apply the method of defensive forecasting, based on the use of game-theoretic supermartingales, to prediction with expert advice. In the traditional setting of a countable number of experts and a finite number of outcomes, the Defensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-12 Alexey Chernov , Yuri Kalnishkan , Fedor Zhdanov , Vladimir Vovk

Trajectory prediction is an essential step in the pipeline of an autonomous vehicle. Inaccurate or inconsistent predictions regarding the movement of agents in its surroundings lead to poorly planned maneuvers and potentially dangerous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Caio Azevedo , Lina Achaji , Stefano Sabatini , Nicola Poerio , Grzegorz Bartyzel , Sascha Hornauer , Fabien Moutarde

This work presents and evaluates the ranking algorithm that has been used by Federation Internationale de Volleyball (FIVB) since 2020. The prominent feature of the FIVB ranking is the use of the probabilistic model, which explicitly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Salma Tenni , Daniel Gomes de Pinho Zanco , Leszek Szczecinski

With the aid of mathematical modelling (basic tool is the random walk with absorbing barriers) we derive subsequent formulas to study the effect of different versions of possible rules. For different rules the probability of winning a game,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-30 G. Szigeti

From sports to science, the recent availability of large-scale data has allowed to gain insights on the drivers of human innovation and success in a variety of domains. Here we quantify human performance in the popular game of chess by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-19 Sandeep Chowdhary , Iacopo Iacopini , Federico Battiston

Player selection is one the most important tasks for any sport and cricket is no exception. The performance of the players depends on various factors such as the opposition team, the venue, his current form etc. The team management, the…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-04-13 Kalpdrum Passi , Niravkumar Pandey