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In this paper we propose the notion of dynamic deviation measure, as a dynamic time-consistent extension of the (static) notion of deviation measure. To achieve time-consistency we require that a dynamic deviation measures satisfies a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Martijn Pistorius , Mitja Stadje

Imposing some flexible sampling scheme we provide some discretization of continuous time discrete scale invariant (DSI) processes which is a subsidiary discrete time DSI process. Then by introducing some simple random measure we provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-22 S. Rezakhah , Y. Maleki

We consider reinforcement learning with performance evaluated by a dynamic risk measure. We construct a projected risk-averse dynamic programming equation and study its properties. Then we propose risk-averse counterparts of the methods of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Umit Kose , Andrzej Ruszczynski

Distributionally robust optimization involves various probability measures in its problem formulation. They can be bundled to constitute a risk functional. For this equivalence, risk functionals constitute a fundamental building block in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Alois Pichler , Alexander Shapiro

We introduce a framework for quantifying propagation of uncertainty arising in a dynamic setting. Specifically, we define dynamic uncertainty sets designed explicitly for discrete stochastic processes over a finite time horizon. These…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-05 Marlon Moresco , Mélina Mailhot , Silvana M. Pesenti

Our paper contributes to the theory of conditional risk measures and conditional certainty equivalents. We adopt a random modular approach which proved to be effective in the study of modular convex analysis and conditional risk measures.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-10 Giulio Principi , Fabio Maccheroni

We propose a new class of mappings, called Dynamic Limit Growth Indices, that are designed to measure the long-run performance of a financial portfolio in discrete time setup. We study various important properties for this new class of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-22 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Marcin Pitera

Systemic risk measures are crucial for the stability of financial markets, yet classical formulations fail to capture the complexity of market volatility. We propose a new framework for systemic risk measurement on the variable-exponent…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-25 Fei Sun , Jieming Zhou

Multi-period measures of risk account for the path that the value of an investment portfolio takes. In the context of probabilistic risk measures, the focus has traditionally been on the magnitude of investment loss and not on the dimension…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-28 Ola Mahmoud

The risk of extreme environmental events is of great importance for both the authorities and the insurance industry. This paper concerns risk measures in a spatial setting, in order to introduce the spatial features of damages stemming from…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Erwan Koch

We revisit the well-studied superhedging problem under proportional transaction costs in continuous time using the recently developed tools of set-valued stochastic analysis. By relying on a simple Black-Scholes-type market model for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Atiqah Almuzaini , Çağın Ararat , Jin Ma

We introduce the resilience rate as a measure of financial resilience. It captures the expected rate at which a dynamic risk measure recovers, i.e., bounces back, when the risk-acceptance set is breached. We develop the corresponding…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-26 Roger J. A. Laeven , Matteo Ferrari , Emanuela Rosazza Gianin , Marco Zullino

This article introduces a dynamic spatiotemporal stochastic volatility (SV) model with explicit terms for the spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal spillover effects. Moreover, the model includes time-invariant site-specific constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Philipp Otto , Osman Doğan , Süleyman Taşpınar

The vast majority of the literature on stochastic semidefinite programs (stochastic SDPs) with recourse is concerned with risk-neutral models. In this paper, we introduce mean-risk models for stochastic SDPs and study structural properties…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Matthias Claus , Rüdiger Schultz , Kai Spürkel , Tobias Wollenberg

For an $\cF_T$-measurable payoff of a European type contingent claim, the recursive utility process/dynamic risk measure can be described by the adapted solution to a backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE). However, for an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Hanxiao Wang , Jingrui Sun , Jiongmin Yong

In this paper we obtain a comparison theorem for backward stochastic partial differential equation (SPDEs) with jumps. We apply it to introduce space-dependent convex risk measures as a model for risk in large systems of interacting…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-19 Bernt Øksendal , Agnès Sulem , Tusheng Zhang

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

This paper compares two different frameworks recently introduced in the literature for measuring risk in a multi-period setting. The first corresponds to applying a single coherent risk measure to the cumulative future costs, while the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Dan A. Iancu , Marek Petrik , Dharmashankar Subramanian

The aim of this paper is to investigate risk-averse and distributionally robust modeling of Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) and Markov Decision Process (MDP). We discuss construction of conditional nested risk functionals, a particular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Alexander Shapiro , Yan Li

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys