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Related papers: Solar Flare Intensity Prediction with Machine Lear…

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We present simultaneous X-ray and spectral ultraviolet (UV) observations of strikingly-coherent oscillations in emission from a coronal looptop and fan structure, during the impulsive phase of a long-duration M-class solar flare. The 50 s…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-06 Ryan J. French , Laura A. Hayes , Maria D. Kazachenko , Katharine K. Reeves , Chengcai Shen , Juraj Lörinčík

Climate change is one of the most concerning issues of this century. Emission from electric power generation is a crucial factor that drives the concern to the next level. Renewable energy sources are widespread and available globally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Md Amimul Ehsan , Amir Shahirinia , Nian Zhang , Timothy Oladunni

This study explores the behavior of machine learning-based flare forecasting models deployed in a simulated operational environment. Using Georgia State University's Space Weather Analytics for Solar Flares benchmark dataset (Angryk et al.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-09 Griffin T. Goodwin , Viacheslav M. Sadykov , Petrus C. Martens

Automated forecasts serve important role in space weather science, by providing statistical insights to flare-trigger mechanisms, and by enabling tailor-made forecasts and high-frequency forecasts. Only by realtime forecast we can…

Several papers provide evidences that the most probable sites of flare onset are the regions of high horizontal magnetic field gradients in solar active regions. Besides the localization of flare producing areas the present work intends to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-21 M. B. Korsos , T. Baranyi , A. Ludmany

The relationships between solar flare parameters (total importance, time duration, flare index, and flux) and sunspot activity (Rz) as well as those between geomagnetic activity (aa index) and the flare parameters can be well described by…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Z. L. Du , H. N. Wang

Residential buildings account for a significant portion (35\%) of the total electricity consumption in the U.S. as of 2022. As more distributed energy resources are installed in buildings, their potential to provide flexibility to the grid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Patrick Salter , Qiuhua Huang , Paulo Cesar Tabares-Velasco

Solar flares are caused by magnetic eruptions in active regions (ARs) on the surface of the sun. These events can have significant impacts on human activity, many of which can be mitigated with enough advance warning from good forecasts. To…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-18 Varad Deshmukh , Thomas Berger , James Meiss , Elizabeth Bradley

Solar shading design should be done for the desired Indoor Environmental Quality (IEQ) in the early design stages. This field can be very challenging and time-consuming also requires experts, sophisticated software, and a large amount of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Maryam Daneshi , Reza Taghavi Fard , Zahra Sadat Zomorodian , Mohammad Tahsildoost

Solar flares - bursts of high-energy radiation responsible for severe space-weather effects - are a consequence of the occasional destabilization of magnetic fields rooted in active regions (ARs). The complexity of AR evolution is a barrier…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-27 Dattaraj B. Dhuri , Shravan M. Hanasoge , Mark C. M. Cheung

Operational flare forecasting aims at providing predictions that can be used to make decisions, typically at a daily scale, about the space weather impacts of flare occurrence. This study shows that video-based deep learning can be used for…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-13 Sabrina Guastavino , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Michele Piana

Current solar flare predictions often lack precise quantification of their reliability, resulting in frequent false alarms, particularly when dealing with datasets skewed towards extreme events. To improve the trustworthiness of space…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-10 Jinsu Hong , Chetraj Pandey , Berkay Aydin

We present the discovery of a relationship between the maximum ratio of the flare flux (namely, 0.5-4 Ang to the 1-8 Ang flux) and non-flare background (namely, the 1-8 Ang background flux), which clearly separates flares into classes by…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-03 Lisa M. Winter , K. Balasubramaniam

We estimated photospheric velocities by separately applying the Fourier Local Correlation Tracking (FLCT) and Differential Affine Velocity Estimator (DAVE) methods to 2708 co-registered pairs of SOHO/MDI magnetograms, with nominal 96-minute…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 B. T. Welsch , Y. Li , P. W. Schuck , G. H. Fisher

Context. Hard X-ray (HXR) spikes refer to fine time structures on timescales of seconds to milliseconds in high-energy HXR emission profiles during solar flare eruptions. Aims. We present a preliminary statistical investigation of temporal…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 J. X. Cheng , J. Qiu , M. D. Ding , H. Wang

Introducing thresholds to analyze time series of emission from the Sun enables a new and simple definition of solar flare events, and their interoccurrence times. Rescaling time by the rate of events, the waiting and quiet time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marco Baiesi , Maya Paczuski , Attilio L. Stella

Efficient prediction of solar flares relies on parameters that quantify the eruptive capability of solar active regions. Several such quantitative predictors have been proposed in the literature, inferred mostly from photospheric…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-18 Ioannis Kontogiannis , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Sung-Hong Park , Jordan A Guerra

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

The need to forecast solar irradiation at a specific location over short-time horizons has acquired immense importance. In this paper, we report on analyses results involving statistical and machine learning techniques to predict hourly…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-29 Alireza Inanlougani , T. Agami Reddy , Srinivas Katiamula

The energy output a photo voltaic(PV) panel is a function of solar irradiation and weather parameters like temperature and wind speed etc. A general measure for solar irradiation called Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), customarily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-01 Bhaskar Pratim Mukhoty , Vikas Maurya , Sandeep Kumar Shukla