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Accurate load forecasting is essential to the operation of modern electric power systems. Given the sensitivity of electricity demand to weather variability and temporal dynamics, capturing non-linear patterns is essential for long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Abhiram Bhupatiraju , Sung Bum Ahn

Solar flares are known to release a large amount of energy into accelerating electrons. Studying small timescale ($\leq$ 2s) fluctuations in nonthermal X-ray flux offers the opportunity to probe the nature of those acceleration mechanisms.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-11 Trevor Knuth , Lindsay Glesener

The X-class solar flare of October 23, 2012, generated continuum photospheric emission and a strong helioseismic wave ("sunquake") that points to an intensive energy release in the dense part of the solar atmosphere. We study properties of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-19 Ivan N Sharykin , Alexander G Kosovichev , Viacheslav M Sadykov , Ivan V Zimovets , Ivan I Myshyakov

Solar small scale microwave bursts (SMBs), including microwave dot, spike, and narrow band type III bursts, are characterized with very short timescales, narrow frequency bandwidth, and very high brightness temperatures. Based on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 Baolin Tan

In this work we predict the maximum amplitude, its time of occurrence, and the total length of Solar Cycle 24 by linear regression to the curvature (second derivative) at the preceding minimum of a smoothed version of the sunspots time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 L. C. Uzal , R. D. Piacentini , P. F. Verdes

Knowing the behavior of solar radiation at a geographic location is essential for the use of energy from the sun using photovoltaic systems; however, the number of stations for measuring meteorological parameters and for determining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Luis Eduardo Ordoñez Palacios , Víctor Bucheli Guerrero , Hugo Ordoñez

Demand forecasting in power sector has become an important part of modern demand management and response systems with the rise of smart metering enabled grids. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) shows promising results in predicting time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Koushik Roy , Abtahi Ishmam , Kazi Abu Taher

The integration of renewable resources has increased in power generation as a means to reduce the fossil fuel usage and mitigate its adverse effects on the environment. However, renewables like solar energy are stochastic in nature due to…

The study of the localized plasma conditions before the impulsive phase of a solar flare can help us understand the physical processes that occur leading up to the main flare energy release. Here, we present evidence of a hot X-ray onset…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-02 Hugh S. Hudson , Paulo J. A. Simoes , Lyndsay Fletcher , Laura A. Hayes , Iain G. Hannah

Many questions must be answered before understanding the relationship between the emerging magnetic flux through the solar surface and the extreme geoeffective events. The main ingredients for getting X-ray class flares and large…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-22 Brigitte Schmieder , Jinhan Guo , Guillaume Aulanier , Anwesha Maharana , Stefaan Poedts

Of all the activity observed on the Sun, two of the most energetic events are flares and Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs). Usually, solar active regions that produce large flares will also produce a CME, but this is not always true (Yashiro et…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-04-25 Monica G. Bobra , Stathis Ilonidis

Most studies of quasi-periodic pulsations in solar flares have identified characteristic periods in the 5 - 300s range. Due to observational limitations there have been few attempts to probe the < 5s period regime and understand the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-12 Andrew R. Inglis , Laura A. Hayes

The Geostationary Orbital Environmental Satellites (GOES) Soft X-ray (SXR) sensors have provided data relating to, inter alia, the time, intensity and duration of solar flares since the 1970s. The GOES SXR Flare List has become the standard…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-08 Bill Swalwell , Silvia Dalla , Stephen Kahler , Stephen M. White , Alan Ling , Rodney Viereck , Astrid Veronig

Solar flares are the most explosive phenomena in the solar system and the main trigger of the events' chain that starts from Coronal Mass Ejections and leads to geomagnetic storms with possible impacts on the infrastructures at Earth.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-03 Chiara Curletto , Paolo Massa , Valeria Tagliafico , Cristina Campi , Federico Benvenuto , Michele Piana , Andrea Tacchino

Temporal and spectral characteristics of X-ray emission from 60 flares of intensity $\ge$C class observed by Solar X-ray Spectrometer (SOXS) during 2003-2011 are presented. We analyse the X-ray emission observed in four and three energy…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-10-17 Veena Choithani , Rajmal Jain , Arun Kumar Awasthi , Geetanjali Singh , Sneha Chaudhari , Som Kumar Sharma

In this paper, we demonstrate the importance of embedding temporal information for an accurate prediction of solar irradiance. We have used two sets of models for forecasting solar irradiance. The first one uses only time series data of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-20 T. A. Fathima , Vasudevan Nedumpozhimana , Yee Hui Lee , Soumyabrata Dev

High-precision pulsar timing is highly dependent on precise and accurate modeling of any effects that impact the data. It was shown that commonly used Solar Wind models do not accurately account for variability in the amplitude of the Solar…

In our earlier study of this series (Park et al. 2020, Paper I), we examined the hemispheric sign preference (HSP) of magnetic helicity flux $dH/dt$ across photospheric surfaces of 4802 samples of 1105 unique active regions (ARs) observed…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-28 Sung-Hong Park , K. D. Leka , Kanya Kusano

A time series of soft X-ray emission observed on 1974-2007 years (GOES) is analyzed. We show that in the periods of high solar activity 1977-1981, 1988-1992, 1999-2003 the energy statistics of soft X-ray solar flares for class M and C is…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-15 A. A. Stanislavsky , K. Burnecki , M. Magdziarz , A. Weron , K. Weron
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