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Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) hold great promise as a flexible and principled solution to deal with uncertainty when learning from finite data. Among approaches to realize probabilistic inference in deep neural networks, variational Bayes…

Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN) are powerful Bayesian models for multi-output regression, but their inference is intractable. To address this issue, existing methods use a fully factorized structure (or a mixture of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Shibo Li , Wei Xing , Mike Kirby , Shandian Zhe

Bayesian neural network posterior distributions have a great number of modes that correspond to the same network function. The abundance of such modes can make it difficult for approximate inference methods to do their job. Recent work has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-03 Tommy Rochussen

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation and prediction for nonhomogeneous Poisson process models with unknown intensity functions. We propose a class of improper priors for intensity functions. Nonparametric Bayesian inference with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Fumiyasu Komaki

Estimation of response functions is an important task in dynamic medical imaging. This task arises for example in dynamic renal scintigraphy, where impulse response or retention functions are estimated, or in functional magnetic resonance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-22 Ondřej Tichý , Václav Šmídl

Bayesian deep learning approaches assume model parameters to be latent random variables and infer posterior distributions to quantify uncertainty, increase safety and trust, and prevent overconfident and unpredictable behavior. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Jihao Andreas Lin , Joe Watson , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

The proposal and study of dependent prior processes has been a major research focus in the recent Bayesian nonparametric literature. In this paper, we introduce a flexible class of dependent nonparametric priors, investigate their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti , Igor Prünster

The focus of this work is the convergence of non-stationary and deep Gaussian process regression. More precisely, we follow a Bayesian approach to regression or interpolation, where the prior placed on the unknown function $f$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Conor Osborne , Aretha L. Teckentrup

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In a previous paper of one of the authors it was established that one of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Serguei Dachian , Ilia Negri

Polynomial functions have plenty of useful analytical properties, but they are rarely used as learning models because their function class is considered to be restricted. This work shows that when trained properly polynomial functions can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Li-Ping Liu , Ruiyuan Gu , Xiaozhe Hu

In this note we introduce linear regression with basis functions in order to apply Bayesian model selection. The goal is to incorporate Occam's razor as provided by Bayes analysis in order to automatically pick the model optimally able to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Miguel de Benito Delgado , Philipp Wacker

Classical parameter-space Bayesian inference for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) suffers from several unresolved prior issues, such as knowledge encoding intractability and pathological behaviours in deep networks, which can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Mengjing Wu , Junyu Xuan , Jie Lu

Proper initialisation strategy is of primary importance to mitigate gradient explosion or vanishing when training neural networks. Yet, the impact of initialisation parameters still lacks a precise theoretical understanding for several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Andrea Combette , Antoine Venaille , Nelly Pustelnik

Intensity estimation for Poisson processes is a classical problem and has been extensively studied over the past few decades. Practical observations, however, often contain compositional noise, i.e. a nonlinear shift along the time axis,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-25 Glenna Schluck , Wei Wu , Anuj Srivastava

The remarkable performance of overparameterized deep neural networks (DNNs) must arise from an interplay between network architecture, training algorithms, and structure in the data. To disentangle these three components, we apply a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Chris Mingard , Henry Rees , Guillermo Valle-Pérez , Ard A. Louis

Providing a model that achieves a strong predictive performance and is simultaneously interpretable by humans is one of the most difficult challenges in machine learning research due to the conflicting nature of these two objectives. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Danny D'Agostino , Ilija Ilievski , Christine Annette Shoemaker

Bayesian neural networks utilize probabilistic layers that capture uncertainty over weights and activations, and are trained using Bayesian inference. Since these probabilistic layers are designed to be drop-in replacement of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Daniel T. Chang

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

We develop a data-driven algorithm for automatically selecting the regularisation parameter in Bayesian inversion under random tree Besov priors. One of the key challenges in Bayesian inversion is the construction of priors that are both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Hanne Kekkonen , Andreas Tataris

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi