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Neural networks (NN) have achieved state-of-the-art performance in various applications. Unfortunately in applications where training data is insufficient, they are often prone to overfitting. One effective way to alleviate this problem is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-03 Hao Wang , Xingjian Shi , Dit-Yan Yeung

Encoding domain knowledge into the prior over the high-dimensional weight space of a neural network is challenging but essential in applications with limited data and weak signals. Two types of domain knowledge are commonly available in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-31 Tianyu Cui , Aki Havulinna , Pekka Marttinen , Samuel Kaski

Reference priors are theoretically attractive for the analysis of geostatistical data since they enable automatic Bayesian analysis and have desirable Bayesian and frequentist properties. But their use is hindered by computational hurdles…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Victor De Oliveira , Zifei Han

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (N-ODEs) are a powerful building block for learning systems, which extend residual networks to a continuous-time dynamical system. We propose a Bayesian version of N-ODEs that enables well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir

We propose Radial Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs): a variational approximate posterior for BNNs which scales well to large models while maintaining a distribution over weight-space with full support. Other scalable Bayesian deep learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-01 Sebastian Farquhar , Michael Osborne , Yarin Gal

Existing permanental processes often impose constraints on kernel types or stationarity, limiting the model's expressiveness. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel approach utilizing the sparse spectral representation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Zicheng Sun , Yixuan Zhang , Zenan Ling , Xuhui Fan , Feng Zhou

Autoregressive and recurrent networks have achieved remarkable progress across various fields, from weather forecasting to molecular generation and Large Language Models. Despite their strong predictive capabilities, these models lack a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Dario Coscia , Max Welling , Nicola Demo , Gianluigi Rozza

Gaussian processes retain the linear model either as a special case, or in the limit. We show how this relationship can be exploited when the data are at least partially linear. However from the perspective of the Bayesian posterior, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-07-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Herbert K. H. Lee

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have emerged as promising foundation models for prediction from tabular datasets, achieving state-of-the-art performance on small to moderate data sizes without tuning. While PFNs are motivated by Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Thomas Nagler , David Rügamer

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have recently received increasing attention for their ability to provide well-calibrated posterior uncertainties. However, model selection---even choosing the number of nodes---remains an open question. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-31 Soumya Ghosh , Finale Doshi-Velez

Progress in neuroscience has provided unprecedented opportunities to advance our understanding of brain alterations and their correspondence to phenotypic profiles. With data collected from various imaging techniques, studies have…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-01 Zhe Sun , Wanwan Xu , Tianxi Li , Jian Kang , Gregorio Alanis-Lobato , Yize Zhao

This paper introduces a new neural network based prior for real valued functions on $\mathbb R^d$ which, by construction, is more easily and cheaply scaled up in the domain dimension $d$ compared to the usual Karhunen-Lo\`eve function space…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-09 Torben Sell , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Neural networks capable of accurate, input-conditional uncertainty representation are essential for real-world AI systems. Deep ensembles of Gaussian networks have proven highly effective for continuous regression due to their ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Spencer Young , Porter Jenkins , Longchao Da , Jeff Dotson , Hua Wei

This paper introduces a periodic multivariate Poisson autoregression with potentially infinite memory, with a special focus on the network setting. Using contraction techniques, we study the stability of such a process and provide upper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Mahmoud Khabou , Edward A. K. Cohen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Feed-forward neural networks can be understood as a combination of an intermediate representation and a linear hypothesis. While most previous works aim to diversify the representations, we explore the complementary direction by performing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Han Zhao , Yao-Hung Hubert Tsai , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Geoffrey J. Gordon

Gaussian process modulated Poisson processes provide a flexible framework for modelling spatiotemporal point patterns. So far this had been restricted to one dimension, binning to a pre-determined grid, or small data sets of up to a few…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-04 S. T. John , James Hensman

Neural networks are powerful tools for cognitive modeling due to their flexibility and emergent properties. However, interpreting their learned representations remains challenging due to their sub-symbolic semantics. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Andrew Nam , Declan Campbell , Thomas Griffiths , Jonathan Cohen , Sarah-Jane Leslie

To adopt neural networks in safety critical domains, knowing whether we can trust their predictions is crucial. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide uncertainty estimates by averaging predictions with respect to the posterior weight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Jannik Schmitt , Stefan Roth

Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in nature and engineering. A case in point is a class of neural networks in the infinite-width limit, whose priors correspond to Gaussian processes. Here we perturbatively extend this correspondence to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-28 Sho Yaida

This work studies nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson point process in the important case where the intensity depends on covariates, based on the observation of a single realisation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Matteo Giordano , Alisa Kirichenko , Judith Rousseau