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Malliavin calculus is a powerful and general framework for the analysis of square-integrable random variables, but it often suffers from a lack of tractability and explicit representations. To address this limitation, we focus on a subclass…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Clément Rey , Dimitri Sotnikov

For a given time horizon DT, this article explores the relationship between the realized volatility (the volatility that will occur between t and t+DT), the implied volatility (corresponding to at-the-money option with expiry at t+DT), and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-16 Gilles Zumbach

"Noise-induced volatility" refers to a phenomenon of increased level of fluctuations in the collective dynamics of bistable units in the presence of a rapidly varying external signal, and intermediate noise levels. The archetypical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-02-01 Georges Harras , Claudio J. Tessone , Didier Sornette

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We study the volatility functional inference by Fourier transforms. This spectral framework is advantageous in that it harnesses the power of harmonic analysis to handle missing data and asynchronous observations without any artificial time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Richard Y. Chen

Implied volatilities form a well-known structure of smile or surface which accommodates the Bachelier model and observed market prices of interest rate options. For the swaptions that we study, three parameters are taken into account for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-04 Jinglun Yao , Sabine Laurent , Brice Bénaben

In this paper, we consider equilibrium strategies under Volterra processes and time-inconsistent preferences embracing mean-variance portfolio selection (MVP). Using a functional It\^o calculus approach, we overcome the non-Markovian and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-23 Bingyan Han , Hoi Ying Wong

In this note, Black--Scholes implied volatility is expressed in terms of various optimisation problems. From these representations, upper and lower bounds are derived which hold uniformly across moneyness and call price. Various symmetries…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-14 Michael R. Tehranchi

We consider the minimization over probability measures of the expected value of a random variable, regularized by relative entropy with respect to a given probability distribution. In the general setting we provide a complete…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens , Hilbert J. Kappen

We study the non-parametric estimation of an unknown stationary density fV of an unobserved strictly stationary volatility process $(\bm V_t)_{t\geq 0}$ on $\IRp^2 := (0,\infty)^2$ based on discrete-time observations in a stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Sergio Brenner Miguel

We price and replicate a variety of claims written on the log price $X$ and quadratic variation $[X]$ of a risky asset, modeled as a positive semimartingale, subject to stochastic volatility and jumps. The pricing and hedging formulas do…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-02 Peter Carr , Roger Lee , Matthew Lorig

We introduce a new identification strategy for uncertainty shocks to explain macroeconomic volatility in financial markets. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) measures market expectations of future volatility, but…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-06 Ayush Jha , Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

This paper discusses a novel explanation for asymmetric volatility based on the anchoring behavioral pattern. Anchoring as a heuristic bias causes investors focusing on recent price changes and price levels, which two lead to a belief in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-14 Mihaly Ormos , Dusan Timotity

A one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X_t, 0\leq t \leq T\}$, with drift $b(x)$ and diffusion coefficient $\sigma(\theta, x)=\sqrt{\theta} \sigma(x)$ known up to $\theta>0$, is supposed to switch volatility regime at some point $t^*\in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-20 A. De Gregorio , S. M. Iacus

We revisit the trading invariance hypothesis recently proposed by Kyle and Obizhaeva by empirically investigating a large dataset of bets, or metaorders, provided by ANcerno. The hypothesis predicts that the quantity $I:=\ri/N^{3/2}$, where…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Frédéric Bucci , Fabrizio Lillo , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Michael Benzaquen

This paper presents the Fourier-Malliavin Volatility (FMVol) estimation library for MATLAB. This library includes functions that implement Fourier- Malliavin estimators (see Malliavin and Mancino (2002, 2009)) of the volatility and…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-02 Simona Sanfelici , Giacomo Toscano

I introduce novel preference formulations which capture aversion to ambiguity about unknown and potentially time-varying volatility. I compare these preferences with Gilboa and Schmeidler's maxmin expected utility as well as variational…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-09-21 Peter G. Hansen

We introduce a fractional theory of the calculus of variations for multiple integrals. Our approach uses the recent notions of Riemann-Liouville fractional derivatives and integrals in the sense of Jumarie. Main results provide fractional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-03-09 Ricardo Almeida , Agnieszka B. Malinowska , Delfim F. M. Torres

It is common practice to treat small jumps of L\'evy processes as Wiener noise and thus to approximate its marginals by a Gaussian distribution. However, results that allow to quantify the goodness of this approximation according to a given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Alexandra Carpentier , Céline Duval , Ester Mariucci

In the recent years, banks have sold structured products such as worst-of options, Everest and Himalayas, resulting in a short correlation exposure. They have hence become interested in offsetting part of this exposure, namely buying back…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-02 Antoine Jacquier , Saad Slaoui
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