English

Are trading invariants really invariant? Trading costs matter

Trading and Market Microstructure 2019-02-12 v1 Statistical Mechanics

Abstract

We revisit the trading invariance hypothesis recently proposed by Kyle and Obizhaeva by empirically investigating a large dataset of bets, or metaorders, provided by ANcerno. The hypothesis predicts that the quantity I:=\ri/N3/2I:=\ri/N^{3/2}, where \ri\ri is the exchanged risk (volatility ×\times volume ×\times price) and NN is the number of bets, is invariant. We find that the 3/23/2 scaling between \ri\ri and NN works well and is robust against changes of year, market capitalisation and economic sector. However our analysis clearly shows that II is not invariant. We find a very high correlation R2>0.8R^2>0.8 between II and the total trading cost (spread and market impact) of the bet. We propose new invariants defined as a ratio of II and costs and find a large decrease in variance. We show that the small dispersion of the new invariants is mainly driven by (i) the scaling of the spread with the volatility per transaction, (ii) the near invariance of the distribution of metaorder size and of the volume and number fractions of bets across stocks.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1902.03457,
  title  = {Are trading invariants really invariant? Trading costs matter},
  author = {Frédéric Bucci and Fabrizio Lillo and Jean-Philippe Bouchaud and Michael Benzaquen},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1902.03457},
  year   = {2019}
}

Comments

13 pages, 7 figures