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The fragility of financial systems was starkly demonstrated in early 2023 through a cascade of major bank failures in the United States, including the second, third, and fourth largest collapses in the US history. The highly interdependent…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-19 Kamil Fortuna , Janusz Szwabiński

This paper characterises dynamic linkages arising from shocks with heterogeneous degrees of persistence. Using frequency domain techniques, we introduce measures that identify smoothly varying links of a transitory and persistent nature.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-21 Jozef Barunik , Michael Ellington

The 2023 U.S. banking crisis propagated not through direct financial linkages but through a high-frequency, information-based contagion channel. This paper moves beyond exploration analysis to test the "too-similar-to-fail" hypothesis,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-06 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu S Sua , Jaime Ortiz , Jinshyang Roan , Bahram Alidaee

It had been believed in the conventional practice that the risk of a bank going bankrupt is lessened in a straightforward manner by transferring the risk of loan defaults. But the failure of American International Group in 2008 posed a more…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-17 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

Trading activities in financial systems create various channels through which systemic risk can propagate. An important contagion channel is financial fire sales, where a bank failure causes asset prices to fall due to asset liquidation,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-08 Tomokatsu Onaga , Fabio Caccioli , Teruyoshi Kobayashi

Modern network-like systems are usually coupled in such a way that failures in one network can affect the entire system. In infrastructures, biology, sociology, and economy, systems are interconnected and events taking place in one system…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-12-02 S. Havlin , N. A. M. Araujo , S. V. Buldyrev , C. S. Dias , R. Parshani , G. Paul , H. E. Stanley

We consider a dynamical model of distress propagation on complex networks, which we apply to the study of financial contagion in networks of banks connected to each other by direct exposures. The model that we consider is an extension of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-05 Marco Bardoscia , Fabio Caccioli , Juan Ignacio Perotti , Gianna Vivaldo , Guido Caldarelli

We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-11 Yu-Sin Chang

We study financial systems from a game-theoretic standpoint. A financial system is represented by a network, where nodes correspond to firms, and directed labeled edges correspond to debt contracts between them. The existence of cycles in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Panagiotis Kanellopoulos , Maria Kyropoulou , Hao Zhou

The negative externalities from an individual bank failure to the whole system can be huge. One of the key purposes of bank regulation is to internalize the social costs of potential bank failures via capital charges. This study proposes a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-24 Xiaobing Feng , Haibo Hu

In spite of the growing theoretical literature on cascades of failures in interbank lending networks, empirical results seem to suggest that networks of direct exposures are not the major channel of financial contagion. In this paper we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-18 Fabio Caccioli , J. Doyne Farmer , Nick Foti , Daniel Rockmore

Air transportation has been becoming a major part of transportation infrastructure worldwide. Hence the study of the Airports Networks, the backbone of air transportation, is becoming increasingly important. In complex systems domain,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-05-08 Ganesh Bagler

Based on an empirical analysis of the network structure of the Austrian inter-bank market, we study the flow of funds through the banking network following exogenous shocks to the system. These shocks are implemented by stochastic changes…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Michael Boss , Martin Summer , Stefan Thurner

Throughout economic history, the global economy has experienced recurring crises. The persistent recurrence of such economic crises calls for an understanding of their generic features rather than treating them as singular events. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-04-14 Kyu-Min Lee , Jae-Suk Yang , Gunn Kim , Jaesung Lee , Kwang-Il Goh , In-mook Kim

Eisenberg and Noe (2001) analyze systemic risk for financial institutions linked by a network of liabilities. They show that the solution to their model is unique when the financial system is satisfies a regularity condition involving risk…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-24 John Stachurski

We introduce a decision-making framework tailored for the management of systemic risk in networks. This framework is constructed upon three fundamental components: (1) a set of acceptable network configurations, (2) a set of interventions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-28 Gregor Svindland , Alexander Voß

The threshold model has been widely adopted as a classic model for studying contagion processes on social networks. We consider asymmetric individual interactions in social networks and introduce a persuasion mechanism into the threshold…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-17 Wei-Min Huang , Li-Jie Zhang , Xin-Jian Xu , Xinchu Fu

This paper develops a continuous functional framework for analyzing contagion dynamics in financial networks, extending the Navier-Stokes-based approach to network-structured spatial processes. We model financial distress propagation as a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Tatsuru Kikuchi

The recent financial crisis has stressed the need to understand financial systems as networks of interdependent countries, where cross-border financial linkages play the fundamental role. It has also been emphasized that the relevance of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 Alessandro Spelta , Tanya Araújo

The critical infrastructures of the nation such as the power grid and the communication network are highly interdependent. Also, it has been observed that there exists complex interdependent relationships between individual entities of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-20 Joydeep Banerjee , Arun Das , Arunabha Sen