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Power systems are getting more complex than ever and are consequently operating close to their limit of stability. Moreover, with the increasing demand of renewable wind generation, and the requirement to maintain a secure power system, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-13 Umair Shahzad

We test the hypothesis that interconnections across financial institutions can be explained by a diversification motive. This idea stems from the empirical evidence of the existence of long-term exposures that cannot be explained by a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-24 Jean-Cyprien Héam , Erwan Koch

In a brave new age of global connectivity and e-commerce, interconnections via networks have heightened, creating for both individuals and organizations, a state of complete dependence upon vulnerable systems for storage and transfer of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2015-11-03 Amit Kumar , Santosh Malhotra

Cascading failures, such as bankruptcies and defaults, pose a serious threat for the resilience of the global financial system. Indeed, because of the complex investment and cross-holding relations within the system, failures can occur as a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-22 Leonardo Stella , Dario Bauso , Franco Blanchini , Patrizio Colaneri

Complex systems are characterized by many interacting units that give rise to emergent behavior. A particularly advantageous way to study these systems is through the analysis of the networks that encode the interactions among the system's…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-03-21 Alberto Aleta , Yamir Moreno

We study the impact of contagion in a network of firms facing credit risk. We describe an intensity based model where the homogeneity assumption is broken by introducing a random environment that makes it possible to take into account the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Paolo Dai Pra , Marco Tolotti

A central issue in the study of large complex network systems, such as power grids, financial networks, and ecological systems, is to understand their response to dynamical perturbations. Recent studies recognize that many real networks…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-07-26 Chao Duan , Takashi Nishikawa , Deniz Eroglu , Adilson E. Motter

This paper leverages linear systems theory to propose a principled measure of complexity for network systems. We focus on a network of first-order scalar linear systems interconnected through a directed graph. By locally filtering out the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-10 Giacomo Baggio , Marco Fabris

Measuring systemic risk or fragility of financial systems is a ubiquitous task of fundamental importance in analyzing market efficiency, portfolio allocation, and containment of financial contagions. Recent attempts have shown that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-21 Romeil Sandhu , Tryphon Georgiou , Allen Tannenbaum

Using particle system methodologies we study the propagation of financial distress in a network of firms facing credit risk. We investigate the phenomenon of a credit crisis and quantify the losses that a bank may suffer in a large credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-03-04 Paolo Dai Pra , Wolfgang J. Runggaldier , Elena Sartori , Marco Tolotti

The policy objective of safeguarding financial stability has stimulated a wave of research on systemic risk analytics, yet it still faces challenges in measurability. This paper models systemic risk by tapping into expert knowledge of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-30 Jozsef Mezei , Peter Sarlin

Contagion is an extremely important topic in finance. Contagion is at the core of most major financial crises, in particular the 2008 financial crisis. Although various approaches to quantifying contagion have been proposed, many of them…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-28 Katerina Rigana , Ernst-Jan Camiel Wit , Samantha Cook

Cascading failures and epidemic dynamics, as two successful application realms of network science, are usually investigated separately. How do they affect each other is still one open, interesting problem. In this letter, we couple both…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-23 Dawei Zhao , Zhen Wang , Gaoxi Xiao , Bo Gao , Lianhai Wang

Following several episodes of financial market turmoil in recent decades, changes in systemic risk have drawn growing attention. Therefore, we propose surveillance schemes for systemic risk, which allow to detect misspecified systemic risk…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-14 Timo Dimitriadis , Yannick Hoga

By treating the financial market as a thermodynamic system, we establish a one-to-one correspondence between thermodynamic variables and economic quantities. Measured by the expected loss under the worst-case scenario, financial risk caused…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-02 Yu Feng

For centuries, national economies created wealth by engaging in international trade and production. The resulting international supply networks not only increase wealth for countries, but also create systemic risk: economic shocks,…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-02 Abhijit Chakraborty , Tobias Reisch , Christian Diem , Stefan Thurner

Increased coupling between critical infrastructure networks, such as power and communication systems, will have important implications for the reliability and security of these systems. To understand the effects of power-communication…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-24 Mert Korkali , Jason G. Veneman , Brian F. Tivnan , Paul D. H. Hines

Interconnected networks describe the dynamics of important systems in a wide range such as biological systems and electrical power grids. Some important features of these systems were successfully studied and understood through simplified…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-18 Thanh Long Vu , Konstantin Turitsyn

Realistic credit risk assessment, the estimation of losses from counterparty's failure, is central for the financial stability. Credit risk models focus on the financial conditions of borrowers and only marginally consider other risks from…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Zlata Tabachová , Christian Diem , András Borsos , Csaba Burger , Stefan Thurner

The financial market is a complex dynamical system composed of a large variety of intricate relationships between several entities, such as banks, corporations and institutions. At the heart of the system lies the stock exchange mechanism,…

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